Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 25 bps at the March meeting?
open
Total volume
$3,519
Trades
192
Unique wallets
52
Liquidity
$5,341
Latest YES mid
32¢
Latest NO mid
68¢
End date
2027-03-23
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-04 23:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-32.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $107
vs crowd: 33% YES on $2.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 22 | $479 | $755 | $275 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $103 | $190 | $86 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $174 | $623 | $449 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $10 | $23 | $13 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | — | $107 | $107 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $18 | $27 | $9 |
| Median | 2 | — | $334 | $334 |
| Below median | 9 | $163 | $254 | $91 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $7 | $39 | $32 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $54 | $85 | $31 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 20 | $525 | $745 | $220 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +343 | $117 | $117 | 11 | 11-04 23:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +232 | $99 | $109 | 4 | 11-01 05:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +231 | $133 | $133 | 2 | 11-01 05:39 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +173 | $96 | $96 | 5 | 11-01 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +135 | $58 | $58 | 3 | 11-01 22:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +92 | $39 | $39 | 4 | 11-01 05:39 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +77 | $42 | $89 | 8 | 11-01 07:04 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +77 | $77 | $280 | 11 | 11-01 09:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | +60 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 11-01 22:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | +60 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 11-01 22:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +60 | $39 | $39 | 3 | 11-01 06:59 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +60 | $38 | $67 | 6 | 11-04 23:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | No | +60 | $39 | $39 | 4 | 11-01 07:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +51 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 11-01 22:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +50 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 11-01 06:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +49 | $32 | $47 | 5 | 11-01 06:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +47 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 11-04 23:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +47 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 11-04 23:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | +40 | $25 | $55 | 4 | 11-01 07:04 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +30 | $14 | $38 | 3 | 11-01 05:39 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +29 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 11-03 03:47 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +25 | $18 | $24 | 3 | 11-04 23:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a56…64fd | Yes | +25 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-31 20:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | +24 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 11-03 03:47 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +23 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 11-04 23:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf7e…4127 | Yes | +21 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-04 23:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x2dfc…5c8e | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-01 22:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-31 20:14 |
| Acceptable-Asset 0x0032…731a | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-01 06:22 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 11-03 03:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-04 23:43 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-31 20:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cfc…7f6b | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-01 05:39 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 11-04 23:43 |
| Acceptable-Asset 0x0032…731a | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 11-01 06:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf7e…4127 | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 11-04 23:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 11-04 23:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cfc…7f6b | No | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 11-01 07:05 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-31 20:14 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +19 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-03 03:47 |
| Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | No | +14 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-01 08:48 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +13 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-01 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd47c…c70a | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-01 07:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $18 | 4 | 11-01 22:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x5935…8576 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-31 20:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-04 23:43:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 28¢ | $21 | 0xe17e2f… |
| 11-04 23:43:45 | (anonymous) 0xaf7e…4127 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xe17e2f… |
| 11-04 23:43:45 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 24 | 72¢ | $17 | 0xe17e2f… |
| 11-04 23:43:45 | (anonymous) 0xaf7e…4127 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x9f9c7b… |
| 11-04 23:43:45 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x2d3db0… |
| 11-04 23:43:45 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xe17e2f… |
| 11-04 23:43:45 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0xb82e5d… |
| 11-04 23:43:45 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0xb82e5d… |
| 11-04 23:43:45 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 9 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x9f9c7b… |
| 11-04 23:43:45 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 12 | 72¢ | $8 | 0x9f9c7b… |
| 11-04 23:43:45 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 11 | 72¢ | $8 | 0x2d3db0… |
| 11-04 23:43:45 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 9 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x2d3db0… |
| 11-04 23:43:45 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 11 | 72¢ | $8 | 0xe17e2f… |
| 11-04 07:18:34 | (anonymous) 0xfbed…a665 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 29¢ | $7 | 0x2c466f… |
| 11-04 07:18:34 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | SELL | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x2c466f… |
| 11-04 07:18:34 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 4 | 71¢ | $3 | 0x2c466f… |
| 11-04 05:45:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 27¢ | $11 | 0x47cd12… |
| 11-04 05:45:22 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x47cd12… |
| 11-04 05:45:22 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x47cd12… |
| 11-03 23:43:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 26¢ | $9 | 0xd4dc69… |
| 11-03 23:43:42 | (anonymous) 0x6276…9db5 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 26¢ | $9 | 0xd4dc69… |
