Realized P&L (90d)
+$2.21K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.19K
Hit rate
76.0%
Resolved (90d)
18
Trades (90d)
894
2,467 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$404.1K
$1.08M lifetime
Avg / trade
$439
Open exposure
$115.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 11-13 21:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
59% 60% +$2,844
Politics
31% 53% +$1,487
Tech
9% 71% +$1,334
Sports
0% 100% +$45
Crypto
0% 25% -$577
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,469 $15,908 47¢ $23.9K +$8,039 10-30 07:46
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +20,000 $18,519 92¢ $18.5K -$29 11-06 19:45
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +15,290 $15,167 82¢ $12.5K -$2,668 11-13 21:36
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +10,001 $5,862 99¢ $9.9K +$4,034 10-27 07:44
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +8,109 $5,521 99¢ $8.0K +$2,479 11-06 14:27
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m? No +17,208 $7,648 42¢ $7.1K -$507 11-13 17:22
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,884 $5,680 99¢ $6.8K +$1,104 10-08 09:34
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +4,973 $3,583 99¢ $4.9K +$1,321 11-13 16:22
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +3,615 $2,268 97¢ $3.5K +$1,246 10-26 15:47
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +4,553 $3,354 69¢ $3.1K -$212 11-13 08:22
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? Yes +3,186 $1,562 74¢ $2.4K +$812 10-23 08:51
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,469 $11,536 4¢ $2.3K -$9,265 10-30 07:47
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +2,507 $2,383 90¢ $2.2K -$140 11-12 21:39
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +85,494 $2,071 2¢ $1.5K -$533 11-10 16:00
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 400m? Yes +4,871 $1,227 26¢ $1.2K +$15 11-13 17:28
Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,411 $489 29¢ $981 +$492 11-13 21:35
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,469 $2,862 2¢ $934 -$1,928 10-30 07:40
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,013 $879 89¢ $906 +$27 11-10 09:47
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +7,818 $744 11¢ $825 +$81 11-13 09:29
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +746 $426 90¢ $671 +$245 11-13 19:45
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +39,248 $122 2¢ $667 +$545 10-29 15:19
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +455 $426 95¢ $434 +$7 11-04 10:32
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,471 $1,152 1¢ $379 -$773 10-30 07:48
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +273 $254 96¢ $263 +$9 11-04 10:24
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +455 $253 56¢ $255 +$2 11-11 22:26
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,470 $1,229 0¢ $227 -$1,001 10-30 07:48
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +455 $349 44¢ $200 -$148 11-11 09:52
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +11,848 $3,836 1¢ $160 -$3,676 11-07 07:51
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +184 $138 69¢ $127 -$11 11-12 21:30
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +4,186 $2,878 3¢ $117 -$2,761 11-07 07:52