Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
open
Total volume
$272
$9 in 24h
Trades
46
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$2,091
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-03
last 07-03 07:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $14 | $12 | +$2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | $12 | $11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $8 | $41 | $33 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $14 | $24 | $11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 12 | $8 | $36 | $28 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +141 | $11 | $15 | 7 | 06-28 16:17 |
| Insubstantial-Hurry-Bronchitis 0x897a…4194 | No | +17 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 06-20 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 17:54 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +15 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 06-28 13:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x3418…f223 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-20 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x86b6…9e92 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-23 02:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f42…9e94 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-21 00:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-28 13:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-28 11:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-28 16:17 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x5538…f3e7 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-18 16:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-03 07:42 |
| True-Adaptation 0x0013…3c30 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-20 23:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +2 | $1 | $9 | 7 | 06-28 11:49 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-20 23:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 07:42:38 | Well-Worn-Loss 0xdaf0…9ff3 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xce7862… |
| 07-03 07:42:38 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xce7862… |
| 06-28 16:17:44 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc51e5f… |
| 06-28 16:17:44 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc51e5f… |
| 06-28 13:13:04 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc76354… |
| 06-28 13:13:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xc76354… |
| 06-28 11:49:52 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfb1150… |
| 06-28 11:49:52 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfb1150… |
| 06-25 17:54:04 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xe08507… |
| 06-25 17:54:04 | Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | No | SELL | 110 | 93¢ | $102 | 0xe08507… |
| 06-25 17:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 72 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xe08507… |
| 06-25 17:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe08507… |
| 06-25 17:54:04 | Cumbersome-Bestseller 0x738f…88c4 | Yes | SELL | 261 | 7¢ | $19 | 0xe08507… |
| 06-23 21:52:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x78d5fd… |
| 06-23 21:52:22 | (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | No | SELL | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0x78d5fd… |
| 06-23 02:27:56 | (anonymous) 0x86b6…9e92 | No | BUY | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xf99293… |
| 06-23 02:27:56 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xf99293… |
| 06-21 00:37:32 | (anonymous) 0x6f42…9e94 | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x7c0dce… |
| 06-21 00:37:32 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x7c0dce… |
| 06-20 23:19:47 | True-Adaptation 0x0013…3c30 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xbe67a6… |
| 06-20 23:19:47 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xbe67a6… |
| 06-20 23:00:11 | (anonymous) 0x3418…f223 | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xf68981… |
| 06-20 23:00:11 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xf68981… |
| 06-20 23:00:11 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xf68981… |
| 06-20 14:28:41 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 3 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xdffc32… |
| 06-20 14:28:41 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0xdffc32… |
| 06-20 14:28:41 | Insubstantial-Hurry-Bronchitis 0x897a…4194 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xdffc32… |
| 06-20 14:28:04 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xd9f09d… |
| 06-20 14:28:04 | Insubstantial-Hurry-Bronchitis 0x897a…4194 | No | BUY | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xd9f09d… |
| 06-20 14:27:28 | Insubstantial-Hurry-Bronchitis 0x897a…4194 | No | BUY | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x83b44a… |
| 06-20 14:27:28 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x83b44a… |
| 06-20 14:26:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 23¢ | $6 | 0x34045c… |
| 06-20 14:26:35 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 35 | 77¢ | $27 | 0x34045c… |
| 06-20 14:26:35 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x34045c… |
| 06-18 16:48:23 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x6c7ca7… |
| 06-18 16:48:23 | (anonymous) 0x5538…f3e7 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x6c7ca7… |
| 06-08 14:41:07 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x92edad… |
| 06-08 14:41:07 | Well-Worn-Loss 0xdaf0…9ff3 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x92edad… |
| 06-07 13:09:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xdf0064… |
| 06-07 13:09:37 | Visible-Mop 0x54bb…e416 | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xdf0064… |
| 06-04 20:04:06 | Visible-Mop 0x54bb…e416 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x4a2994… |
| 06-04 20:04:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x4a2994… |
| 06-04 12:05:54 | Visible-Mop 0x54bb…e416 | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x2b5cb7… |
| 06-04 12:05:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x2b5cb7… |
| 06-03 18:03:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xc7545a… |
| 06-03 18:03:18 | Visible-Mop 0x54bb…e416 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xc7545a… |