Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac838…5077cd
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$251
Unrealized P&L
-$3.30K
Hit rate
77.7%
Resolved
12
Trades
6,207
lifetime
Volume
$418.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$6.42K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
86% 67% +$607
Other
14% 0% $-356
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 255 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -2,638 $-2,136 99¢ $-2606 $-469 06-27 20:47
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -1,922 $-1,932 97¢ $-1856 +$76 06-21 13:56
Haiti elections delayed again? No +1,800 $1,077 32¢ $576 $-501 06-10 03:10
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +513 $496 98¢ $505 +$10 06-01 18:50
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes -499 $-484 95¢ $-474 +$10 06-25 00:32
Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -106 $-93 87¢ $-92 +$1 05-31 22:38
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -100 $-91 90¢ $-90 +$0 06-30 12:36
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? Yes +92 $76 91¢ $84 +$8 06-10 00:11
Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026? No +2,250 $1,490 2¢ $35 $-1,455 06-22 15:42
Will Trump Airport become law this year? Yes +365 $176 8¢ $29 $-147 06-10 04:33
Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30? Yes +200 $96 12¢ $24 $-72 06-10 03:54
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? Yes -601 $-15 2¢ $-13 +$2 06-25 20:07
Blue wave in 2026? Yes -12 $-49 74¢ $-9 +$40 06-13 07:40
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 06-06 02:23
Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026? No +1,247 $810 1¢ $8 $-802 06-24 18:18
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +56 $6 15¢ $8 +$2 06-22 00:34