Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac838…5077cd
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$17.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$74
Hit rate
70.1%
Resolved
490
Trades
13,303
lifetime
Volume
$693.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$12.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 01:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Politics
83% 58% +$15,910
Other
16% 60% +$1,746
Sports
0% 78% +$211
Tech
0% 100% +$52
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? Yes +3,618 $3,114 96¢ $3.5K +$356 06-19 09:20
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -2,679 -$2,130 72¢ $-1916 +$214 07-30 11:34
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -2,350 -$1,081 66¢ $-1539 -$458 05-30 23:51
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No +961 $664 94¢ $903 +$239 05-08 14:18
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -4,649 -$1,697 18¢ $-860 +$837 07-02 00:38
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,144 $566 46¢ $520 -$46 07-13 03:37
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes -397 -$401 95¢ $-378 +$23 08-18 22:14
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +320 $206 90¢ $290 +$83 06-29 10:58
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +357 $196 68¢ $243 +$46 08-14 22:42
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +304 $196 64¢ $195 -$1 05-08 14:09
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +179 $113 97¢ $174 +$60 08-19 08:06
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +270 $175 64¢ $171 -$3 05-08 14:09
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +495 $23 32¢ $160 +$137 09-23 01:33
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No -2,066 -$393 8¢ $-159 +$233 05-09 18:21
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -200 -$122 64¢ $-129 -$7 09-21 09:28
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +500 $24 24¢ $120 +$96 05-20 15:22
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $914 56¢ $113 -$801 08-21 22:26
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +306 -$56 32¢ $96 +$153 09-23 01:34
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +200 $6 44¢ $87 +$81 07-07 10:39
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No -1,384 -$295 6¢ $-86 +$210 07-11 12:01
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -2,000 -$84 3¢ $-65 +$19 05-08 18:46
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +200 $14 29¢ $57 +$43 08-23 20:12
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +346 $124 14¢ $47 -$78 06-08 08:15
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,917 $1,616 1¢ $42 -$1,574 07-08 18:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +150 $50 28¢ $41 -$8 06-14 16:39
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +35 $21 76¢ $27 +$6 04-28 19:01
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +57 $35 45¢ $26 -$9 06-07 00:42
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +38 $27 68¢ $26 -$2 05-11 21:59
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,925 $97 1¢ $25 -$72 05-16 00:26
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No -23 -$167 82¢ $-19 +$148 08-16 18:36