Realized P&L (90d)
-$232
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
72.5%
Resolved (90d)
1,129
Trades (90d)
5,873
15,562 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$23.7K
$47.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$43
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 10-30 19:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 237 days
Categories
Other
62% 64% +$780
Politics
22% 68% +$346
Crypto
7% 52% -$110
Tech
4% 69% +$122
Sports
4% 71% +$169
Pop-Culture
1% 82% +$53
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +116 $13 10¢ $11 -$1 10-30 13:31
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Yes +57 $6 12¢ $7 +$1 10-30 19:39
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +91 $6 3¢ $3 -$3 10-18 09:38
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +18 $6 16¢ $3 -$3 10-29 19:21
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +15 $6 17¢ $2 -$3 10-30 06:05
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? No +24 $2 10¢ $2 +$0 10-30 07:58
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? Yes +45 $3 5¢ $2 -$1 10-26 22:29
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? Yes +60 $6 3¢ $2 -$4 10-29 23:56
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? Yes +41 $6 4¢ $2 -$4 10-15 13:51
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $60 +4 -$5 42¢ $2 +$7 10-20 17:55
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -23 $6 5¢ $-1 -$8 10-19 06:50
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $6 10¢ $1 -$5 10-23 20:55
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? Yes +2 $1 37¢ $1 +$0 08-29 10:13
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 -$8 56¢ $1 +$8 06-19 20:29
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $0 10¢ $0 +$0 08-30 06:00
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 9¢ $0 $0 10-12 22:51
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? No +1 $0 36¢ $0 +$0 05-03 08:26
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 Yes +1 -$2 30¢ $0 +$2 08-18 09:22
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +1 $0 30¢ $0 +$0 09-13 20:01
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes -5 -$2 5¢ $-0 +$1 04-28 15:48
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +1 -$2 11¢ $0 +$2 06-10 06:48
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -2 -$3 5¢ $-0 +$3 05-17 05:59
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +0 -$1 14¢ $0 +$1 08-23 13:58
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 05-04 02:44
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +0 $1 50¢ $0 -$1 07-05 15:40
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 10:26
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $2 6¢ $0 -$2 05-29 10:05
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? Yes — +0 -$8 7¢ $0 +$8 09-23 22:21
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +0 -$1 26¢ $0 +$1 08-06 02:37
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +1 -$4 0¢ $0 +$4 08-09 23:18