Realized P&L (90d)
-$21
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
58.0%
Resolved (90d)
117
Trades (90d)
257
117,034 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$425
$148.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$7
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 10-15 16:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 212 days
Categories
Other
64% 42% +$666
Politics
21% 53% +$755
Sports
8% 51% +$206
Crypto
7% 44% +$74
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$6
Tech
0% 43% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -3 -$1 72¢ $-2 -$1 07-23 15:41
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +19 $1 9¢ $2 +$0 07-30 00:20
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No -4 -$1 32¢ $-1 $0 07-21 22:21
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +11 $1 6¢ $1 -$1 07-19 13:06
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +10 -$3 4¢ $0 +$3 09-10 23:29
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1 $1 26¢ $0 $0 07-02 03:48
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +3 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 05-12 10:02
will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026 Yes +3 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 08-05 15:41
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +3 $2 4¢ $0 -$1 07-01 06:49
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? Yes +1 $0 3¢ $0 $0 05-15 15:56
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +2 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 06-29 17:59
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 -$1 4¢ $0 +$1 07-31 17:12
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes -0 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 06-06 14:56