Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open
Total volume
$875
Trades
64
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$377
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2027-04-23
First seen
2026-07-07
last 07-13 08:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $33 | $19 | +$15 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $22 | $106 | $84 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $41 | $373 | $332 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $18 | $55 | $37 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $6 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $107 | $107 |
| Below median | 3 | $4 | $237 | $233 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $6 | $59 | $53 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $32 | — | +$32 |
| unranked | 11 | $58 | $144 | $86 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +294 | $32 | $32 | 4 | 07-11 15:44 |
| Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | +200 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 07-11 13:49 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 07-11 13:49 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +51 | $4 | $16 | 6 | 07-13 04:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x6538…9392 | No | +51 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-07 08:52 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-11 15:34 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-11 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x22a9…dce8 | No | +45 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-12 05:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-12 05:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x574b…8ee5 | Yes | +15 | $15 | $21 | 2 | 07-13 08:01 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-11 14:10 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 22:37 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 13:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-12 05:06 |
| Homely-Cardigan 0x37b0…3646 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-11 13:49 |
| Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | +1 | $3 | $5 | 3 | 07-11 22:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 08:01:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0xd1c648… |
| 07-13 08:01:34 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xd1c648… |
| 07-13 08:01:34 | (anonymous) 0x574b…8ee5 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xd1c648… |
| 07-13 08:01:34 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xd1c648… |
| 07-13 08:01:34 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xd1c648… |
| 07-13 04:21:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 24 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x3bd389… |
| 07-13 04:21:49 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x3bd389… |
| 07-13 04:21:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 14 | 91¢ | $13 | 0x3bd389… |
| 07-13 04:21:49 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x3bd389… |
| 07-12 05:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x4d41f1… |
| 07-12 05:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x4d41f1… |
| 07-12 05:06:04 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x4d41f1… |
| 07-12 05:06:04 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x4d41f1… |
| 07-12 05:06:04 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x4d41f1… |
| 07-12 05:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x22a9…dce8 | No | BUY | 45 | 89¢ | $40 | 0x4d41f1… |
| 07-11 22:55:43 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x3da632… |
| 07-11 22:55:43 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x3da632… |
| 07-11 22:55:43 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x3da632… |
| 07-11 22:55:43 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 25 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x3da632… |
| 07-11 22:55:43 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x3da632… |
| 07-11 22:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x3da632… |
| 07-11 22:37:46 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x5fe790… |
| 07-11 22:37:46 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa999aa… |
| 07-11 22:37:46 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x5fe790… |
| 07-11 22:37:46 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa999aa… |
| 07-11 15:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 37¢ | $18 | 0x2994c9… |
| 07-11 15:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x574b…8ee5 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 37¢ | $18 | 0x2994c9… |
| 07-11 15:44:34 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 11¢ | $8 | 0x526a1a… |
| 07-11 15:44:34 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 70 | 11¢ | $8 | 0x526a1a… |
| 07-11 15:44:28 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 70 | 11¢ | $8 | 0x073525… |
| 07-11 15:44:28 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 11¢ | $8 | 0x073525… |
| 07-11 15:34:56 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xe3d679… |
| 07-11 15:34:56 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xe3d679… |
| 07-11 15:34:50 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 127 | 11¢ | $13 | 0xd199aa… |
| 07-11 15:34:50 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 77 | 11¢ | $8 | 0xd199aa… |
| 07-11 15:34:50 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xd199aa… |
| 07-11 15:34:37 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 77 | 11¢ | $8 | 0x9806e0… |
| 07-11 15:34:37 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 11¢ | $8 | 0x9806e0… |
| 07-11 14:10:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x749cc8… |
| 07-11 14:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x749cc8… |
| 07-11 13:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3a8515… |
| 07-11 13:55:58 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3a8515… |
| 07-11 13:53:28 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xe94888… |
| 07-11 13:53:28 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xe94888… |
| 07-11 13:53:07 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x31e124… |
| 07-11 13:53:07 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x31e124… |
| 07-11 13:50:05 | (anonymous) 0x738e…cc2c | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x7855f2… |
| 07-11 13:50:05 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7855f2… |
| 07-11 13:49:43 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 16 | 64¢ | $10 | 0x465451… |
| 07-11 13:49:43 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 36¢ | $6 | 0x465451… |
| 07-11 13:49:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xf2ab39… |
| 07-11 13:49:10 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xf2ab39… |
| 07-11 13:49:01 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x1f34d7… |
| 07-11 13:49:01 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 200 | 95¢ | $190 | 0x1f34d7… |
| 07-11 13:49:01 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | BUY | 9 | 76¢ | $7 | 0x1f34d7… |
| 07-11 13:49:01 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | BUY | 498 | 7¢ | $36 | 0x1f34d7… |
| 07-11 13:49:01 | (anonymous) 0x738e…cc2c | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x1f34d7… |
| 07-11 13:49:01 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 16 | 76¢ | $12 | 0x1f34d7… |
| 07-11 13:49:01 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x1f34d7… |
| 07-11 13:49:01 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 51 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x1f34d7… |
| 07-11 13:49:01 | Homely-Cardigan 0x37b0…3646 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x1f34d7… |
| 07-11 13:49:01 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x1f34d7… |
| 07-07 08:52:59 | (anonymous) 0x6538…9392 | No | BUY | 51 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x44140d… |
| 07-07 08:52:59 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x44140d… |