Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac838…5077cd
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$251
Unrealized P&L
-$1.49K
Hit rate
77.7%
Resolved
12
Trades
6,373
lifetime
Volume
$428.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$6.26K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 06:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
84% 67% +$607
Other
15% 0% $-356
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -2,638 $-2,136 99¢ $-2609 $-472 06-27 20:47
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -1,922 $-1,932 96¢ $-1851 +$81 06-21 13:56
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes -499 $-484 96¢ $-479 +$5 06-25 00:32
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +457 $440 99¢ $453 +$12 07-18 20:06
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $103 16¢ $155 +$52 07-06 07:17
Blue wave in 2026? Yes -204 $-195 76¢ $-154 +$41 07-18 03:40
Haiti elections delayed again? No +1,800 $1,077 8¢ $144 $-933 06-10 03:10
Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -106 $-93 98¢ $-103 $-10 05-31 22:38
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -100 $-91 90¢ $-90 +$0 06-30 12:36
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? Yes +92 $76 90¢ $83 +$8 06-10 00:11
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +50 $48 94¢ $47 $-0 07-20 23:25
Will Trump Airport become law this year? Yes +365 $176 10¢ $36 $-140 06-10 04:33
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes +118 $7 11¢ $13 +$6 07-13 03:17
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? Yes -601 $-15 2¢ $-13 +$2 06-25 20:07
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 06-06 02:23
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +71 $152 11¢ $7 $-145 07-07 17:27
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? Yes +47 $6 15¢ $7 +$1 07-15 01:26
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +56 $6 8¢ $5 $-1 06-22 00:34
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? Yes +33 $1 1¢ $0 $-0 07-15 03:22