Realized P&L
+$82
Unrealized P&L
+$2.30K
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
273
Trades
9,807
lifetime
Volume
$40.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$4.95K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 21:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Other
78% 51% +$139
Politics
15% 68% +$114
Crypto
6% 67% -$196
Tech
0% 40% -$15
Sports
0% 89% +$40
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 260 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,517,286 $1,517 0¢ $2.3K +$759 11-02 10:58
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +571,098 $571 0¢ $857 +$286 11-10 21:24
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +7,855 -$332 4¢ $353 +$685 11-04 17:52
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +90,000 $34 0¢ $225 +$191 11-07 09:02
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +150,000 $150 0¢ $225 +$75 11-07 16:00
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +37,500 -$7 0¢ $188 +$195 11-07 09:06
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? Yes +1,100 $249 15¢ $165 -$84 11-09 16:21
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100,000 $100 0¢ $150 +$50 08-21 18:42
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100,000 $100 0¢ $150 +$50 08-21 18:41
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +40,003 $0 0¢ $140 +$140 11-11 05:02
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +82,179 $82 0¢ $123 +$41 11-09 22:15
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,454 -$119 1¢ $-47 +$72 05-06 20:42
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +15,460 $15 0¢ $23 +$8 10-29 15:23
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,900 -$15 1¢ $-12 +$3 06-12 13:08
Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 60% by December 31? Yes +100 $12 11¢ $11 -$1 11-10 13:38
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,877 $14 0¢ $4 -$10 06-05 22:15
Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026? Yes +128 $151 2¢ $2 -$148 11-10 16:39
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +277 $5 1¢ $2 -$3 11-07 06:15
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +52 $0 1¢ $0 +$1 06-05 01:18
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -23 $8 1¢ $-0 -$8 09-03 21:11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-30 15:46
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 06-05 21:31