Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,464
Trades
114
Unique wallets
42
Liquidity
$377
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2027-04-23
First seen
2026-07-07
last 07-28 00:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $58 | $269 | $212 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $156 | $322 | $166 |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $61 | $520 | $459 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $23 | $102 | $79 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $30 | $107 | $77 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $107 | $107 |
| Median | 5 | $17 | $18 | $1 |
| Below median | 6 | $4 | $430 | $426 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $16 | $59 | $43 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $32 | $149 | $117 |
| unranked | 17 | $193 | $344 | $152 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +294 | $32 | $32 | 4 | 07-11 15:44 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +186 | $107 | $107 | 6 | 07-28 00:14 |
| Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | No | +104 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 07-22 06:06 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 07-11 13:49 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +78 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-21 19:47 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | +59 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 07-22 15:40 |
| Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | +56 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 07-28 00:03 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-11 15:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x22a9…dce8 | No | +45 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-12 05:06 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +43 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-22 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +31 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-21 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +26 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-22 08:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-22 08:31 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 22:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-22 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e59…a4ba | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-22 10:07 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +3 | $36 | $262 | 6 | 07-28 00:03 |
| Homely-Cardigan 0x37b0…3646 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-11 13:49 |
| Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | +1 | $3 | $5 | 3 | 07-11 22:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 00:14:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x82ebb5… |
| 07-28 00:14:45 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x82ebb5… |
| 07-28 00:04:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x2850a7… |
| 07-28 00:04:58 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x2850a7… |
| 07-28 00:04:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xe01e6b… |
| 07-28 00:04:43 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xe01e6b… |
| 07-28 00:03:37 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xdee93d… |
| 07-28 00:03:37 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xdee93d… |
| 07-28 00:03:28 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xd581b8… |
| 07-28 00:03:28 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xd581b8… |
| 07-28 00:03:28 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xd581b8… |
| 07-28 00:03:28 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0xd581b8… |
| 07-28 00:03:28 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd581b8… |
| 07-28 00:03:28 | (anonymous) 0x6538…9392 | No | SELL | 131 | 88¢ | $115 | 0xd581b8… |
| 07-28 00:03:28 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xd581b8… |
| 07-22 15:40:30 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xfd81b7… |
| 07-22 15:40:30 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0xfd81b7… |
| 07-22 15:39:52 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x5023bd… |
| 07-22 15:39:52 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x5023bd… |
| 07-22 10:07:45 | (anonymous) 0x9e59…a4ba | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x94c380… |
| 07-22 10:07:45 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x94c380… |
| 07-22 10:07:42 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6c1d99… |
| 07-22 10:07:42 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x6c1d99… |
| 07-22 08:31:48 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 36 | 76¢ | $27 | 0xe0d853… |
| 07-22 08:31:48 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 24¢ | $6 | 0xe0d853… |
| 07-22 08:31:48 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xe0d853… |
| 07-22 06:06:13 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xfdb320… |
| 07-22 06:06:13 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xfdb320… |
| 07-21 19:54:24 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 39 | 72¢ | $28 | 0xdc44f7… |
| 07-21 19:54:24 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | No | BUY | 39 | 72¢ | $28 | 0xdc44f7… |
| 07-21 19:49:19 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | No | BUY | 60 | 71¢ | $43 | 0x8d4fe5… |
| 07-21 19:49:19 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 60 | 71¢ | $43 | 0x8d4fe5… |
| 07-21 19:47:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 31¢ | $24 | 0xc5c29a… |
| 07-21 19:47:19 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 29¢ | $9 | 0xc5c29a… |
| 07-21 19:47:19 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 60 | 70¢ | $42 | 0xc5c29a… |
| 07-21 19:47:19 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xc5c29a… |
