Realized P&L
+$16
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
78.2%
Resolved
75
Trades
6,101
lifetime
Volume
$13.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$269
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 06-30 16:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
60% 64% +$32
Politics
19% 50% $-7
Sports
11% 71% +$8
Crypto
6% 20% $-14
Tech
2% 50% $-3
Pop-Culture
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes -41 $-6 100¢ $-41 $-35 05-28 08:40
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-22 31¢ $-16 +$6 05-30 21:45
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +39 $9 36¢ $14 +$6 06-30 19:11
Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +302 $19 $13 $-6 06-30 12:37
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +43 $6 26¢ $11 +$5 06-30 01:52
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes -20 $-6 57¢ $-11 $-5 06-17 06:37
Ethereal FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +38 $4 27¢ $10 +$6 06-30 19:06
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? Yes +15 $5 64¢ $9 +$5 06-30 11:04
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0058 by December 31, 2026? Yes +82 $9 12¢ $9 +$0 06-07 02:28
Will Wizkid perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +92 $9 10¢ $9 $-0 06-27 15:00
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? Yes +88 $5 10¢ $9 +$4 06-14 19:29
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch? No -28 $-8 32¢ $-9 $-0 06-18 11:24
Halle Berry as Storm? No +15 $4 56¢ $8 +$4 06-22 13:40
Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -56 $-5 14¢ $-8 $-3 06-23 20:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +7 $-5 98¢ $7 +$12 06-14 14:25
Will Charli XCX perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +120 $6 $7 +$1 06-29 23:49
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes +48 $6 14¢ $6 +$0 06-29 11:20
Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +52 $6 12¢ $6 +$1 06-07 09:39
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Yes +72 $13 $6 $-6 06-29 04:44
3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes +34 $6 18¢ $6 +$0 06-30 02:54
US congress stock trading ban before 2027? Yes -50 $-4 12¢ $-6 $-2 06-18 15:16
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes -16 $-2 36¢ $-6 $-4 05-30 11:02
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $4 34¢ $5 +$1 06-04 14:25
3Jane FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +35 $4 15¢ $5 +$1 06-12 09:16
SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +18 $6 29¢ $5 $-1 06-28 02:08
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +17 $6 31¢ $5 $-1 06-27 21:40
City Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +19 $4 27¢ $5 +$1 06-25 17:52
Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +50 $12 $5 $-8 06-29 15:30
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? No +66 $7 $5 $-2 06-25 14:13
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.? Yes +35 $4 12¢ $4 $-0 06-20 03:33