Realized P&L
-$343
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
46.6%
Resolved
439
Trades
2,407
lifetime
Volume
$2.75K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$174
29 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 10-28 03:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
30% 57% -$4
Crypto
27% 45% -$83
Politics
26% 51% -$89
Sports
17% 51% -$166
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +29 $27 97¢ $28 +$1 06-21 12:12
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +52 $4 35¢ $18 +$14 07-10 07:22
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +18 $16 92¢ $17 +$0 10-01 10:17
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -19 -$9 66¢ $-13 -$4 05-30 23:51
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +13 $9 90¢ $12 +$3 06-29 10:32
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +17 $10 70¢ $12 +$2 08-06 00:50
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 08-29 20:28
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +11 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 08-07 16:42
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +7 $6 95¢ $6 +$0 10-19 01:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8 $6 82¢ $6 +$1 10-28 03:57
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +7 $6 92¢ $6 +$0 10-13 18:33
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 08-20 11:32
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +11 $0 34¢ $4 +$3 09-23 01:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 09-02 00:03
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -18 -$3 18¢ $-3 +$0 07-02 00:38
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? Yes +3 $3 95¢ $3 +$0 06-19 09:20
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +3 $2 95¢ $3 +$1 10-08 07:14
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -4 -$2 68¢ $-2 $0 09-21 09:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 +$1 10-08 06:59
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +3 $2 62¢ $2 $0 10-17 12:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $1 46¢ $2 +$1 06-14 16:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 09-11 20:35
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 $0 05-11 21:59
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +3 $2 44¢ $1 $0 07-13 03:37
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +8 $3 15¢ $1 -$2 06-08 08:07
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 08-16 18:36
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +12 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 06-22 00:34
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +1 $0 84¢ $0 +$0 10-22 05:36
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-01 21:10