Meaty-Locket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$456

Unrealized P&L

+$58

Hit rate

83.7%

Resolved

452

Trades

1,862

lifetime

Volume

$98.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$3.10K

14 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 08:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Other

70% 83% -$499

Politics

27% 73% -$187

Tech

2% 67% +$255

Crypto

1% 60% +$4

Sports

1% 50% -$41

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	+700	$616	89¢	$623	+$6	10-03 23:46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+520	$498	97¢	$504	+$6	10-02 17:28
US recession by end of 2026?	No	+510	$452	92¢	$472	+$20	07-20 04:08
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	+350	$326	92¢	$324	-$2	10-17 13:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+270	$254	94¢	$252	-$1	10-04 18:50
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	+200	$186	97¢	$195	+$9	10-05 10:51
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+200	$190	94¢	$189	-$1	10-02 17:32
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	+160	$150	96¢	$154	+$3	10-03 09:12
Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	+140	$134	98¢	$138	+$3	10-06 08:11
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	+112	$107	96¢	$107	+$0	10-25 08:15
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	+100	$92	98¢	$98	+$6	10-19 09:53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+50	$49	98¢	$49	+$0	10-25 08:34
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	+0	-$6	98¢	$0	+$6	09-19 06:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+0	-$2	74¢	$0	+$2	07-16 16:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 580plus	17	$1.9K	959	959	+0	No	+$14	03-12 20:26
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	17	$1.3K	709	709	+0	No	+$100	03-28 22:49
will xqc beat forsens minecraft speedrun record by january 31	13	$1.2K	1,342	180	+1,162	Yes	-$914	01-25 10:26
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	7	$1.2K	609	609	+0	No	+$6	03-10 16:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	5	$1.0K	520	520	+0	No	+$36	09-22 17:52
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	10	$963	500	500	-0	open	—	10-01 17:57
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	6	$935	525	525	+0	No	+$9	03-19 21:08
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	2	$882	450	450	+0	No	+$10	06-18 12:41
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 165 189	14	$825	422	422	+0	No	-$1	03-11 14:59
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?	14	$790	737	169	+568	open	—	10-02 17:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	2	$787	400	400	+0	No	+$6	04-25 13:58
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	6	$773	400	400	+0	open	—	09-19 06:21
Epstein client list released by June 30?	8	$738	376	376	+0	No	+$9	06-19 16:24
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 200plus	8	$725	377	377	+0	No	-$17	04-08 10:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	3	$722	400	400	+0	open	—	07-28 23:31
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 580plus	6	$688	350	350	+0	No	+$8	02-22 14:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	3	$687	350	350	+0	No	+$6	05-21 17:37
will hunter biden announce a delaware senate run by july 14	15	$655	330	330	+0	No	+$3	07-12 16:56
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	11	$630	350	350	+0	open	—	10-11 11:33
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	6	$616	700	0	+700	open	—	10-03 23:46
i beat bush epstein email publicly unredacted by march 31	13	$609	346	369	-23	No	+$28	03-20 15:24
trumps travel ban removed by january 31	5	$601	89	520	-431	No	+$5	02-01 07:29
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 140 164	6	$597	300	300	+0	No	+$2	03-23 16:10
nyc mayor of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 120 139	12	$597	300	300	+0	No	+$2	04-07 06:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	7	$594	310	310	+0	No	+$25	03-15 13:13
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 380 399	6	$594	300	300	+0	No	+$5	03-20 17:36
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 580plus	5	$591	300	300	+0	No	+$6	02-19 15:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	5	$591	300	300	+0	No	+$4	05-20 13:57
Iran leadership change by March 13?	7	$587	300	300	+0	No	+$12	03-15 13:13
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?	5	$580	302	302	+0	No	+$4	05-16 17:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 08:41:39	Candace Owens divorced by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x5744bd…
10-25 08:41:27	Candace Owens divorced by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0x27b544…
10-25 08:34:11	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5491d2…
10-25 08:27:54	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Meta by December 31?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x6ada72…
10-25 08:27:44	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Meta by December 31?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x91f6cc…
10-25 08:27:24	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Meta by December 31?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xeaae90…
10-25 08:15:05	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$69	0xe604fd…
10-24 08:39:21	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0xc2140e…
10-23 17:00:51	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xc8325b…
10-23 17:00:38	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$41	0x2b7b1e…
10-23 16:46:48	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x6b387b…
10-20 12:53:50	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for SpaceXAI / Elon Musk by December 31?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xffbb39…
10-20 07:24:47	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xe8ae00…
10-19 09:53:35	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x68facf…
10-19 09:43:54	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x338b05…
10-17 13:28:59	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x7d4436…
10-16 03:34:48	Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out by December 31?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xa14368…
10-14 08:35:14	will the openai spy be accused of working for spacexai elon musk by december 31 20261014120000010	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x6fc8ba…
10-11 11:33:48	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0x2f0a6b…
10-11 11:19:09	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	103	92¢	$94	0x3b0d69…
10-11 05:19:21	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	162	92¢	$149	0xba6bee…
10-09 07:41:36	Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out by December 31?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x7a8311…
10-08 10:33:12	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xe73320…
10-08 10:30:45	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xbeff46…
10-08 10:30:32	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x19bcc6…
