Liquid-Argument — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

Trades

4,402

lifetime

Volume

$876.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$199

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

47% 67% $-35

Crypto

26% — —

Sports

16% 50% +$73

Politics

7% 50% $-30

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	9	$46.5K	27,105	19,500	+7,605	open	—	06-19 06:13
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	6	$26.9K	27,000	0	+27,000	open	—	02-25 05:08
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	3	$24.9K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	01-23 17:00
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	4	$22.5K	22,500	0	+22,500	open	—	05-22 12:48
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	5	$20.0K	20,052	0	+20,052	open	—	03-16 16:13
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$19.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	04-13 10:39
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	6	$11.9K	12,627	0	+12,627	open	—	03-24 15:34
will eoo bad bunny be the 1 song on us spotify this week	4	$11.7K	11,745	0	+11,745	open	—	03-05 16:00
will dr congo win the caf africa cup of nations morocco 2025	2	$10.4K	10,473	0	+10,473	open	—	01-06 18:34
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	16	$9.0K	7,932	1,757	+6,175	open	—	07-09 17:02
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	1	$8.3K	9,899	0	+9,899	open	—	03-29 04:31
will houston win the 2026 ncaa tournament	8	$7.2K	7,798	0	+7,798	open	—	03-22 14:16
will egypt reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149735	18	$7.1K	7,469	0	+7,469	open	—	07-05 12:53
will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 951	11	$7.0K	7,134	0	+7,134	open	—	03-02 14:40
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	4	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	01-26 11:45
will japan win the 2026 world baseball classic	33	$6.6K	8,772	0	+8,772	open	—	03-12 13:11
2026 rbc heritage winner justin thomas win	5	$6.5K	6,589	0	+6,589	open	—	04-15 05:37
will nuevayol bad bunny be the 1 song on us spotify this week	1	$6.2K	6,209	0	+6,209	open	—	03-05 10:00
will fernando mendoza be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	7	$6.1K	6,221	0	+6,221	open	—	04-07 10:30
will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	11	$5.9K	6,820	0	+6,820	open	—	06-17 12:17
will cape verde reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134498	9	$5.8K	6,100	0	+6,100	open	—	06-26 18:26
will board game stats be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 9	3	$5.7K	5,709	0	+5,709	open	—	01-07 08:58
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$5.7K	5,693	0	+5,693	open	—	02-25 15:54
will capcut photo video editor be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 20	1	$5.4K	5,370	0	+5,370	open	—	02-19 11:45
will the rip be the 2 us netflix movie this week	3	$5.1K	5,091	0	+5,091	open	—	02-16 17:58
epl eve bre 2026 01 04 bre	3	$5.1K	5,088	0	+5,088	open	—	01-04 16:55
bitcoin above 88k on january 6	1	$4.9K	4,861	0	+4,861	open	—	01-06 12:15
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	3	$4.6K	5,015	0	+5,015	open	—	04-07 06:14
2026 rbc heritage winner max homa win	5	$4.6K	4,640	0	+4,640	open	—	04-15 14:53
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$4.5K	4,965	0	+4,965	open	—	03-20 09:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 07:33:09	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	87	16¢	$14	0xdc8191…
08-10 07:29:15	will matt schultz advance from the ak al primary election	No	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x0d64af…
08-10 05:35:58	will matt schultz advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0xad41cb…
08-10 05:32:00	will matt schultz advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0x4ed7ca…
08-10 05:06:12	will matt schultz advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0xa3b22b…
08-09 10:58:09	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	74	42¢	$31	0x152625…
08-09 10:55:34	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xb03427…
08-08 11:25:25	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	124	23¢	$29	0x6f06b3…
08-08 10:30:25	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x7bc396…
08-08 10:29:52	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	117	19¢	$22	0xbc3b71…
08-08 08:21:36	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	38	19¢	$7	0x9ad240…
08-08 08:04:28	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	113	19¢	$21	0xead9e1…
08-08 08:03:33	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0x093e32…
08-08 02:47:21	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	305	25¢	$76	0xba4d96…
08-08 02:46:06	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x8c3ec3…
08-08 02:45:28	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	27	24¢	$7	0xc14bf7…
08-08 02:44:06	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0xed9596…
08-07 15:12:37	will hyperliquid dip to 44 in august	Yes	BUY	24	23¢	$6	0x2cb83e…
08-07 15:12:10	will hyperliquid dip to 44 in august	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x1c1b50…
08-07 15:04:43	will hyperliquid dip to 48 in august	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x23f9d3…
08-07 14:56:15	will hyperliquid dip to 48 in august	Yes	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x560a54…
08-07 09:31:07	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x02ac77…
08-07 05:37:27	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xb883f7…
08-06 10:09:21	will the ornn b200 index hit 7pt50 high by december 31 2026 20260709171530827	Yes	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0x5eb850…
08-06 05:51:57	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	80	23¢	$18	0x69a4e6…
08-06 04:04:02	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	BUY	211	3¢	$6	0x45646a…
08-06 04:02:41	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	161	24¢	$39	0x2279ea…
08-06 03:36:30	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	416	23¢	$96	0x7a9d1d…
08-06 03:17:54	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	333	22¢	$73	0xe00d98…
08-05 17:09:32	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	196	25¢	$49	0xc5e67b…
08-05 17:07:17	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x07fc29…
08-05 17:05:24	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	710	23¢	$163	0xe94164…
08-05 17:04:59	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	BUY	148	3¢	$4	0x81ef77…
08-05 17:03:11	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	BUY	148	2¢	$3	0x5e4ebc…
