Realized P&L (7d)
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
88.0%
Resolved (7d)
59
Trades (7d)
47
2,031 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$206
$7.07K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$156
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-30
last 11-04 16:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 122 days
Categories
Other
72% 66% -$117
Crypto
11% 83% +$57
Sports
11% 53% +$12
Politics
5% 82% +$3
Tech
0% 57% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +7 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 11-02 02:07
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat? No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 11-02 22:16
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 06-11 00:20
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +7 $5 80¢ $6 +$1 10-28 00:37
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 84¢ $6 +$1 10-17 22:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 07-14 02:15
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 10-15 08:16
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-16 05:07
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-19 02:01
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-20 17:16
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +8 $5 66¢ $5 +$0 10-27 03:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-26 03:16
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$0 10-26 23:16
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 10-17 22:16
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-19 14:46
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-14 01:01
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-20 04:16
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-21 22:37
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-21 05:01
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-23 02:31
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 10-26 04:01
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-17 21:07
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 10-23 03:07
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +6 $5 88¢ $5 $0 10-27 22:07
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +5 $5 92¢ $5 $0 10-27 02:46
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $0 10-20 18:37
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 10-25 22:37
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-25 03:37
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 10-14 11:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 $0 10-19 01:31