Realized P&L
+$3.69K
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
66.6%
Resolved
4,329
Trades
51,046
lifetime
Volume
$203.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$631
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 09:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 284 days
Categories
Other
57% 56% +$1,599
Politics
19% 62% +$933
Sports
12% 67% +$739
Crypto
6% 62% +$263
Tech
4% 57% +$92
Pop-Culture
2% 59% +$63
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No -38 -$39 100¢ $-38 +$0 06-14 07:41
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -40 -$20 92¢ $-37 -$17 06-23 09:45
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$24 89¢ $-36 -$11 06-25 14:25
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No -40 -$35 88¢ $-35 -$1 06-02 23:09
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? No -33 -$24 89¢ $-30 -$6 10-28 10:12
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -26 -$17 94¢ $-24 -$7 06-02 03:09
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes +25 $15 93¢ $23 +$8 06-24 23:35
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +23 $15 98¢ $22 +$7 11-06 18:43
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +22 $15 98¢ $22 +$7 11-07 07:01
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -21 -$8 99¢ $-21 -$12 06-23 05:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +28 $15 72¢ $20 +$5 11-04 15:27
Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +21 $15 92¢ $20 +$5 11-07 03:38
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No -20 -$16 97¢ $-19 -$4 05-09 15:29
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m? Yes +28 $15 70¢ $19 +$5 11-07 20:23
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026? No +23 $14 81¢ $19 +$4 11-04 14:37
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +18 $14 100¢ $18 +$4 11-04 17:44
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat? Yes -18 -$5 99¢ $-18 -$13 10-28 10:12
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +17 $14 98¢ $17 +$4 11-07 06:23
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026? No +18 $15 93¢ $17 +$2 11-04 14:27
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No -17 -$15 97¢ $-17 -$2 06-17 02:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +19 $15 86¢ $17 +$2 11-05 17:30
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +20 $14 82¢ $17 +$2 11-06 05:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +17 $15 96¢ $17 +$2 11-05 17:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +16 $14 100¢ $16 +$2 11-04 14:10
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by November 30? No +22 $15 72¢ $16 +$2 11-06 13:42
Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +16 $14 98¢ $16 +$1 11-07 07:29
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? Yes +16 $14 96¢ $16 +$1 11-07 07:15
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? No -16 -$13 95¢ $-15 -$3 05-29 18:49
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 15, 2026? Yes +16 $14 95¢ $15 +$1 11-05 18:17
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +17 $15 88¢ $15 +$0 11-05 01:05