(anonymous) 0x0cfcc1…567f6b
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$154
Unrealized P&L
+$113
Hit rate
3.5%
Resolved (30d)
125
Trades (30d)
2,939
3,633 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$31.7K
$38.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$3.10K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 10-28 05:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
70% 44% +$2,503
Politics
19% 42% +$179
Tech
7% 0% -$30
Sports
2% 46% -$15
Pop-Culture
1% 17% -$4
Crypto
0% 0% -$41
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 461 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +371 $234 93¢ $345 +$111 10-28 01:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +361 $260 72¢ $258 -$2 10-26 00:02
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +198 $158 84¢ $166 +$8 10-27 11:10
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +229 $121 59¢ $135 +$14 10-25 17:45
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +200 $144 66¢ $133 -$11 10-27 21:33
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +247 $116 53¢ $131 +$15 10-27 22:07
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +131 $121 98¢ $129 +$8 10-19 17:30
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +196 $92 61¢ $120 +$28 10-26 18:43
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +247 $141 47¢ $116 -$25 10-27 08:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +361 $111 29¢ $103 -$8 10-26 00:06
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +200 $104 50¢ $101 -$2 10-24 21:16
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +200 $100 50¢ $99 $0 10-24 21:16
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +100 $76 97¢ $97 +$20 10-24 18:05
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No +229 $114 41¢ $94 -$20 10-25 17:45
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +100 $61 90¢ $90 +$29 10-25 16:02
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +100 $80 80¢ $80 $0 10-28 03:52
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M? Yes +100 $82 78¢ $77 -$4 10-27 18:13
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +196 $117 39¢ $76 -$41 10-26 18:44
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +131 $54 57¢ $75 +$20 10-27 03:09
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +75 $72 97¢ $73 +$0 10-23 14:27
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +125 $80 57¢ $72 -$8 10-27 19:58
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? Yes +76 $69 90¢ $69 +$0 10-27 16:56
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +200 $73 34¢ $67 -$6 10-27 21:33
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +115 $68 57¢ $66 -$2 10-26 08:52
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +100 $63 62¢ $62 -$1 10-23 18:01
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +70 $58 83¢ $58 +$0 10-27 04:02
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +131 $77 43¢ $56 -$21 10-27 03:08
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes +125 $55 42¢ $53 -$2 10-27 19:58
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +115 $49 43¢ $49 +$0 10-26 08:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +50 $34 92¢ $46 +$12 10-24 12:19