(anonymous) 0x5146cb…68ac5e
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
5,488
lifetime
Volume
$5.56K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$124
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 07-21 23:45
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
57% — —
Sports
20% — —
Politics
13% — —
Crypto
8% — —
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 448 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No -418 $-1 5¢ $-20 $-20 06-22 19:31
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? Yes +156 $11 9¢ $15 +$3 07-22 01:48
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? Yes -202 $-8 3¢ $-6 +$3 07-20 00:37
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? Yes +23 $3 23¢ $5 +$2 07-21 14:35
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? Yes -9 $-7 50¢ $-5 +$3 07-21 20:58
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes +5 $3 92¢ $4 +$1 06-17 04:48
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? No +13 $8 32¢ $4 $-4 07-10 15:32
Will the Athletics win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 78.5 +5 $3 80¢ $4 +$1 06-11 04:00
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes -10 $-6 40¢ $-4 +$2 07-19 17:01
Will Getafe qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? No +11 $1 34¢ $4 +$3 06-26 00:05
Will the Athletics win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 78.5 +19 $1 20¢ $4 +$3 07-19 16:23
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? Yes +102 $2 3¢ $4 +$1 07-20 13:26
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? No +5 $1 66¢ $3 +$2 06-12 03:53
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +5 $2 70¢ $3 +$1 06-16 16:35
Will the Minnesota Lynx make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +63 $4 5¢ $3 $-1 07-07 22:22
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? Yes +18 $3 18¢ $3 +$0 07-20 07:36
Will the Houston Astros win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 80.5 +8 $3 38¢ $3 $-0 06-11 13:25
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? No +4 $2 72¢ $3 +$1 06-16 13:10
Will the Seattle Storm make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +45 $0 6¢ $3 +$3 07-12 17:29
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes -208 $-7 1¢ $-3 +$5 07-04 18:08
Will the Detroit Tigers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +9 $2 30¢ $3 +$1 07-11 21:22
Will Jalen Carter be traded? Yes +25 $1 10¢ $3 +$2 06-25 19:21
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes -45 $-3 5¢ $-2 +$1 07-09 02:29
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? Yes +5 $2 51¢ $2 +$1 06-08 00:12
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 84¢ $2 +$2 06-25 00:03
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +40 $3 6¢ $2 $-1 06-09 16:04
Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027? Yes +77 $1 3¢ $2 +$1 07-15 14:54
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7? Yes +8 $1 23¢ $2 +$0 06-08 17:18
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? No +4 $1 48¢ $2 +$1 06-09 11:37
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -18 $-3 10¢ $-2 +$1 07-12 22:13