10-08 10:30:06	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	150	93¢	$140	0x7e920a…
10-07 13:36:28	UBS announces move out of Switzerland by December 31?	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x01fa02…
10-07 13:34:50	UBS announces move out of Switzerland by December 31?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x5c5489…
10-06 18:51:21	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x1b7296…
10-06 18:50:57	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x2d7978…
10-06 18:50:08	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xae5a86…
10-06 18:02:59	Will Trump pardon Richard Nixon by December 31?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x8d3b40…
10-06 18:02:48	Will Trump pardon Richard Nixon by December 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5f29ba…
10-06 18:01:20	will trump pardon richard nixon by december 31	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x328c88…
10-06 18:00:33	will trump pardon richard nixon by december 31	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x99d5d4…
10-06 18:00:21	will trump pardon richard nixon by december 31	No	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x38e766…
10-06 18:00:14	will trump pardon richard nixon by december 31	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x066c76…
10-06 08:11:25	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0x650e32…
10-06 07:43:22	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xc4f185…
10-06 07:43:13	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x3e9cba…
10-06 07:43:03	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$18	0x4a33af…
10-05 23:07:28	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x328af0…
10-05 10:51:16	Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xa06917…
10-04 18:50:56	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	270	94¢	$254	0x511c0d…
10-03 23:46:29	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x14859f…
10-03 09:12:39	Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	152	94¢	$143	0x1bc8a6…
10-03 00:34:06	Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xb63fc5…
10-02 18:06:27	Candace Owens divorced by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x276425…
10-02 18:05:54	Candace Owens divorced by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x2fad6a…
10-02 17:42:35	Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x4ecd13…
10-02 17:42:12	Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?	No	BUY	205	90¢	$184	0xfb10de…
10-02 17:42:05	Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?	No	BUY	48	89¢	$43	0x2b435d…
10-02 17:32:03	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x8aaf9f…
10-02 17:28:35	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	130	96¢	$124	0x2064ae…
10-02 17:28:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x129b9d…
10-02 17:26:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	190	96¢	$182	0x712687…
10-02 15:48:42	Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x4a7b8f…
10-01 17:57:48	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$486	0x4b48af…
10-01 06:42:33	americaptgov removed by october 31 1	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6afdc0…
09-30 23:47:03	Houthi military action against Mecca by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x402a47…
09-30 04:02:14	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	110	74¢	$81	0xdf44e4…
09-30 00:17:00	Houthi military action against Mecca by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xefe592…
09-29 22:09:00	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	73¢	$219	0x8983d0…
09-29 18:08:53	Houthi military action against Mecca by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8f6bb1…
09-27 13:46:00	Will Trump pardon Young Thug before 2027?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$187	0x5f7e19…
09-26 12:59:27	Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xcd509d…
09-26 07:14:27	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x07911a…
09-24 09:35:30	Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?	No	SELL	41	88¢	$36	0xda0fb2…
09-23 13:25:20	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	No	SELL	47	87¢	$41	0x44e69c…
09-23 13:25:14	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0xc6c72b…
09-23 13:25:14	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x4c28e9…
09-23 03:10:29	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xf5b6b0…
09-22 17:52:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	520	100¢	$519	0x2fcde1…
09-22 14:38:52	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	92¢	$57	0x47281f…
09-22 10:58:43	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf9a1ab…
09-22 10:56:42	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x3ea942…
09-22 10:56:24	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x828da9…
09-22 08:47:21	will the us announce a diesel export ban by september 30	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0x639af5…
09-22 08:14:42	will the us announce a diesel export ban by september 30	No	BUY	140	88¢	$123	0x247c64…
09-21 00:35:53	Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?	No	SELL	81	88¢	$71	0xc75b12…
09-20 12:17:21	Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xd218f8…
09-20 12:16:40	Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x4bc0de…
09-19 06:21:12	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	66	97¢	$64	0xb5f46a…
09-19 06:20:00	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	152	97¢	$149	0xf25060…
09-19 06:19:28	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	152	97¢	$148	0xd38586…
09-19 06:17:00	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$29	0xcce8ef…
09-18 21:00:15	Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?	No	SELL	47	88¢	$41	0x71cc17…
09-17 21:10:51	trump endorses chinas claim to taiwan by end of summit 20260916	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xc9c227…
09-17 15:46:36	houthi military action against mecca by september 30 2026 20260916	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xa52692…
09-17 15:46:25	houthi military action against mecca by september 30 2026 20260916	No	BUY	35	93¢	$33	0x188673…
09-16 23:13:04	trump endorses chinas claim to taiwan by end of summit 20260916	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x24d384…
09-11 07:38:28	houthis enter aden by september 30 2026	No	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0xd5011a…
09-11 07:33:57	houthis enter aden by september 30 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x196016…
09-10 21:30:52	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x79f94e…
09-10 14:53:27	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xf763d9…
09-10 10:40:07	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0xf5a2bd…
09-10 10:23:34	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x4d89d2…
09-10 10:21:55	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0x535355…
09-10 09:29:13	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb5cc71…
09-10 07:33:42	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x7dae24…