| 07-21 19:47:19 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | SELL | 175 | 30¢ | $53 | 0xc5c29a… |
| 07-21 19:46:25 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | BUY | 175 | 75¢ | $131 | 0x92e879… |
| 07-21 19:46:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 86 | 28¢ | $24 | 0x92e879… |
| 07-21 19:46:25 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x92e879… |
| 07-21 19:46:25 | (anonymous) 0x6538…9392 | No | BUY | 80 | 21¢ | $17 | 0x92e879… |
| 07-20 09:15:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 134 | 92¢ | $124 | 0x341756… |
| 07-20 09:15:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 134 | 92¢ | $124 | 0x341756… |
| 07-20 09:15:33 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x0c9c63… |
| 07-20 09:15:33 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 51 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x0c9c63… |
| 07-20 09:15:33 | (anonymous) 0x574b…8ee5 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0c9c63… |
| 07-20 09:15:33 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 134 | 92¢ | $124 | 0x0c9c63… |
| 07-19 16:27:28 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xd36b79… |
| 07-19 16:27:28 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 25 | 93¢ | $23 | 0xd36b79… |
| 07-19 16:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xd36b79… |
| 07-13 08:01:34 | (anonymous) 0x574b…8ee5 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xd1c648… |
| 07-13 08:01:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0xd1c648… |
| 07-13 08:01:34 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xd1c648… |
| 07-13 08:01:34 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xd1c648… |
| 07-13 08:01:34 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xd1c648… |
| 07-13 04:21:49 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x3bd389… |
| 07-13 04:21:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 14 | 91¢ | $13 | 0x3bd389… |
| 07-13 04:21:49 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x3bd389… |
| 07-13 04:21:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 24 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x3bd389… |
| 07-12 05:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x22a9…dce8 | No | BUY | 45 | 89¢ | $40 | 0x4d41f1… |
| 07-12 05:06:04 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x4d41f1… |
| 07-12 05:06:04 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x4d41f1… |
| 07-12 05:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x4d41f1… |
| 07-12 05:06:04 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x4d41f1… |
| 07-12 05:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x4d41f1… |
| 07-11 22:55:43 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x3da632… |
| 07-11 22:55:43 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 25 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x3da632… |
| 07-11 22:55:43 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x3da632… |
| 07-11 22:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x3da632… |
| 07-11 22:55:43 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x3da632… |
| 07-11 22:55:43 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x3da632… |
| 07-11 22:37:46 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa999aa… |
| 07-11 22:37:46 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x5fe790… |
| 07-11 22:37:46 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x5fe790… |
| 07-11 22:37:46 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa999aa… |
| 07-11 15:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 37¢ | $18 | 0x2994c9… |
| 07-11 15:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x574b…8ee5 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 37¢ | $18 | 0x2994c9… |
| 07-11 15:44:34 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 11¢ | $8 | 0x526a1a… |
| 07-11 15:44:34 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 70 | 11¢ | $8 | 0x526a1a… |
| 07-11 15:44:28 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 11¢ | $8 | 0x073525… |
| 07-11 15:44:28 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 70 | 11¢ | $8 | 0x073525… |
| 07-11 15:34:56 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xe3d679… |
| 07-11 15:34:56 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xe3d679… |
| 07-11 15:34:50 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xd199aa… |
| 07-11 15:34:50 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 127 | 11¢ | $13 | 0xd199aa… |
| 07-11 15:34:50 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 77 | 11¢ | $8 | 0xd199aa… |
| 07-11 15:34:37 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 77 | 11¢ | $8 | 0x9806e0… |
| 07-11 15:34:37 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 11¢ | $8 | 0x9806e0… |
| 07-11 14:10:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x749cc8… |
| 07-11 14:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x749cc8… |
| 07-11 13:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3a8515… |
| 07-11 13:55:58 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3a8515… |
| 07-11 13:53:28 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xe94888… |
| 07-11 13:53:28 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xe94888… |
| 07-11 13:53:07 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x31e124… |
| 07-11 13:53:07 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x31e124… |
| 07-11 13:50:05 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7855f2… |
| 07-11 13:50:05 | (anonymous) 0x738e…cc2c | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x7855f2… |
| 07-11 13:49:43 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 16 | 64¢ | $10 | 0x465451… |
| 07-11 13:49:43 | (anonymous) 0x8469…dab0 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 36¢ | $6 | 0x465451… |