Realized P&L
+$47
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved
121
Trades
37,766
lifetime
Volume
$149.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$742
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-27 09:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
57% 48% +$25
Politics
19% 62% +$21
Sports
12% 31% $-22
Crypto
7% 65% +$23
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 509 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No -53 $-41 98¢ $-52 $-11 06-15 16:25
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? No -49 $-39 96¢ $-48 $-8 06-04 11:39
Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -39 $-29 99¢ $-39 $-10 06-03 07:00
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes +57 $31 68¢ $38 +$7 06-24 03:40
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? No -40 $-24 85¢ $-34 $-11 06-04 12:57
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No -40 $-30 84¢ $-33 $-4 06-02 21:34
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +33 $16 99¢ $33 +$17 06-18 10:08
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? No -36 $-26 82¢ $-30 $-4 06-23 13:37
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -30 $-21 100¢ $-29 $-9 06-05 20:01
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? No -28 $-27 100¢ $-28 $-1 06-08 20:02
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No -35 $-27 71¢ $-25 +$2 06-26 03:35
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +24 $14 100¢ $24 +$10 06-23 22:52
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027? No -53 $-28 44¢ $-24 +$5 06-21 14:46
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -33 $-21 71¢ $-24 $-3 06-21 09:09
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +40 $16 56¢ $22 +$6 06-05 19:11
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -27 $-18 82¢ $-22 $-4 06-02 03:09
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $14 90¢ $20 +$6 06-11 14:23
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -20 $-4 100¢ $-20 $-16 06-04 14:40
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No -19 $-12 99¢ $-19 $-7 06-20 10:18
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +26 $16 68¢ $18 +$2 06-26 13:52
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30? No -18 $-12 95¢ $-17 $-5 06-02 14:17
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? Yes -20 $-14 84¢ $-17 $-3 06-13 11:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -24 $-13 70¢ $-17 $-3 06-14 23:58
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $15 73¢ $16 +$1 06-26 07:52
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $12 59¢ $16 +$3 05-31 20:11
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +22 $9 72¢ $16 +$7 06-21 12:38
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? No -16 $-10 99¢ $-16 $-5 06-04 18:40
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +22 $14 68¢ $15 +$1 06-26 23:55
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +27 $15 57¢ $15 +$1 06-18 12:51
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -27 $-17 57¢ $-15 +$1 06-26 15:57