Realized P&L
-$38
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
2.4%
Resolved
13
Trades
2,023
lifetime
Volume
$36.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$6
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-21 21:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 0% $-17
Politics
35% 0% $-8
Other
7% 20% $-14
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 07-03 06:53
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 06-20 22:01
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? Yes +21 $1 $1 +$0 07-18 21:38
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $1 $1 +$0 07-03 06:54
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-20 21:57
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes +8 $1 $0 $-1 06-20 21:58
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent? Yes +4 $1 $0 $-1 06-20 23:19