Darling-Graduate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.4%

Resolved

Trades

930

lifetime

Volume

$85.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 07-29 10:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

53% 40% +$334

Other

41% 0% $-340

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	37	$4.7K	3,749	3,749	+0	open	—	04-24 01:09
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	37	$4.5K	3,569	4,569	-1,000	open	—	05-07 20:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	10	$3.5K	2,581	2,581	+0	open	—	05-04 04:26
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	18	$3.1K	1,768	5,622	-3,854	open	—	05-03 10:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	9	$2.7K	1,255	1,655	-400	Yes	+$372	05-05 12:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$2.7K	2,400	2,400	+0	Yes	$-24	05-04 19:20
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	21	$2.4K	1,724	1,724	+0	open	—	04-24 18:28
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	2	$2.2K	1,000	1,400	-400	open	—	05-05 01:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	14	$2.0K	1,415	1,415	+0	open	—	04-24 17:12
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	17	$1.9K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	04-28 05:51
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	17	$1.8K	1,467	1,467	+0	open	—	04-23 07:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	11	$1.5K	975	975	+0	open	—	04-24 21:33
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 total 1pt5	2	$1.5K	1,000	993	+7	open	—	04-15 16:16
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	21	$1.5K	836	836	+0	open	—	07-20 09:12
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	16	$1.4K	524	957	-433	open	—	07-16 15:22
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	2	$1.4K	800	1,600	-800	open	—	05-11 17:26
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	17	$1.3K	1,431	1,431	+0	Yes	$-8	04-27 17:31
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	16	$1.2K	689	689	+0	open	—	07-22 10:02
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	23	$1.2K	498	898	-400	open	—	07-22 10:01
nhl pit stl 2026 04 14	2	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-14 17:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$1.2K	644	644	+0	open	—	04-18 11:48
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	20	$1.2K	676	676	+0	open	—	07-20 09:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.1K	1,280	1,340	-60	open	—	04-23 06:50
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	17	$1.0K	327	815	-488	open	—	07-04 06:13
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	29	$1.0K	605	605	+0	open	—	07-06 09:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	10	$956	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-18 08:39
nhl wsh cbj 2026 04 14	2	$940	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-14 13:58
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	11	$933	118	1,534	-1,416	open	—	05-07 07:50
uel cel4 scf 2026 04 16 cel4	2	$930	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-16 15:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$919	735	735	+0	open	—	05-04 07:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 10:18:15	Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	38	80¢	$31	0xdd2c47…
07-27 20:57:43	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	360	80¢	$288	0x7ece43…
07-25 12:00:15	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xa4e4e7…
07-25 12:00:09	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xa7a345…
07-25 11:55:48	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0xb9cb39…
07-25 11:55:24	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0xe2db5e…
07-22 10:02:30	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	130	80¢	$104	0xaf3920…
07-22 10:02:22	will franois hollande advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	200	87¢	$173	0xebc72b…
07-22 10:02:03	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	244	73¢	$178	0xd22898…
07-22 10:01:37	Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	70¢	$71	0xcdccce…
07-22 10:01:30	Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	64	88¢	$56	0x00c398…
07-22 10:01:27	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	44	93¢	$41	0xa45d9f…
07-22 10:01:22	Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	45	84¢	$38	0x5a5003…
07-22 10:01:16	Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	33	67¢	$22	0xe933d1…
07-22 09:12:25	Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x9b5b2e…
07-21 16:45:00	Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	64	88¢	$56	0xc756b1…
07-21 14:44:37	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x07a957…
07-21 14:32:07	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	24	93¢	$23	0x4e88dc…
07-21 09:33:55	Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xb8e060…
07-20 17:03:21	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	225	75¢	$169	0xe6dc74…
07-20 11:40:07	Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x153bd0…
07-20 09:37:06	Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9e4932…
07-20 09:15:33	Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x0c9c63…
07-20 09:15:00	Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	29	85¢	$25	0x2bf324…
07-20 09:14:43	Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xfe247c…
07-20 09:14:13	will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xe74a13…
07-20 09:14:04	will jordan bardella advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	125	93¢	$116	0xea7469…
07-20 09:13:57	will gabriel attal advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x5ad491…
07-20 09:13:19	Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x213d22…
07-20 09:13:13	Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	18	93¢	$16	0x148495…
