Realized P&L
-$572
Unrealized P&L
+$43
Hit rate
49.0%
Resolved
1,945
Trades
38,707
lifetime
Volume
$26.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$85
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 11-06 16:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Sports
43% 12% -$146
Other
43% 13% -$257
Politics
10% 10% -$104
Crypto
2% 15% -$61
Tech
1% 12% -$9
Pop-Culture
1% 33% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 369 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? Yes +14 $4 96¢ $13 +$9 11-01 00:06
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,239 $0 0¢ $6 +$6 11-03 12:08
Will Aljamain Sterling be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +431 $1 1¢ $5 +$4 08-07 13:16
will jean luc mlenchon advance to the second round of the next french presidential election Yes +10 $3 48¢ $5 +$2 11-04 03:31
Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes +5 $3 93¢ $5 +$1 07-16 18:25
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat? Yes +58 $2 8¢ $4 +$3 11-01 19:19
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +4 $1 100¢ $4 +$2 09-20 05:24
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +109 $3 3¢ $4 +$1 08-17 16:47
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +4 $2 87¢ $3 +$1 08-14 20:22
will marine le pen advance to the second round of the next french presidential election Yes +4 $1 90¢ $3 +$2 08-21 07:39
Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North? Yes +10 $3 29¢ $3 $0 11-03 04:23
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +3 -$3 95¢ $3 +$6 06-19 18:00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes +73 $1 4¢ $3 +$1 11-03 23:03
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 94¢ $3 +$2 06-25 00:03
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +276 -$5 1¢ $2 +$7 11-02 13:39
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 08-26 18:16
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +3 $1 62¢ $2 +$1 06-07 20:39
Will Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +388 $2 0¢ $2 $0 11-03 15:18
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 96¢ $2 +$0 08-16 13:57
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +5 $2 29¢ $1 -$1 06-28 21:39
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? Yes +5 $0 23¢ $1 +$2 11-03 11:03
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +236 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 11-06 15:04
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 $0 08-26 17:16
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? Yes +66 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 11-04 03:49
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 $0 06-15 05:52
Will John Fetterman be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes +485 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 11-03 18:38
Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South? Yes +8 $3 10¢ $1 -$3 09-13 18:58
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 -$1 08-14 08:43
Will Payton Tolle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +447 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 11-03 00:50
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +4 -$1 15¢ $1 +$1 11-01 00:59