Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$5,286
$100 in 24h
Trades
302
Unique wallets
67
Liquidity
$26,119
End date
2027-04-19
First seen
2026-06-02
last 10-25 13:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.5¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $983
vs crowd: 5% YES on $3.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $93 | $666 | $574 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 30 | $69 | $1.8K | $1.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $5 | $212 | $207 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $1 | $547 | $546 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 15 | $14 | $969 | $955 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | $575 | $574 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Median | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Below median | 11 | $1 | $544 | $543 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $4 | $32 | $28 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $13 | $140 | $128 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 23 | $136 | $777 | $641 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $193 | $193 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +406 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 10-09 13:03 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +285 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 10-05 21:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x150c…1c8d | No | +277 | $264 | $264 | 1 | 10-09 13:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe031…cf1a | No | +250 | $241 | $241 | 1 | 10-24 17:30 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +239 | $7 | $42 | 21 | 10-24 17:30 |
| Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | No | +218 | $208 | $682 | 15 | 08-26 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ad0…2bb5 | No | +200 | $193 | $193 | 2 | 10-23 13:53 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +183 | $6 | $15 | 7 | 10-24 17:30 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +183 | $177 | $177 | 2 | 10-24 17:30 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +165 | $9 | $9 | 5 | 10-11 02:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | +100 | $3 | $6 | 3 | 10-25 13:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 2 | 10-23 13:57 |
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 10-13 05:41 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +70 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 07-10 14:07 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +52 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 00:46 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +50 | $44 | $331 | 6 | 07-12 10:39 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-10 13:59 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +21 | $4 | $8 | 6 | 08-27 01:28 |
| Mean-Outfielder 0xf3ac…f23d | No | +16 | $15 | $36 | 6 | 08-26 18:38 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-27 07:08 |
| Sneaky-Spouse 0x17f4…9d7f | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-25 00:45 |
| Afraid-Mrna 0x9f44…7470 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-25 00:45 |
| Wealthy-Appetite 0x8c46…7eab | No | +6 | $6 | $7 | 8 | 06-25 22:56 |
| Popular-Exhaustion 0x108a…c378 | No | +6 | $6 | $7 | 8 | 06-25 22:56 |
| Careless-Exposure-Shipper 0xf7b3…4d47 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-25 22:53 |
| Buoyant-Gland 0xedd8…b939 | No | +6 | $5 | $7 | 7 | 08-26 18:38 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +5 | $3 | $7 | 10 | 10-23 13:53 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +5 | $5 | $61 | 3 | 09-30 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | +1 | $1 | $2 | 3 | 08-05 09:04 |
| Conscious-Leap 0xfc03…4a07 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-26 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x91e2…3c51 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-05 10:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xde2e…d234 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 08-05 09:12 |
| Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | No | +1 | $2 | $20 | 10 | 08-26 18:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 13:57:20 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x192144… |
| 10-25 13:57:20 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x192144… |
| 10-24 17:30:08 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x35f8a8… |
| 10-24 17:30:08 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x35f8a8… |
| 10-24 17:30:06 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xf26779… |
| 10-24 17:30:06 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 150 | 97¢ | $145 | 0xf26779… |
| 10-24 17:30:06 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xf26779… |
| 10-24 17:30:05 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xdb6fd2… |
| 10-24 17:30:05 | (anonymous) 0xe031…cf1a | No | BUY | 250 | 96¢ | $241 | 0xdb6fd2… |
| 10-24 17:30:05 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 150 | 4¢ | $6 | 0xdb6fd2… |
| 10-24 17:30:05 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xdb6fd2… |
| 10-23 13:57:29 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xbfe665… |
| 10-23 13:57:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xbfe665… |
| 10-23 13:57:12 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 61 | 96¢ | $58 | 0xc11c31… |
| 10-23 13:57:12 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xc11c31… |
| 10-23 13:57:08 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x4014df… |
| 10-23 13:57:08 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4014df… |
| 10-23 13:53:00 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x0d8a52… |
| 10-23 13:53:00 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 96 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x0d8a52… |
| 10-23 13:53:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0d8a52… |
| 10-23 13:53:00 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x0d8a52… |
| 10-23 13:53:00 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | No | SELL | 379 | 96¢ | $365 | 0x0d8a52… |
| 10-23 13:53:00 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 61 | 96¢ | $59 | 0x0d8a52… |
| 10-23 13:53:00 | (anonymous) 0x3ad0…2bb5 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x0d8a52… |
| 10-13 05:41:15 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x7b0813… |
| 10-13 05:41:15 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x7b0813… |
| 10-13 05:41:15 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x7b0813… |
| 10-11 19:43:51 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xd66bcf… |
| 10-11 19:43:51 | (anonymous) 0x3ad0…2bb5 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xd66bcf… |
