Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
78.4%
Resolved
77
Trades
6,927
lifetime
Volume
$16.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$230
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 07-21 00:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
61% 64% +$32
Politics
18% 50% $-7
Sports
9% 71% +$8
Crypto
7% 29% $-10
Tech
2% 50% $-3
Pop-Culture
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? Yes +88 $5 41¢ $36 +$32 06-14 19:29
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes +48 $6 44¢ $21 +$15 06-29 11:20
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-22 29¢ $-14 +$7 05-30 21:45
City Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +19 $4 51¢ $10 +$6 06-25 17:52
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? Yes +15 $5 60¢ $9 +$4 06-30 11:04
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0058 by December 31, 2026? Yes +82 $9 10¢ $8 $-1 06-07 02:28
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch? No -28 $-8 30¢ $-8 +$0 06-18 11:24
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +130 $12 $8 $-5 07-20 14:43
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -16 $-7 47¢ $-8 $-1 06-15 18:57
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +36 $10 20¢ $7 $-3 07-14 07:55
Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -56 $-5 11¢ $-6 $-1 06-23 20:41
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $6 19¢ $6 $-0 07-21 01:57
Printr FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +62 $6 10¢ $6 $-0 07-15 18:38
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +91 $6 $6 $-1 07-19 02:21
US congress stock trading ban before 2027? Yes -50 $-4 11¢ $-6 $-1 06-18 15:16
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +26 $4 21¢ $5 +$2 07-16 08:00
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes -16 $-2 33¢ $-5 $-4 05-30 11:02
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -19 $-5 28¢ $-5 $-0 07-05 10:53
Noble FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +32 $6 16¢ $5 $-1 07-09 15:54
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +46 $6 11¢ $5 $-1 07-20 19:23
Ethereal FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +63 $6 $5 $-1 07-09 09:56
Hotstuff FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +14 $4 34¢ $5 +$0 07-05 19:40
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026? Yes +16 $6 30¢ $5 $-1 07-20 07:29
3Jane FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +23 $4 20¢ $5 +$1 07-01 03:20
3Jane FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +35 $4 13¢ $5 +$0 06-12 09:16
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 42¢ $4 +$3 07-07 23:36
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? Yes +45 $6 10¢ $4 $-2 07-17 12:00
Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch? Yes +17 $4 26¢ $4 $-0 06-26 02:40
Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $5 10¢ $4 $-0 07-04 09:17
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027? Yes +31 $6 13¢ $4 $-2 07-13 05:32