07-20 09:13:01	Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x2439d6…
07-20 09:12:58	Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x886d5c…
07-20 09:12:37	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	595	87¢	$517	0xd07654…
07-20 09:12:07	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	396	79¢	$313	0x7050b8…
07-20 09:11:39	Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	120	67¢	$80	0x42d51e…
07-20 09:11:01	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	307	89¢	$273	0x2d4eae…
07-19 21:06:45	Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x876d93…
07-19 20:22:42	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x5d2ab2…
07-19 19:33:57	Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0xec9634…
07-19 19:32:58	Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	122	68¢	$83	0xe824a6…
07-19 16:20:34	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xcce67a…
07-19 06:36:06	Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0xc4f55f…
07-18 22:37:21	Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xb01827…
07-18 12:57:21	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x0c4a86…
07-18 12:29:34	Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x05d97d…
07-18 08:43:51	will jordan bardella advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x6f9f08…
07-17 18:39:07	Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x06fed6…
07-17 17:58:43	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x897425…
07-17 14:06:16	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$8	0xc870f4…
07-17 12:44:04	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0xc68fc7…
07-17 11:41:07	will jordan bardella advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x552af6…
07-17 09:24:52	Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	300	95¢	$286	0xb62dff…
07-17 07:32:54	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x6c6b6c…
07-17 04:41:19	will gabriel attal advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd2baeb…
07-16 22:35:56	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x5e8523…
07-16 19:24:41	will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x64d067…
07-16 19:01:26	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0xe71bd6…
07-16 19:01:26	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xe71bd6…
07-16 15:38:58	Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x2de415…
07-16 15:24:16	Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0x8eade0…
07-16 15:24:11	Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	34	92¢	$31	0x84a287…
07-16 15:24:04	Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0x490831…
07-16 15:22:47	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	293	96¢	$279	0x8a248f…
07-16 13:37:58	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xd90452…
07-16 13:37:16	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x85dba2…
07-16 12:52:58	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	223	96¢	$213	0x394613…
07-16 10:00:26	will bruno retailleau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x0852c6…
07-16 10:00:16	will lisabeth borne advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x171b25…
07-16 10:00:10	will nicolas dupont aignan advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x6cf8c9…
07-16 10:00:05	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x25bfa0…
07-16 09:59:59	will sgolne royal advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x63df50…
07-16 09:59:53	will clmence guett advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x82e60e…
07-16 09:59:47	will clmentine autain advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x70b018…
07-16 09:59:44	will jean castex advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0xcab676…
07-16 09:58:50	will jordan bardella advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xee6b7c…
07-16 09:58:46	will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x39cd4f…
07-15 16:33:19	Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6e3c02…
07-15 14:53:28	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0xbf3721…
07-15 11:54:53	Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x470cad…
07-15 05:03:49	will nicolas dupont aignan advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7359cf…
07-15 05:03:43	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$6	0xb958d1…
07-14 20:51:16	will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x86b22b…
07-14 20:51:04	will jordan bardella advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb0a3b8…
07-14 17:41:35	will nicolas dupont aignan advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x13d1bf…
07-14 17:41:22	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x5bfb04…
07-14 17:23:38	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x937c24…
07-14 17:23:31	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x29c8ca…
07-14 05:24:32	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf2064c…
07-14 05:23:31	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xede4ba…
07-14 04:43:31	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x3ee49d…
07-14 04:43:29	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xc9a201…
07-14 04:43:26	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x35e17e…
07-13 23:03:47	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xb9e903…
07-13 19:39:07	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0xc5a8cd…
07-13 12:34:19	Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x63e5b9…
07-13 12:25:50	Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf88d51…
07-13 12:16:31	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x86e91f…
07-13 11:10:53	Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0x6cae1e…
07-13 10:20:08	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	103	87¢	$90	0x84c364…
07-13 08:26:34	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x374d5a…