| 11-03 06:38:03 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x573b6b… |
| 11-03 06:38:03 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x573b6b… |
| 11-03 06:38:03 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | SELL | 8 | 69¢ | $6 | 0x573b6b… |
| 11-03 03:49:25 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | SELL | 42 | 62¢ | $26 | 0x5c1e47… |
| 11-03 03:49:25 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 38¢ | $16 | 0x5c1e47… |
| 11-03 03:47:43 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 14 | 38¢ | $5 | 0x9c44c3… |
| 11-03 03:47:43 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x1af34d… |
| 11-03 03:47:43 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 29 | 62¢ | $18 | 0x6f5803… |
| 11-03 03:47:43 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 38¢ | $9 | 0x6f5803… |
| 11-03 03:47:43 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | SELL | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x9c44c3… |
| 11-03 03:47:43 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x6f5803… |
| 11-03 03:47:43 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 19 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x9c44c3… |
| 11-03 03:47:43 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 23 | 62¢ | $14 | 0xd6395d… |
| 11-03 03:47:43 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 38¢ | $9 | 0xd6395d… |
| 11-03 03:47:43 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 38¢ | $0 | 0x1af34d… |
| 11-03 03:47:43 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 38¢ | $7 | 0x1af34d… |
| 11-01 22:19:10 | (anonymous) 0x2dfc…5c8e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0x7fddfe… |
| 11-01 22:19:10 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x4e1be8… |
| 11-01 22:19:10 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 51 | 58¢ | $30 | 0x7fddfe… |
| 11-01 22:19:10 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | No | SELL | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x7fddfe… |
| 11-01 22:19:10 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | BUY | 24 | 42¢ | $10 | 0x7fddfe… |
| 11-01 22:19:10 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 42¢ | $15 | 0x4e1be8… |
| 11-01 22:19:10 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | BUY | 39 | 58¢ | $23 | 0x4e1be8… |
| 11-01 13:29:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 58 | 56¢ | $32 | 0xf44761… |
| 11-01 13:29:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 58 | 56¢ | $32 | 0xf44761… |
| 11-01 09:20:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x388d09… |
| 11-01 09:20:36 | (anonymous) 0xd36b…efc0 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x388d09… |
| 11-01 09:17:00 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 32 | 53¢ | $17 | 0xaaa521… |
| 11-01 09:17:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 32 | 53¢ | $17 | 0xaaa521… |
| 11-01 09:16:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0x4298d5… |
| 11-01 09:16:57 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0x4298d5… |
| 11-01 09:16:48 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0xb3d374… |
| 11-01 09:16:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0xb3d374… |
| 11-01 08:50:31 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 50 | 56¢ | $28 | 0x8fb3c1… |
| 11-01 08:50:31 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 50 | 56¢ | $28 | 0x8fb3c1… |
| 11-01 08:49:31 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | No | BUY | 7 | 57¢ | $4 | 0x42ebec… |
| 11-01 08:49:31 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 7 | 57¢ | $4 | 0x42ebec… |
| 11-01 08:48:06 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 14 | 58¢ | $8 | 0x58004b… |
| 11-01 08:48:06 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | No | BUY | 14 | 58¢ | $8 | 0x58004b… |
| 11-01 08:17:18 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x3e24ca… |
| 11-01 08:17:18 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x3e24ca… |
| 11-01 07:05:04 | (anonymous) 0xd47c…c70a | No | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x293df6… |
| 11-01 07:05:04 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x293df6… |
| 11-01 07:05:04 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x293df6… |
| 11-01 07:05:04 | (anonymous) 0x0cfc…7f6b | No | BUY | 20 | 57¢ | $11 | 0x293df6… |
| 11-01 07:05:04 | (anonymous) 0xdfc0…530a | No | SELL | 39 | 54¢ | $21 | 0x293df6… |
| 11-01 07:04:34 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x4ac1e1… |
| 11-01 07:04:34 | (anonymous) 0xdfc0…530a | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0xfed2e4… |
| 11-01 07:04:34 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 200 | 71¢ | $142 | 0x4ac1e1… |
| 11-01 07:04:34 | (anonymous) 0xdfc0…530a | No | SELL | 220 | 71¢ | $156 | 0x4ac1e1… |
| 11-01 07:04:34 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xfed2e4… |
| 11-01 07:04:34 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 35¢ | $6 | 0xfed2e4… |
| 11-01 07:04:30 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 9 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xf2d7c2… |
| 11-01 07:04:30 | (anonymous) 0xdfc0…530a | No | SELL | 9 | 71¢ | $6 | 0xf2d7c2… |
| 11-01 07:04:22 | (anonymous) 0xdfc0…530a | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x77f700… |
| 11-01 07:04:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x77f700… |
| 11-01 07:04:22 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x77f700… |
| 11-01 07:00:09 | (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | No | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $6 | 0x4faf37… |
| 11-01 07:00:09 | (anonymous) 0xdfc0…530a | No | SELL | 10 | 67¢ | $6 | 0x4faf37… |
| 11-01 06:59:55 | (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | No | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0x95baf4… |
| 11-01 06:59:55 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $7 | 0x95baf4… |
| 11-01 06:59:55 | (anonymous) 0xdfc0…530a | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x95baf4… |
| 11-01 06:59:49 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x26be08… |
| 11-01 06:59:49 | (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | No | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x26be08… |
| 11-01 06:59:49 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x26be08… |
| 11-01 06:59:49 | (anonymous) 0xdfc0…530a | No | SELL | 60 | 68¢ | $41 | 0x26be08… |
| 11-01 06:54:27 | (anonymous) 0xd36b…efc0 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xd7536b… |
| 11-01 06:54:27 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 27¢ | $12 | 0xd7536b… |
| 11-01 06:54:27 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | SELL | 21 | 72¢ | $15 | 0xd7536b… |
| 11-01 06:54:27 | (anonymous) 0xdfc0…530a | No | SELL | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0xd7536b… |
| 11-01 06:38:06 | (anonymous) 0xdfc0…530a | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xf937ab… |
| 11-01 06:38:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xf937ab… |
| 11-01 06:32:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 23 | 70¢ | $16 | 0x62a99f… |
| 11-01 06:32:04 | (anonymous) 0xdfc0…530a | No | SELL | 23 | 70¢ | $16 | 0x62a99f… |
| 11-01 06:31:46 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x27c12b… |
| 11-01 06:31:46 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 17 | 71¢ | $12 | 0x27c12b… |
| 11-01 06:22:01 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x2f12ad… |
| 11-01 06:22:01 | Acceptable-Asset 0x0032…731a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x2f12ad… |
| 11-01 06:22:01 | (anonymous) 0x07ea…7fc4 | No | SELL | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x8e9e4f… |