Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
open
Total volume
$2,576
$9 in 24h
Trades
136
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$2,091
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-03
last 08-07 08:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $31 | $186 | $155 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $8 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $224 | $36 | +$187 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $26 | $199 | $173 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $3 | $69 | $66 |
| Median | 6 | $8 | $182 | $174 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | $1 | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 16 | $223 | $1.0K | $827 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8b84…7a5e | Yes | +1,130 | $216 | $216 | 1 | 07-27 08:07 |
| Gifted-Rancher 0xe338…64ad | No | +600 | $468 | $468 | 2 | 07-27 08:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | +556 | $511 | $511 | 14 | 08-07 08:23 |
| Velvety-Rutabaga 0x9ddf…2c83 | No | +200 | $166 | $166 | 1 | 07-27 08:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | +121 | $104 | $104 | 4 | 07-27 08:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +95 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 08-06 12:10 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +80 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 08-07 08:23 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +43 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-19 05:59 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +25 | $20 | $20 | 5 | 07-16 20:11 |
| Insubstantial-Hurry-Bronchitis 0x897a…4194 | No | +17 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 06-20 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 07-27 08:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x3418…f223 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-20 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x86b6…9e92 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-23 02:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x5538…f3e7 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-18 16:48 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +4 | $-1 | $6 | 4 | 07-30 03:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +2 | $1 | $9 | 7 | 06-28 11:49 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-20 23:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 08:23:12 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xabf0e0… |
| 08-07 08:23:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xabf0e0… |
| 08-06 12:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x54f388… |
| 08-06 12:10:03 | True-Adaptation 0x0013…3c30 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x54f388… |
| 08-05 08:13:14 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x7e8980… |
| 08-05 08:13:14 | (anonymous) 0x6f42…9e94 | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x7e8980… |
| 07-30 03:32:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x153fc5… |
| 07-30 03:32:06 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x153fc5… |
| 07-29 23:03:41 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xde4ba0… |
| 07-29 23:03:41 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xde4ba0… |
| 07-28 05:11:01 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x1cd40e… |
| 07-28 05:11:01 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x1cd40e… |
| 07-27 12:12:52 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xb2ae63… |
| 07-27 12:12:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xb2ae63… |
| 07-27 08:07:31 | Sophisticated-Cot 0x7c9d…ada7 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 31¢ | $17 | 0xab9b33… |
| 07-27 08:07:31 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xab9b33… |
| 07-27 08:07:31 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0xab9b33… |
| 07-27 08:07:31 | Velvety-Rutabaga 0x9ddf…2c83 | No | BUY | 200 | 83¢ | $166 | 0xab9b33… |
| 07-27 08:07:31 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 35 | 86¢ | $30 | 0xab9b33… |
| 07-27 08:07:31 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xab9b33… |
| 07-27 08:07:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 46 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xab9b33… |
| 07-27 08:07:31 | (anonymous) 0x8b84…7a5e | Yes | BUY | 1,130 | 19¢ | $216 | 0xab9b33… |
| 07-27 08:07:31 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xab9b33… |
| 07-27 08:07:31 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xab9b33… |
| 07-27 08:07:31 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xab9b33… |
| 07-27 08:07:31 | Gifted-Rancher 0xe338…64ad | No | BUY | 300 | 74¢ | $222 | 0xab9b33… |
| 07-27 08:07:31 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xab9b33… |
| 07-26 08:36:48 | Heavenly-Switch 0x118a…457e | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x80ea3e… |
| 07-26 08:36:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x80ea3e… |
| 07-21 17:40:57 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | SELL | 39 | 92¢ | $36 | 0x28a617… |
| 07-21 17:40:57 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 39 | 92¢ | $36 | 0x28a617… |
| 07-20 22:50:57 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 37 | 92¢ | $34 | 0x933483… |
| 07-20 22:50:57 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | SELL | 37 | 92¢ | $34 | 0x933483… |
| 07-20 22:50:13 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xf24a5b… |
| 07-20 22:50:13 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xf24a5b… |
| 07-20 22:50:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xf24a5b… |
