Realized P&L
+$2.60K
Unrealized P&L
+$90
Hit rate
54.6%
Resolved
379
Trades
3,614
lifetime
Volume
$37.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$3.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 10-28 02:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
71% 44% +$2,507
Politics
20% 42% +$179
Tech
7% 0% -$30
Sports
2% 46% -$15
Pop-Culture
1% 17% -$4
Crypto
0% 0% -$41
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 461 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +371 $234 90¢ $335 +$101 10-28 01:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +361 $260 70¢ $255 -$6 10-26 00:02
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +198 $158 82¢ $164 +$6 10-27 11:10
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +229 $121 59¢ $135 +$14 10-25 17:45
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +200 $144 66¢ $133 -$11 10-27 21:33
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +247 $141 54¢ $132 -$9 10-27 08:49
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +131 $121 98¢ $129 +$8 10-19 17:30
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +247 $116 46¢ $115 -$1 10-27 22:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +361 $111 30¢ $107 -$4 10-26 00:06
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +200 $100 52¢ $104 +$4 10-24 21:16
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +196 $92 51¢ $100 +$8 10-26 18:43
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +100 $76 97¢ $97 +$21 10-24 18:05
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +196 $117 49¢ $96 -$21 10-26 18:44
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +200 $104 48¢ $96 -$8 10-24 21:16
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No +229 $114 41¢ $94 -$20 10-25 17:45
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +100 $61 87¢ $87 +$26 10-25 16:02
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +100 $80 80¢ $80 $0 10-28 03:52
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M? Yes +100 $82 78¢ $77 -$4 10-27 18:13
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +75 $72 97¢ $73 +$0 10-23 14:27
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? Yes +76 $69 90¢ $69 +$0 10-27 16:56
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +131 $77 52¢ $69 -$9 10-27 03:08
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +200 $73 34¢ $67 -$6 10-27 21:33
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +125 $80 54¢ $67 -$13 10-27 19:58
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +115 $68 57¢ $66 -$2 10-26 08:52
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +131 $54 48¢ $62 +$8 10-27 03:09
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +100 $63 62¢ $62 -$1 10-23 18:01
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes +125 $55 46¢ $58 +$3 10-27 19:58
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +70 $58 83¢ $58 +$0 10-27 04:02
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +115 $49 43¢ $49 +$0 10-26 08:52
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +70 $44 69¢ $48 +$4 10-22 08:39