Realized P&L (30d)
+$68
Unrealized P&L
+$69
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved (30d)
7
Trades (30d)
64
1,862 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$4.59K
$98.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$3.12K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 08:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Other
70% 83% -$499
Politics
27% 73% -$187
Tech
2% 67% +$255
Crypto
1% 60% +$4
Sports
1% 50% -$41
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +700 $616 90¢ $634 +$17 10-03 23:46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +520 $498 97¢ $504 +$6 10-02 17:28
US recession by end of 2026? No +510 $452 92¢ $472 +$20 07-20 04:08
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +350 $326 92¢ $324 -$2 10-17 13:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +270 $254 94¢ $252 -$1 10-04 18:50
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +200 $186 97¢ $195 +$9 10-05 10:51
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +200 $190 94¢ $189 -$1 10-02 17:32
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +160 $150 96¢ $153 +$2 10-03 09:12
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +140 $134 98¢ $138 +$3 10-06 08:11
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +112 $107 96¢ $107 +$0 10-25 08:15
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +100 $92 99¢ $99 +$7 10-19 09:53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +50 $49 98¢ $49 +$0 10-25 08:34
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +0 -$6 98¢ $0 +$6 09-19 06:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +0 -$2 64¢ $0 +$2 07-16 16:20