Realized P&L (24h)
-$53
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
1.0%
Resolved (24h)
35
Trades (24h)
317
5,083 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$5.66K
$61.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$4.17K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 11-01 14:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
67% 37% +$2,390
Politics
24% 28% +$163
Tech
8% 0% -$31
Sports
1% 41% -$16
Pop-Culture
1% 14% -$10
Crypto
0% 0% -$41
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 461 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +515 $367 64¢ $332 -$35 10-31 01:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +361 $260 70¢ $251 -$9 10-26 00:02
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +248 $198 92¢ $227 +$30 10-30 23:10
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +515 $171 36¢ $183 +$12 10-31 01:38
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +279 $148 63¢ $175 +$27 10-31 14:21
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +273 $175 62¢ $168 -$7 10-31 18:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +200 $156 82¢ $164 +$8 10-31 11:10
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +240 $121 64¢ $155 +$34 10-29 12:58
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +200 $162 72¢ $145 -$17 10-28 15:08
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +280 $156 52¢ $144 -$12 10-30 00:55
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +220 $159 62¢ $138 -$22 10-30 01:51
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +280 $133 48¢ $136 +$2 10-30 00:55
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +131 $121 98¢ $129 +$8 10-19 17:30
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +246 $144 50¢ $124 -$19 10-30 09:31
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +150 $120 82¢ $122 +$2 10-28 20:02
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +246 $116 50¢ $122 +$6 10-31 22:32
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +150 $103 80¢ $120 +$17 10-29 23:41
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +231 $127 51¢ $118 -$9 10-31 16:57
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +149 $120 76¢ $114 -$6 10-31 23:55
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +231 $105 49¢ $113 +$8 10-31 16:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +361 $111 30¢ $110 $0 10-26 00:06
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +273 $102 38¢ $105 +$3 10-31 18:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +200 $98 52¢ $105 +$7 10-29 20:26
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No +279 $138 37¢ $104 -$34 10-31 14:21
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +152 $85 68¢ $103 +$18 10-31 13:15
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +100 $76 98¢ $98 +$21 10-24 18:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +200 $104 48¢ $95 -$9 10-29 20:26
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$1 10-31 09:37
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +150 $104 60¢ $90 -$14 10-31 00:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +99 $80 90¢ $89 +$9 10-30 03:42