Realized P&L
+$4.25K
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
63.0%
Resolved
8,928
Trades
38,039
lifetime
Volume
$538.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$179
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 10-30 10:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 182 days
Categories
Other
78% 54% +$3,879
Crypto
15% 52% +$692
Sports
3% 47% -$815
Politics
3% 66% +$469
Tech
0% 67% +$23
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 660 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +40 $35 81¢ $32 -$3 10-04 11:47
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $9 93¢ $9 $0 10-29 16:26
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No — +10 $9 91¢ $9 +$0 09-23 14:35
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$0 10-29 15:20
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +10 $8 85¢ $8 +$0 10-29 15:20
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$0 10-29 07:50
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $4 19¢ $8 +$4 09-03 23:15
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +10 $9 73¢ $7 -$2 09-16 15:21
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +10 $8 70¢ $7 -$1 09-30 13:46
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +10 $6 70¢ $7 +$1 10-06 16:02
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +10 $7 69¢ $7 +$0 09-24 05:11
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +10 $6 63¢ $6 +$0 10-02 03:29
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +10 $5 58¢ $6 +$1 10-18 19:20
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? No +10 $5 55¢ $5 +$0 10-03 19:11
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? Yes +10 $4 45¢ $5 +$1 10-03 01:18
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $4 66¢ $5 +$0 10-29 04:18
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +10 $5 44¢ $4 $0 10-29 05:00
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $5 44¢ $4 $0 10-30 09:45
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? No +10 $3 37¢ $4 +$1 10-11 02:22
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $5 36¢ $4 -$1 10-17 21:22
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $3 32¢ $3 +$0 10-29 04:54
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $4 31¢ $3 $0 10-02 16:56
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 31¢ $3 +$1 10-02 13:57
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +10 $3 30¢ $3 +$0 09-11 13:55
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +10 $0 27¢ $3 +$3 09-13 18:16
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes +10 $3 23¢ $2 -$1 10-21 09:29
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $5 20¢ $2 -$3 10-21 00:23
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10 $2 16¢ $2 $0 10-24 01:08
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $2 15¢ $1 $0 10-30 08:39
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? Yes +10 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 10-01 11:53