Realized P&L (30d)
+$1.39K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.19K
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved (30d)
5
Trades (30d)
335
2,464 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$162.9K
$1.08M lifetime
Avg / trade
$438
Open exposure
$118.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 11-13 09:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
59% 60% +$2,844
Politics
31% 53% +$1,487
Tech
9% 71% +$1,334
Sports
0% 100% +$45
Crypto
0% 25% -$577
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,469 $15,908 46¢ $23.2K +$7,333 10-30 07:46
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +20,000 $18,519 92¢ $18.5K -$29 11-06 19:45
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +18,959 $18,218 83¢ $15.7K -$2,520 11-12 18:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +10,001 $5,862 99¢ $9.9K +$4,034 10-27 07:44
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +8,109 $5,521 97¢ $7.9K +$2,377 11-06 14:27
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m? No +16,621 $7,425 43¢ $7.1K -$278 11-13 08:19
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,884 $5,680 98¢ $6.7K +$1,056 10-08 09:34
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +5,093 $3,701 98¢ $5.0K +$1,311 11-12 20:54
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +3,615 $2,268 96¢ $3.5K +$1,217 10-26 15:47
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +4,553 $3,354 74¢ $3.3K -$7 11-13 08:22
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,469 $11,536 6¢ $2.8K -$8,760 10-30 07:47
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? Yes +3,186 $1,562 72¢ $2.3K +$748 10-23 08:51
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +2,507 $2,383 88¢ $2.2K -$165 11-12 21:39
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +85,494 $2,071 2¢ $1.8K -$319 11-10 16:00
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 400m? Yes +4,130 $1,057 26¢ $1.1K +$17 11-13 07:24
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,469 $2,862 2¢ $934 -$1,928 10-30 07:40
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,013 $879 90¢ $909 +$30 11-10 09:47
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +951 $612 86¢ $813 +$201 11-11 22:23
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +7,818 $744 10¢ $801 +$57 11-13 09:29
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +39,248 $122 2¢ $648 +$525 10-29 15:19
Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,121 $435 18¢ $562 +$127 11-12 18:19
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +455 $426 95¢ $431 +$5 11-04 10:32
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,471 $1,152 1¢ $328 -$824 10-30 07:48
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +11,848 $3,836 3¢ $308 -$3,528 11-07 07:51
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +273 $254 96¢ $263 +$9 11-04 10:24
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +455 $253 55¢ $253 -$1 11-11 22:26
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,470 $1,229 0¢ $227 -$1,001 10-30 07:48
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +455 $349 44¢ $203 -$146 11-11 09:52
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +4,186 $2,878 4¢ $151 -$2,727 11-07 07:52
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +184 $138 74¢ $136 -$2 11-12 21:30