Realized P&L
+$2.79K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.25K
Hit rate
81.7%
Resolved
64
Trades
2,197
lifetime
Volume
$932.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$424
Open exposure
$115.7K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 10-26 15:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Other
62% 59% +$48
Politics
27% 50% +$997
Tech
10% 77% +$2,273
Sports
0% 100% +$45
Crypto
0% 25% -$577
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +35,819 $32,813 86¢ $30.8K -$1,990 10-26 12:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +47,817 $14,800 44¢ $20.9K +$6,072 10-25 19:51
ebola pandemic in 2026 No +15,771 $14,010 98¢ $15.4K +$1,374 10-23 08:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +10,281 $6,136 98¢ $10.0K +$3,914 10-23 08:56
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +47,817 $11,075 20¢ $9.3K -$1,751 10-25 19:51
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +8,009 $5,467 89¢ $7.1K +$1,661 10-23 14:02
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,884 $5,680 92¢ $6.4K +$687 10-08 09:34
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +4,723 $2,811 100¢ $4.7K +$1,895 10-05 05:15
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +3,615 $2,268 86¢ $3.1K +$843 10-26 15:47
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +47,818 $919 4¢ $1.7K +$826 10-25 19:52
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +11,367 $3,727 11¢ $1.3K -$2,477 10-26 15:49
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? No +1,107 -$1,714 100¢ $1.1K +$2,816 10-21 09:31
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +900 $820 94¢ $846 +$26 10-22 08:13
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +24,297 -$104 3¢ $790 +$894 10-25 19:52
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +4,617 $2,968 14¢ $644 -$2,324 10-21 21:52
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +47,819 $1,120 1¢ $550 -$570 10-25 19:52
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +47,817 $1,210 1¢ $335 -$875 10-25 19:53
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +47,817 $2,779 1¢ $311 -$2,469 10-25 19:53
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +2,517 $495 8¢ $189 -$306 10-23 14:02
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +122 $112 94¢ $115 +$3 10-26 12:24
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +4,723 $2,851 0¢ $17 -$2,834 10-12 05:35
will david lisnard advance to the second round of the next french presidential election No +1 $137 84¢ $1 -$137 10-26 12:11
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? Yes +40 $25 0¢ $0 -$25 08-20 13:36