Realized P&L
+$47
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved
121
Trades
37,766
lifetime
Volume
$149.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$578
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-27 09:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
57% 48% +$25
Politics
19% 62% +$21
Sports
12% 31% $-22
Crypto
7% 65% +$23
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 509 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No -40 $-30 86¢ $-34 $-4 06-02 21:34
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No -35 $-27 96¢ $-33 $-7 06-26 03:35
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027? No -53 $-28 60¢ $-32 $-4 06-21 14:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? No -40 $-24 78¢ $-31 $-7 06-04 12:57
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes +57 $31 52¢ $29 $-2 06-24 03:40
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +40 $16 68¢ $27 +$11 06-05 19:11
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -33 $-21 78¢ $-26 $-5 06-21 09:09
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -27 $-18 84¢ $-23 $-5 06-02 03:09
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? No -36 $-26 62¢ $-22 +$4 06-23 13:37
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +22 $5 99¢ $22 +$17 06-26 16:34
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +22 $14 90¢ $20 +$6 06-26 23:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -24 $-13 82¢ $-19 $-6 06-14 23:58
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -27 $-17 66¢ $-18 $-1 06-26 15:57
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No -22 $-13 79¢ $-17 $-5 06-15 02:15
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? Yes -20 $-14 86¢ $-17 $-3 06-13 11:11
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $12 60¢ $16 +$4 05-31 20:11
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +26 $16 61¢ $16 +$0 06-26 13:52
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $14 72¢ $16 +$2 06-11 14:23
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +22 $9 71¢ $15 +$6 06-16 21:01
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +27 $15 52¢ $14 $-1 06-18 12:51
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +22 $9 62¢ $13 +$5 06-21 12:38
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $14 50¢ $13 $-0 06-05 03:30
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? No -15 $-12 89¢ $-13 $-1 05-30 23:40
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -15 $-12 88¢ $-13 $-1 06-03 22:29
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +15 $10 88¢ $13 +$3 06-16 07:08
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes -27 $-17 48¢ $-13 +$4 06-22 10:11
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -56 $-21 22¢ $-13 +$8 06-24 08:26
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +15 $9 84¢ $13 +$4 06-21 10:00
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? No -15 $-12 84¢ $-13 $-1 06-08 14:07
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +15 $9 83¢ $12 +$3 05-31 16:58