Realized P&L (7d)
+$39
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
78.2%
Resolved (7d)
72
Trades (7d)
551
15,487 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.23K
$47.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$41
28 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 10-30 04:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 237 days
Categories
Other
62% 64% +$785
Politics
22% 68% +$346
Crypto
7% 52% -$110
Tech
4% 69% +$122
Sports
4% 71% +$169
Pop-Culture
1% 82% +$53
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +91 $6 12¢ $11 +$5 10-18 09:38
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? No +48 $6 11¢ $5 -$1 10-30 00:50
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +18 $6 26¢ $5 -$2 10-29 19:21
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? Yes +60 $6 6¢ $4 -$2 10-29 23:56
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +20 $2 14¢ $3 +$1 10-29 06:48
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? Yes +45 $3 5¢ $2 $0 10-26 22:29
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? Yes +13 -$1 16¢ $2 +$3 10-26 15:51
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? Yes +41 $6 4¢ $2 -$4 10-15 13:51
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $60 +4 -$5 41¢ $2 +$7 10-20 17:55
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -23 $6 5¢ $-1 -$8 10-19 06:50
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $6 10¢ $1 -$5 10-23 20:55
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? Yes +2 $1 37¢ $1 +$0 08-29 10:13
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 -$8 55¢ $1 +$8 06-19 20:29
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $0 10¢ $0 +$0 08-30 06:00
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 9¢ $0 $0 10-12 22:51
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? No +1 $0 36¢ $0 +$0 05-03 08:26
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 Yes +1 -$2 38¢ $0 +$2 08-18 09:22
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +1 $0 33¢ $0 +$0 09-13 20:01
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes -5 -$2 5¢ $-0 +$1 04-28 15:48
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +1 -$2 10¢ $0 +$2 06-10 06:48
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -2 -$3 5¢ $-0 +$3 05-17 05:59
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +0 -$1 16¢ $0 +$1 08-23 13:58
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 10:26
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 05-04 02:44
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +0 $1 50¢ $0 -$1 07-05 15:40
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? Yes — +0 -$8 7¢ $0 +$8 09-23 22:21
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +0 -$1 22¢ $0 +$1 08-06 02:37
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +1 -$4 0¢ $0 +$4 08-09 23:18