Realized P&L (30d)
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
82.6%
Resolved (30d)
662
Trades (30d)
944
2,069 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$4.04K
$7.18K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$160
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-30
last 11-06 16:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 124 days
Categories
Other
72% 66% -$116
Crypto
11% 83% +$57
Sports
11% 53% +$12
Politics
6% 82% +$4
Tech
0% 57% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +7 $5 98¢ $7 +$2 11-02 02:07
AL Wakrah SC vs. Al Shahaniya: O/U 4.5 Under +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 11-06 04:46
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $5 80¢ $6 +$1 10-15 08:16
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 10-26 23:16
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 86¢ $6 +$1 10-17 22:31
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +7 $5 80¢ $6 +$1 10-28 00:37
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 06-11 00:20
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 10-14 02:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7 $5 80¢ $6 +$1 10-19 01:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 07-14 02:15
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +6 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-20 17:16
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-19 02:01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-19 21:31
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-16 05:07
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +8 $5 66¢ $5 +$0 10-27 03:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-26 03:16
Will Patro Eisden Maasmechelen win on 2026-11-06? No — +7 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 11-06 02:46
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 10-17 22:16
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-14 01:01
CA Barracas Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 3.5 Under — +6 $5 83¢ $5 +$0 11-06 07:46
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-21 22:37
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-20 04:16
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-19 14:46
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-23 02:31
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? No — +6 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 10-31 22:31
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-21 05:01
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 10-26 04:01
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 10-17 21:07
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 10-23 03:07
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +6 $5 88¢ $5 $0 10-27 22:07