(anonymous) 0xb7fb5a…b86ab5 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
+$172
Hit rate
15.5%
Resolved
11
Trades
1,635
lifetime
Volume
$17.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$2.69K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-31
last 11-07 05:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
56% 0% -$8
Politics
32% 20% -$2
Tech
9% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 893 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? Yes +200 $182 92¢ $185 +$3 11-05 23:01
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +200 $176 88¢ $177 +$1 11-06 17:00
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +156 $144 90¢ $140 -$5 11-06 21:57
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +200 $129 66¢ $131 +$2 11-06 19:59
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +150 $119 79¢ $119 -$1 11-06 16:13
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027? No +150 $122 72¢ $108 -$14 11-06 01:35
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +130 $81 80¢ $105 +$24 11-06 22:10
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? Yes +150 $81 70¢ $104 +$23 11-06 01:15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026? No +99 $62 97¢ $97 +$35 11-06 01:58
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote? Yes +144 $63 64¢ $93 +$29 11-03 22:43
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026? No +115 $66 80¢ $92 +$26 11-06 01:15
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between November 15 and November 30, 2026? No +118 $80 77¢ $91 +$11 11-02 17:07
Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) in November? No +100 $80 90¢ $90 +$10 11-04 04:48
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 13? Yes +105 $80 85¢ $89 +$9 11-07 04:02
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14? Yes +123 $81 72¢ $88 +$7 11-07 03:49
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +99 $85 83¢ $83 -$3 11-06 01:49
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No +80 $75 96¢ $77 +$2 11-06 20:08
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? No +99 $75 75¢ $74 -$1 11-06 13:24
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% before 2027? No +727 $80 10¢ $69 -$11 11-05 06:48
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +200 $73 34¢ $69 -$4 11-06 19:59
255-259 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot? No +99 $57 68¢ $68 +$11 11-06 12:54
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? No +100 $72 67¢ $67 -$5 11-06 01:08
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? No +130 $74 50¢ $65 -$9 11-06 19:31
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +130 $59 50¢ $65 +$6 11-06 19:31
Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026? No +78 $47 80¢ $63 +$16 11-06 13:10
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? No +86 $67 72¢ $62 -$5 11-05 22:26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +100 $65 60¢ $60 -$5 11-06 19:35
Will "Wildwood" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 6m? Yes +60 $56 97¢ $58 +$2 11-07 00:50
Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +88 $48 62¢ $55 +$8 11-02 20:05
Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31? No +84 $44 64¢ $54 +$11 11-03 22:22