Realized P&L
+$3.61K
Unrealized P&L
+$486
Hit rate
69.6%
Resolved
224
Trades
10,663
lifetime
Volume
$270.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$38.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 10-27 07:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
44% 49% -$614
Politics
33% 54% -$46
Sports
12% 60% -$121
Tech
10% 50% +$4,387
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 1004 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6,697 $4,817 72¢ $4.9K +$38 10-27 03:18
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2,520 $2,035 79¢ $2.0K -$44 10-26 17:07
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,340 $1,864 84¢ $2.0K +$90 10-24 20:14
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,983 $1,753 90¢ $1.8K +$42 10-27 05:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6,397 $1,860 28¢ $1.8K -$101 10-27 00:20
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +2,708 $1,723 64¢ $1.7K +$24 10-27 05:08
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +2,379 $1,896 71¢ $1.7K -$207 10-27 03:55
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,503 $1,346 54¢ $1.4K +$7 10-27 06:35
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,902 $1,264 68¢ $1.3K +$39 10-26 11:11
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,803 $1,369 46¢ $1.3K -$80 10-27 06:35
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,333 $1,109 55¢ $1.3K +$162 10-23 17:59
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,544 $1,291 36¢ $1.3K -$33 10-21 01:16
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1,417 $1,206 87¢ $1.2K +$26 10-18 20:22
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,453 $1,213 83¢ $1.2K -$1 10-24 03:26
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,364 $1,039 82¢ $1.1K +$75 10-26 12:26
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +1,243 $962 88¢ $1.1K +$126 10-20 20:47
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,310 $1,131 46¢ $1.1K -$80 10-22 13:45
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,077 $1,025 96¢ $1.0K +$8 10-25 19:06
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,781 $867 54¢ $967 +$100 10-23 22:37
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +1,080 $936 88¢ $953 +$17 10-27 06:01
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +1,032 $793 89¢ $916 +$123 10-22 00:47
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +1,210 $799 68¢ $829 +$30 10-27 00:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +831 $785 96¢ $798 +$13 10-13 05:15
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +950 $718 84¢ $793 +$76 10-21 23:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +824 $656 94¢ $770 +$114 10-21 07:51
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +1,447 $872 53¢ $769 -$102 10-23 20:42
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +920 $717 78¢ $723 +$6 10-25 22:41
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +850 $678 84¢ $710 +$31 10-26 16:15
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +1,566 $652 45¢ $705 +$53 10-24 20:50
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +1,171 $709 55¢ $644 -$65 10-26 23:02