Realized P&L
-$24
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
46.3%
Resolved
170
Trades
841
lifetime
Volume
$266
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$16
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 10-24 21:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Politics
40% 49% -$11
Sports
32% 41% -$11
Other
28% 40% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +7 $1 35¢ $2 +$1 05-27 05:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3 $1 49¢ $2 +$1 06-14 16:39
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +2 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-29 10:31
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -2 -$1 66¢ $-1 $0 05-30 23:51
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 08-14 22:42
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? Yes -48 -$1 3¢ $-1 -$1 10-23 08:51
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -2 -$1 72¢ $-1 +$0 07-30 11:34
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-19 09:20
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 05-11 21:59
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 08-16 18:36
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +0 $0 84¢ $0 +$0 10-22 05:36
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +9 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 06-22 00:34
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? Yes -19 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 06-25 20:07
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -2 $0 18¢ $-0 +$0 07-02 00:38
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes -2 $0 15¢ $-0 $0 05-19 18:33
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +0 $0 44¢ $0 $0 07-13 03:37
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -0 $0 12¢ $-0 +$0 07-02 14:53
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -9 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 09-11 13:34
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -0 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-01 21:10