08-05 08:45:09	will xauusd reach 4250 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	120	6¢	$7	0x7e4c3a…
08-05 05:38:03	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	SELL	146	6¢	$9	0xff15cc…
08-05 03:26:05	will amanda mckinney advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014634	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xed5b92…
08-05 03:16:51	will amanda mckinney advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014634	No	SELL	349	0¢	$1	0x3ab3b2…
08-04 18:02:14	will matt boehnke advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014632	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x91e986…
08-04 17:59:45	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	BUY	164	9¢	$15	0x57f433…
08-04 17:59:08	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	BUY	216	8¢	$17	0x18ec1b…
08-04 17:59:00	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	BUY	58	8¢	$5	0x6b95f5…
08-04 17:11:38	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	BUY	125	7¢	$9	0x579736…
08-04 15:51:12	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	BUY	144	8¢	$12	0x2154d1…
08-04 14:31:51	will the ornn b200 index hit 7pt50 high by december 31 2026 20260709171530827	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcc8070…
08-04 13:32:26	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	BUY	401	16¢	$64	0x2d0c26…
08-04 12:29:14	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x250930…
08-04 07:57:56	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	BUY	612	16¢	$98	0xb62cb2…
08-04 07:42:02	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	BUY	314	16¢	$50	0x3b5c85…
08-04 07:34:44	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	No	SELL	168	84¢	$141	0xa1f5c0…
08-04 06:58:53	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	76	37¢	$28	0xd7bfeb…
08-04 06:55:06	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x296dea…
08-04 06:53:38	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	SELL	55	63¢	$35	0x3384f3…
08-04 06:52:51	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	No	SELL	31	84¢	$26	0x429674…
08-04 06:52:30	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	No	SELL	125	84¢	$105	0x18f9f2…
08-04 06:51:59	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	SELL	51	65¢	$33	0x5dff85…
08-04 06:51:20	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	SELL	104	65¢	$68	0x3e69d1…
08-04 06:50:27	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	No	SELL	328	84¢	$276	0x4c578a…
08-04 06:44:24	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	No	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0xe11f1f…
08-04 05:57:50	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	BUY	56	46¢	$26	0x386bac…
08-04 05:57:23	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	No	BUY	128	74¢	$95	0xfeedf2…
08-04 05:56:53	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	No	BUY	199	74¢	$147	0x277b50…
08-04 05:56:18	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	BUY	154	45¢	$69	0xd44e29…
08-04 05:55:30	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	No	BUY	425	73¢	$310	0xf08167…
08-04 04:56:42	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x130548…
08-04 04:56:08	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xc3700b…
08-04 04:56:08	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x9b4da1…
08-04 04:56:08	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x96c5e0…
08-04 04:56:08	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x759811…
08-04 04:54:30	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x57f895…
08-02 16:27:09	will melissa chaudhry advance to the general election for wa 09 20260708201057558	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0xcefa4f…
08-02 11:12:24	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game2	Spirit	SELL	437	61¢	$267	0x6a9e10…
08-02 11:09:03	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game2	Spirit	BUY	437	63¢	$275	0x01f51e…
08-02 11:08:05	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	Spirit	BUY	70	66¢	$46	0x0498b9…
08-02 08:49:00	will carmela conroy advance to the general election for wa 05 20260708200738453	Yes	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0x080160…
08-01 15:51:17	will ethereum dip to 1300 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xc88939…
08-01 14:43:09	ufc hai nmilos 2026 08 01 win by submission	No	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0x7b1f20…
08-01 11:53:15	will ethereum dip to 1200 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xe3d4e7…
08-01 10:02:14	will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x05399d…
08-01 09:58:02	will ethereum dip to 1400 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xe15ea6…
08-01 09:56:03	will ethereum dip to 1400 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xcfab27…
08-01 09:55:11	will ethereum dip to 1300 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x931537…
08-01 09:55:00	will ethereum dip to 1400 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0x8856b1…
08-01 09:43:35	will ethereum dip to 1200 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	556	4¢	$23	0x7776df…
08-01 09:31:54	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xcff80d…
08-01 08:28:14	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xa780bf…
08-01 08:23:42	will xrp reach 1pt2 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xe7c4a6…
08-01 05:48:17	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	104	25¢	$26	0x5dc9c3…
07-31 09:41:42	2026 rocket classic top20 jackson koivun	Yes	BUY	80	26¢	$21	0x2f5a12…
07-31 07:56:08	2026 rocket classic top20 matt mccarty	No	BUY	563	93¢	$524	0x5766f9…
07-31 07:08:05	eth updown 4h 1785470400	Down	BUY	256	91¢	$233	0x97723a…
07-29 13:25:32	spx up or down on july 29 2026	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x92b2b2…
07-28 12:43:38	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	500	36¢	$180	0xd6063c…
07-28 11:14:31	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	928	57¢	$529	0xfebab3…
07-28 11:07:35	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	72	50¢	$36	0xa4e434…
07-28 11:07:01	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x3d2c7d…
07-28 05:43:18	will the ornn h100 index hit 3pt50 high by december 31 2026 20260709170850327	Yes	BUY	157	33¢	$52	0x71f8f3…
07-28 04:51:30	will the ornn h100 index hit 3pt50 high by december 31 2026 20260709170850327	Yes	BUY	169	25¢	$42	0xff0e1d…
07-27 14:05:04	spx up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	130	80¢	$104	0x8b699d…
07-27 10:58:48	will nate powell advance to the general election for wa 05 20260708200738457	No	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0xf51e56…