Realized P&L
-$593
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
62.0%
Resolved
972
Trades
2,255
lifetime
Volume
$39.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$2
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 08-06 15:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Crypto
55%
25%
-$1,383
Politics
37%
31%
+$954
Other
8%
25%
-$161
Sports
0%
100%
+$2
Tech
0%
0%
-$5
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | Yes | -500 | -$5 | 0¢ | $-2 | +$3 | 08-06 12:12 | |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? | Yes | -76 | $3 | 0¢ | $-0 | -$3 | 08-06 12:12 | |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | -38 | $0 | 0¢ | $-0 | +$0 | 05-06 01:54 | |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | -14 | $0 | 0¢ | $-0 | +$0 | 05-06 01:55 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 4pm et | 9 | $2.0K | 2,202 | 1,947 | +255 | Down | +$232 | 06-26 20:59 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | 6 | $937 | 811 | 811 | +0 | Yes | +$427 | 06-15 13:52 |
| bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 11pm et | 4 | $835 | 2,003 | 2,003 | +0 | Up | +$32 | 06-28 03:39 |
| bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 12am et | 5 | $814 | 893 | 451 | +442 | Up | -$191 | 04-22 04:59 |
| bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 8am et | 5 | $797 | 1,048 | 1,048 | +0 | Down | +$303 | 06-29 12:39 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? | 10 | $766 | 2,737 | 2,637 | +100 | No | +$2 | 06-15 03:58 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360 | 7 | $695 | 1,515 | 739 | +776 | No | +$387 | 07-10 14:07 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | 18 | $685 | 2,040 | 1,599 | +441 | No | -$106 | 04-30 18:17 |
| russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188 | 7 | $620 | 1,000 | 1,000 | +0 | No | +$20 | 07-10 18:03 |
| bitcoin above 64k on june 20 2026 | 8 | $478 | 1,364 | 1,270 | +94 | Yes | +$198 | 06-20 15:57 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | 2 | $469 | 280 | 280 | +0 | Yes | +$69 | 06-20 14:04 |
| bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 12am et | 2 | $449 | 421 | 405 | +16 | Down | +$55 | 04-12 04:22 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | 4 | $442 | 1,101 | 1,001 | +100 | No | +$192 | 06-17 22:06 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | 7 | $430 | 801 | 844 | -43 | Yes | +$230 | 06-14 21:19 |
| bitcoin above 64k on june 14 2026 | 6 | $425 | 828 | 828 | +0 | Yes | +$139 | 06-14 15:01 |
| bitcoin above 76k on april 21 | 8 | $415 | 479 | 418 | +61 | No | +$81 | 04-21 15:26 |
| bitcoin above 76k on april 20 | 5 | $363 | 1,008 | 849 | +159 | No | +$4 | 04-20 12:42 |
| iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149 | 5 | $355 | 2,107 | 2,059 | +49 | No | +$139 | 07-15 10:01 |
| bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 10am et | 4 | $352 | 959 | 901 | +58 | Down | +$104 | 04-12 14:49 |
| bitcoin above 68k on march 7 | 16 | $350 | 922 | 821 | +101 | No | +$6 | 03-07 16:41 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026 | 3 | $339 | 291 | 291 | +0 | Yes | +$219 | 06-20 21:56 |
| bitcoin up or down january 20 8am et | 51 | $324 | 1,436 | 1,402 | +33 | Down | -$29 | 01-20 13:42 |
| bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 2pm et | 3 | $324 | 1,072 | 947 | +125 | Up | -$126 | 07-09 18:55 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 5 | $309 | 567 | 567 | +0 | No | +$19 | 04-18 08:12 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | 13 | $309 | 724 | 680 | +44 | No | -$69 | 04-25 20:29 |
| bitcoin above 78k on april 21 | 5 | $308 | 3,225 | 3,007 | +218 | No | -$92 | 04-21 13:50 |
| bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 1am et | 3 | $305 | 1,020 | 0 | +1,020 | Up | -$305 | 04-22 05:23 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | 13 | $302 | 1,362 | 1,223 | +140 | No | +$62 | 04-25 20:28 |
| bitcoin up or down on april 20 2026 | 2 | $301 | 707 | 666 | +41 | Down | +$19 | 04-20 13:35 |
| bitcoin above 76k on april 19 | 4 | $292 | 567 | 481 | +86 | No | +$102 | 04-19 15:35 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||