Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$134
Hit rate
53.0%
Resolved
54
Trades
1,154
lifetime
Volume
$320.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$278
Open exposure
$873
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 07-21 20:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
97% 62% $-6
Sports
2% 53% +$1
Politics
1% 0% $-0
Tech
0%
Crypto
0% 60% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +3,466 $1,001 25¢ $867 $-134 07-10 11:07
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No +10 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 07-09 13:26
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +3 $1 46¢ $1 +$0 07-15 09:09
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 07-20 06:27
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-17 00:29
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 07-21 08:48
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +2 $1 38¢ $1 $-0 07-15 09:14