Realized P&L
-$46
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
29.4%
Resolved
78
Trades
105,797
lifetime
Volume
$133.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$15
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 07-20 16:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
64% 28% $-19
Politics
20% 42% +$4
Sports
8% 75% +$2
Crypto
8% 12% $-33
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 543 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027? Yes -96 $-3 $-5 $-2 06-20 23:01
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? Yes +16 $2 14¢ $2 +$0 07-20 07:48
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? Yes -28 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-03 08:25
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 57¢ $1 +$1 06-13 17:48
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -16 $-2 $-1 +$0 06-15 20:22
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -10 $-2 11¢ $-1 +$1 05-29 14:02
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? No +3 $-3 33¢ $1 +$4 07-10 21:49
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 $1 $-1 06-15 12:07
Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch? Yes +1 $-0 47¢ $0 +$1 07-11 13:12
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +3 $2 $0 $-1 07-01 06:49
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +11 $1 $0 $-1 07-19 13:06
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +14 $1 $0 $-0 07-20 09:49
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +1 $3 $0 $-3 07-11 22:37
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? Yes +2 $0 $0 $-0 06-30 23:11
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +0 $-2 12¢ $0 +$2 06-02 15:50
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-27 21:35