Surprised-Bugle 0xc0066b…d65d0b Create alert
bot 26W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$51
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved
1,745
Trades
2,235
lifetime
Volume
$7.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$159
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-30
last 11-13 15:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Other
73% 66% -$128
Crypto
11% 83% +$54
Sports
11% 54% +$17
Politics
6% 84% +$8
Tech
1% 57% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election? Yes +9 $5 66¢ $6 +$1 10-26 01:31
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 89¢ $6 +$1 10-17 22:31
Will Ethereum hit $4k by March 31, 2027? No +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 10-14 16:46
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +7 $5 82¢ $6 +$1 10-28 00:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 07-14 02:15
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 06-11 00:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7 $5 80¢ $6 +$1 10-19 01:31
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 10-15 07:01
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 10-27 02:01
Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026? Yes +26 $5 21¢ $5 +$0 10-27 20:01
Will Édouard Philippe win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$0 10-20 03:46
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-16 05:07
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +6 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 10-20 17:16
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 +$0 10-20 22:01
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-29 00:46
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-19 02:01
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-20 18:37
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-26 03:16
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +8 $5 66¢ $5 +$0 10-27 03:01
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-20 04:16
Will Kai Havertz (Arsenal) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-14 14:07
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-14 01:01
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-21 05:01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-19 14:46
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-23 02:31
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-21 22:37
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 10-26 04:01
Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? Yes +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 11-06 03:46
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 10-31 22:31
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 10-23 03:07