Realized P&L
+$1.38K
Unrealized P&L
+$61
Hit rate
67.5%
Resolved
113
Trades
89,199
lifetime
Volume
$2.08M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$647
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
69% 44% +$474
Sports
14% 75% +$463
Politics
11% 100% +$687
Crypto
5% 25% $-243
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 315 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -352 $-205 70¢ $-245 $-39 07-05 23:18
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +176 $167 96¢ $168 +$1 07-03 09:13
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +242 $80 30¢ $74 $-6 07-20 15:37
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +68 $59 89¢ $60 +$2 07-18 17:28
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent? Yes -416 $-52 12¢ $-48 +$5 07-19 18:21
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +50 $-68 38¢ $19 +$87 07-14 21:07
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes -299 $-26 $-13 +$13 06-16 14:11
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes -89 $-8 $-5 +$3 06-01 01:05
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes +41 $0 11¢ $5 +$4 07-19 05:45
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $4 $3 $-1 07-17 12:51
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes +3 $6 97¢ $3 $-4 07-01 06:21
Amazon 2026 capex above $220B? No +3 $1 55¢ $2 +$1 07-09 23:41
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? No +54 $5 $1 $-4 07-10 10:35
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +1 $-0 96¢ $1 +$1 06-11 00:29
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? No -6 $2 $-0 $-2 07-04 16:16