Realized P&L (7d)
+$2.35K
Unrealized P&L
-$527
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
86
2,343 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$59.0K
$1.02M lifetime
Avg / trade
$436
Open exposure
$120.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 11-07 11:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
60% 60% +$2,844
Politics
30% 53% +$1,487
Tech
9% 71% +$1,334
Sports
0% 100% +$45
Crypto
0% 25% -$577
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,469 $15,908 45¢ $22.8K +$6,879 10-30 07:46
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +20,000 $18,519 93¢ $18.6K +$51 11-06 19:45
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +19,360 $18,706 85¢ $16.5K -$2,221 11-07 07:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +10,001 $5,862 98¢ $9.8K +$3,974 10-27 07:44
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +9,421 $8,549 90¢ $8.5K -$23 11-07 07:56
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +7,942 $6,484 89¢ $7.0K +$556 10-08 09:34
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +8,109 $5,521 78¢ $6.3K +$804 11-06 14:27
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,884 $5,680 88¢ $6.0K +$347 10-08 09:34
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,469 $11,536 11¢ $5.3K -$6,237 10-30 07:47
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +3,615 $2,268 77¢ $2.8K +$519 10-26 15:47
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +11,848 $3,836 22¢ $2.6K -$1,230 11-07 07:51
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? Yes +3,186 $1,562 72¢ $2.3K +$732 10-23 08:51
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +82,434 $1,996 3¢ $2.3K +$271 11-02 18:51
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2,104 $1,909 91¢ $1.9K +$8 11-07 11:10
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,469 $2,862 2¢ $1.1K -$1,726 10-30 07:40
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +4,186 $2,878 23¢ $959 -$1,919 11-07 07:52
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +1,620 $872 52¢ $834 -$38 11-05 22:03
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +39,248 $122 2¢ $805 +$682 10-29 15:19
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,620 $675 46¢ $745 +$71 11-05 22:04
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +747 $438 82¢ $608 +$170 11-04 20:53
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? Yes +3,667 $683 11¢ $416 -$267 11-06 14:24
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,471 $1,152 1¢ $379 -$773 10-30 07:48
Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,828 $280 19¢ $352 +$72 11-01 08:50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +2,567 $509 12¢ $320 -$190 11-06 14:25
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +273 $254 96¢ $263 +$9 11-04 10:24
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,470 $1,229 0¢ $227 -$1,001 10-30 07:48
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +155 $143 96¢ $149 +$6 11-04 08:04
Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +746 $185 18¢ $131 -$54 11-04 20:53
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,013 $92 9¢ $90 -$3 11-07 11:09
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +79 $73 99¢ $77 +$4 11-04 10:29