| 07-20 22:50:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf24a5b… |
| 07-20 22:50:13 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 78 | 91¢ | $71 | 0xf24a5b… |
| 07-20 15:51:28 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x84485d… |
| 07-20 15:51:28 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 26 | 84¢ | $22 | 0x84485d… |
| 07-20 15:51:28 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x84485d… |
| 07-20 15:51:28 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x84485d… |
| 07-20 15:51:28 | (anonymous) 0xd670…7788 | No | SELL | 46 | 84¢ | $39 | 0x84485d… |
| 07-20 06:27:46 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7f0bc5… |
| 07-20 06:27:46 | Heavenly-Switch 0x118a…457e | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x7f0bc5… |
| 07-20 04:15:33 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | BUY | 71 | 91¢ | $65 | 0x904da0… |
| 07-20 04:15:33 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x904da0… |
| 07-20 04:15:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x904da0… |
| 07-20 04:15:18 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xb29b13… |
| 07-20 04:15:18 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xb29b13… |
| 07-19 18:21:49 | Trivial-Newsstand 0x85d5…bbf0 | Yes | SELL | 258 | 13¢ | $34 | 0x0c3a26… |
| 07-19 18:21:49 | (anonymous) 0xd670…7788 | No | SELL | 310 | 87¢ | $270 | 0x0c3a26… |
| 07-19 18:21:49 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x0c3a26… |
| 07-19 18:21:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 37 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x0c3a26… |
| 07-19 18:21:49 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x0c3a26… |
| 07-19 18:21:49 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x0c3a26… |
| 07-19 18:17:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa1f7ac… |
| 07-19 18:17:55 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xa1f7ac… |
| 07-19 18:16:15 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xd65516… |
| 07-19 18:16:15 | Trivial-Newsstand 0x85d5…bbf0 | Yes | SELL | 158 | 12¢ | $19 | 0xd65516… |
| 07-19 18:16:15 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0xd65516… |
| 07-19 18:16:15 | (anonymous) 0xd670…7788 | No | SELL | 296 | 88¢ | $262 | 0xd65516… |
| 07-19 18:16:15 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xd65516… |
| 07-19 18:16:15 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xd65516… |
| 07-19 18:16:15 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd65516… |
| 07-19 05:59:40 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 212 | 94¢ | $200 | 0xd9561f… |
| 07-19 05:59:40 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd9561f… |
| 07-19 05:59:40 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xd9561f… |
| 07-19 05:59:40 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xd9561f… |
| 07-19 05:59:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 84 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xd9561f… |
| 07-19 05:59:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 43 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xd9561f… |
| 07-19 05:59:40 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xd9561f… |
| 07-19 05:59:40 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd9561f… |
| 07-17 17:09:09 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xe5afac… |
| 07-17 17:09:09 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0xe5afac… |
| 07-17 17:09:09 | (anonymous) 0xd670…7788 | No | SELL | 62 | 84¢ | $52 | 0xe5afac… |
| 07-17 17:09:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 22 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xe5afac… |
| 07-16 20:11:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x8d8936… |
| 07-16 20:11:02 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x8d8936… |
| 07-16 20:10:59 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x22d4fe… |
| 07-16 20:10:59 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x22d4fe… |
| 07-16 18:03:05 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x8b17b2… |
| 07-16 18:03:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x8b17b2… |
| 07-16 17:56:20 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x41d77f… |
| 07-16 17:56:20 | (anonymous) 0xd670…7788 | No | SELL | 75 | 84¢ | $63 | 0x41d77f… |
| 07-16 17:56:20 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x41d77f… |
| 07-16 17:56:20 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 35 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x41d77f… |
| 07-16 17:56:20 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x41d77f… |
| 07-16 17:56:20 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x41d77f… |
| 07-16 17:56:20 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x41d77f… |
| 07-03 07:42:38 | Well-Worn-Loss 0xdaf0…9ff3 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xce7862… |
| 07-03 07:42:38 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xce7862… |
| 06-28 16:17:44 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc51e5f… |
| 06-28 16:17:44 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc51e5f… |
| 06-28 13:13:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xc76354… |
| 06-28 13:13:04 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc76354… |
| 06-28 11:49:52 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfb1150… |
| 06-28 11:49:52 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfb1150… |
| 06-25 17:54:04 | Cumbersome-Bestseller 0x738f…88c4 | Yes | SELL | 261 | 7¢ | $19 | 0xe08507… |
| 06-25 17:54:04 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xe08507… |