Realized P&L
-$46
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
29.4%
Resolved
78
Trades
103,644
lifetime
Volume
$129.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$17
27 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 06-30 12:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
63% 28% $-19
Politics
20% 42% +$4
Sports
8% 75% +$2
Crypto
8% 12% $-33
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1863 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027? Yes -96 $-3 $-6 $-2 06-20 23:01
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +71 $1 $3 +$1 06-30 12:38
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? Yes -28 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-03 08:25
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -16 $-2 10¢ $-1 +$0 06-15 20:22
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -10 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$0 05-29 14:02
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +9 $2 12¢ $1 $-1 06-29 19:04
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 33¢ $1 +$0 06-13 17:48
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 $1 $-1 06-15 12:07
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? Yes +18 $1 $1 +$0 06-25 13:06
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +8 $2 $0 $-1 06-10 03:45
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? Yes +5 $3 $0 $-3 06-22 00:50
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? Yes +5 $-0 $0 +$1 06-30 12:09
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? Yes +20 $1 $0 $-1 06-16 19:34
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June? Yes -17 $-3 $-0 +$2 06-23 21:41
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes +30 $0 $0 $-0 06-17 12:59
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +2 $0 $0 $-0 06-23 21:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -14 $-5 $-0 +$5 06-24 02:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes -15 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-23 01:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-15 05:08
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? Yes +1 $1 $0 $-1 06-30 11:41
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? Yes +7 $1 $0 $-1 06-30 11:38
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +0 $-2 16¢ $0 +$2 06-02 15:50
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +3 $1 $0 $-1 06-07 10:41
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 05-31 10:14
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? Yes +2 $0 $0 $-0 05-28 08:01
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +0 $8 $0 $-8 06-07 19:32
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-27 21:35