Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$126
Trades
25
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$9,969
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-21 19:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+59.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1
vs crowd: 40% YES on $14)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 10:33 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-21 19:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 19:57:23 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xf56755… |
| 06-21 19:57:23 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xf56755… |
| 06-18 23:59:53 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x619399… |
| 06-18 23:59:53 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x619399… |
| 06-17 11:43:16 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 48 | 97¢ | $47 | 0xb3f246… |
| 06-17 11:43:16 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xb3f246… |
| 06-08 00:48:31 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x1e4a51… |
| 06-08 00:48:31 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1e4a51… |
| 06-08 00:45:22 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | SELL | 21 | 98¢ | $21 | 0x8bdfcc… |
| 06-08 00:45:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8bdfcc… |
| 06-07 16:31:09 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x806c96… |
| 06-07 16:31:09 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | SELL | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x806c96… |
| 06-07 16:31:07 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf55f46… |
| 06-07 16:31:07 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf55f46… |
| 06-07 16:31:03 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf1f15e… |
| 06-07 16:31:03 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 72 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xf1f15e… |
| 06-07 16:31:03 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf1f15e… |
| 05-31 10:33:05 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7cf2d3… |
| 05-31 10:33:05 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7cf2d3… |
| 05-31 10:33:05 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7cf2d3… |
| 05-31 10:26:09 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3e9bbd… |
| 05-31 10:26:09 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x3e9bbd… |
| 05-31 10:26:09 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 34 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x3e9bbd… |
| 05-28 03:10:52 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xab65af… |
| 05-28 03:10:52 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xab65af… |