Realized P&L
-$3.48K
Unrealized P&L
-$70
Hit rate
53.2%
Resolved
1,379
Trades
11,079
lifetime
Volume
$383.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$64
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-14
last 11-06 01:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Other
77% 34% -$2,749
Politics
16% 8% -$243
Sports
3% 24% -$256
Tech
2% 8% -$128
Crypto
1% 0% -$92
Pop-Culture
1% 44% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 260 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes +50 $13 18¢ $9 -$4 10-26 21:04
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? No +50 $12 18¢ $9 -$3 10-23 13:15
Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by December 31, 2027? Yes +50 $10 15¢ $8 -$3 11-06 01:35
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? No +8 $7 85¢ $7 +$0 10-30 18:01
Will Jack Eichel record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? No +50 $10 14¢ $7 -$3 11-05 17:02
SSI public model released by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $9 11¢ $5 -$4 11-05 02:47
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +50 $10 10¢ $5 -$5 11-03 01:34
Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027? No +50 $7 8¢ $4 -$3 11-04 23:11
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election? No +50 $6 6¢ $3 -$3 11-05 17:55
Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026? No +50 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 11-04 09:01
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +50 $4 3¢ $2 -$3 10-21 07:09
FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026? Yes +40 $4 2¢ $1 -$4 11-02 05:43
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes +50 $6 2¢ $1 -$5 10-19 19:34
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +50 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 10-14 19:37
Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $0 1¢ $0 $0 11-05 19:20
Will Kiin win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 $0 10-19 06:14
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat? Yes +0 $3 97¢ $0 -$3 07-09 16:48
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 05-19 21:53
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +0 $5 92¢ $0 -$5 10-14 19:39
Will Knight win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? No +0 $2 84¢ $0 -$2 10-15 14:39
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 $1 68¢ $0 -$1 09-20 02:47
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 0%-3%? No +0 $2 98¢ $0 -$2 10-05 09:10
Will "Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 10-20 06:35
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 35%-40%? Yes +0 $0 52¢ $0 +$0 10-25 12:33
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? Yes +0 $5 90¢ $0 -$5 10-23 18:10
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 10-19 09:22
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? Yes +0 $0 84¢ $0 +$0 10-31 17:45
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +0 $6 80¢ $0 -$6 10-18 05:07
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? No +0 $2 78¢ $0 -$2 09-28 09:31
Will Darian Mensah win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +0 $1 72¢ $0 -$1 11-01 00:40