| 10-11 19:43:51 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xd66bcf… |
| 10-11 02:20:36 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 29 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x62fd70… |
| 10-11 02:20:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x62fd70… |
| 10-11 02:20:36 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 129 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x62fd70… |
| 10-09 13:04:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xfd51dc… |
| 10-09 13:04:07 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xfd51dc… |
| 10-09 13:04:04 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x450517… |
| 10-09 13:04:04 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x450517… |
| 10-09 13:03:55 | (anonymous) 0x150c…1c8d | No | BUY | 277 | 95¢ | $264 | 0x912e29… |
| 10-09 13:03:55 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x912e29… |
| 10-09 13:03:55 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x912e29… |
| 10-09 13:03:55 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x912e29… |
| 10-06 10:37:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x906ee1… |
| 10-06 10:37:09 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | No | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x906ee1… |
| 10-06 06:37:31 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | No | SELL | 157 | 96¢ | $150 | 0xcecbd5… |
| 10-06 06:37:31 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xcecbd5… |
| 10-06 06:37:31 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 107 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xcecbd5… |
| 10-05 21:04:29 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 109 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x0faa8c… |
| 10-05 21:04:29 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 109 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x0faa8c… |
| 09-30 21:27:08 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x0616d4… |
| 09-30 21:27:08 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0616d4… |
| 09-30 21:27:08 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 84 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x0616d4… |
| 09-30 21:27:05 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x1978a6… |
| 09-30 21:27:05 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x1978a6… |
| 09-30 21:21:42 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0xa4df2d… |
| 09-30 21:21:42 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | No | SELL | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0xa4df2d… |
| 09-30 21:21:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x11100a… |
| 09-30 21:21:08 | (anonymous) 0xa58f…cec8 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x11100a… |
| 09-30 21:21:06 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4abdf8… |
| 09-30 21:21:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x4abdf8… |
| 09-30 21:21:06 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | No | BUY | 33 | 96¢ | $32 | 0x4abdf8… |
| 09-30 21:21:06 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 237 | 97¢ | $229 | 0x4abdf8… |
| 09-30 21:21:06 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x4abdf8… |
| 09-30 21:21:06 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4abdf8… |
| 09-20 05:05:54 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7c95da… |
| 09-20 05:05:54 | Outlandish-Official 0xe50e…45c5 | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x7c95da… |
| 09-20 05:05:54 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x7c95da… |
| 09-16 17:27:10 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xb6503e… |
| 09-16 17:27:10 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb6503e… |
| 09-16 17:26:58 | (anonymous) 0xa58f…cec8 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x951087… |
| 09-16 17:26:58 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x24ead1… |
| 09-16 17:26:58 | Outlandish-Official 0xe50e…45c5 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x24ead1… |
| 09-16 17:26:58 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x951087… |
| 09-16 17:26:57 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x89f116… |
| 09-16 17:26:57 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | BUY | 197 | 96¢ | $190 | 0x89f116… |
| 09-16 15:52:08 | Blind-Conflict 0xf66c…4ab1 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4b2622… |
| 09-16 15:52:08 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4b2622… |
| 09-16 15:39:18 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xb63662… |
| 09-16 15:39:18 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xb63662… |
| 08-31 11:42:24 | (anonymous) 0x69d2…11b4 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x06c7ee… |
| 08-31 11:42:24 | Blind-Conflict 0xf66c…4ab1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x06c7ee… |
| 08-27 01:28:46 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe4c71f… |
| 08-27 01:28:46 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe4c71f… |
| 08-27 01:28:46 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe4c71f… |
| 08-26 18:38:16 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xe9f729… |
| 08-26 18:38:16 | Mean-Outfielder 0xf3ac…f23d | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xe9f729… |
| 08-26 18:38:13 | Blind-Conflict 0xf66c…4ab1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a0338… |
| 08-26 18:38:13 | (anonymous) 0x69d2…11b4 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4a0338… |
| 08-26 18:38:12 | Buoyant-Gland 0xedd8…b939 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9b416e… |
| 08-26 18:38:12 | Blind-Conflict 0xf66c…4ab1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x459c75… |
| 08-26 18:38:12 | Conscious-Leap 0xfc03…4a07 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x459c75… |
| 08-26 18:38:12 | Blind-Conflict 0xf66c…4ab1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9b416e… |
| 08-26 18:38:10 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc29bd3… |
| 08-26 18:38:10 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $8 | 0xc29bd3… |
| 08-26 18:38:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 59 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc29bd3… |
| 08-26 18:38:10 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 177 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xc29bd3… |
| 08-26 18:38:10 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xc29bd3… |
| 08-05 09:48:35 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xf96e30… |
| 08-05 09:48:35 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf96e30… |
| 08-05 09:12:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x137542… |
| 08-05 09:12:38 | (anonymous) 0xde2e…d234 | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x137542… |