Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.46K

Unrealized P&L

-$50

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

3,193

Trades

4,520

lifetime

Volume

$35.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$810

24 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-27 08:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 43% -$2,443

Other

10% 33% -$3

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Politics

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (24) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	+153	$91	69¢	$106	+$15	10-25 13:08
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	+149	$84	56¢	$84	+$0	10-25 10:55
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	+147	$65	44¢	$64	-$1	10-25 10:55
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	+100	$65	56¢	$56	-$9	10-27 08:32
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	+153	$66	31¢	$47	-$18	10-25 13:08
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	No	+47	$41	99¢	$47	+$6	10-24 22:01
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	+100	$40	44¢	$44	+$4	10-26 23:53
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	+80	$44	55¢	$44	$0	10-26 16:15
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	+50	$21	88¢	$44	+$23	10-22 12:32
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	+83	$40	45¢	$38	-$3	10-26 16:15
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	+50	$38	75¢	$37	-$1	10-26 21:29
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	+50	$45	70¢	$35	-$10	10-25 21:47
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+46	$29	66¢	$30	+$2	10-24 13:36
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	+50	$41	53¢	$26	-$14	10-26 18:51
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	+56	$29	47¢	$26	-$3	10-25 21:14
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+49	$18	34¢	$17	-$2	10-24 13:36
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	+50	$16	30¢	$15	-$1	10-25 21:49
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	+21	$13	72¢	$15	+$2	10-22 13:59
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+51	$14	25¢	$13	-$1	10-26 21:29
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	+52	$31	12¢	$6	-$25	10-22 12:32
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	+21	$8	29¢	$6	-$2	10-22 13:42
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	+9	$5	57¢	$5	+$0	10-25 01:40
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	+9	$4	43¢	$4	$0	10-25 01:40
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	Yes	+51	$12	1¢	$0	-$12	10-24 19:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$464	330	313	+16	Up	+$166	04-30 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	13	$462	328	311	+16	Up	+$164	05-01 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	9	$444	308	293	+15	Up	+$145	04-28 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$434	297	282	+15	Down	+$134	04-28 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$433	1,072	0	+1,072	Up	-$433	04-28 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$433	928	0	+928	Up	-$433	04-29 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$433	862	0	+862	Down	-$433	04-27 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$433	682	0	+682	Up	+$250	05-02 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$433	752	0	+752	Down	-$433	05-03 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$432	295	280	+15	Down	+$132	04-28 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$405	266	253	+13	Down	+$104	04-29 11:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:30 UTC	1	$244	543	0	+543	Up	+$298	04-24 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$244	394	0	+394	Up	+$150	04-27 03:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$244	447	0	+447	Up	-$244	04-25 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$244	280	0	+280	Up	+$36	04-26 22:16
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	10	$218	356	50	+306	open	—	10-25 13:08
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	9	$217	357	50	+307	open	—	10-25 11:02
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	10	$192	277	55	+222	open	—	10-22 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$190	508	0	+508	Down	+$317	05-02 19:25
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	10	$190	343	52	+291	open	—	10-25 13:31
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	7	$189	256	150	+106	open	—	10-26 18:51
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	8	$179	251	151	+100	open	—	10-25 21:49
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	9	$179	352	6	+346	open	—	10-25 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$178	130	123	+7	Down	+$70	05-02 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	6	$168	119	113	+6	Down	+$60	04-30 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	9	$168	119	113	+6	Down	+$60	04-30 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$167	113	113	+0	Down	+$53	05-01 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$166	117	111	+6	Up	+$57	05-01 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	5	$164	114	109	+6	Down	+$55	04-28 07:09
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	8	$162	253	52	+201	open	—	10-27 08:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:32:17	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0x9f6042…
10-27 08:32:00	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0xaa6243…
10-27 08:30:30	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x25cb10…
10-27 08:16:42	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xe1d417…
10-27 08:09:53	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x9c5ad5…
10-27 07:54:50	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x69c862…
10-26 23:53:21	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	63¢	$33	0x840461…
10-26 23:53:21	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x487c2d…
10-26 21:29:09	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$19	0xdf8305…
10-26 21:29:09	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xc2d265…
10-26 21:29:09	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0xbc5986…
10-26 21:29:09	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$7	0xb0ab8a…
10-26 21:29:09	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	24	76¢	$19	0x108fd5…
10-26 19:57:35	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xe0b2c4…
10-26 19:57:35	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x8c69a2…
10-26 19:57:35	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x6e91ec…
10-26 18:51:23	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x13f584…
10-26 17:09:08	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xb33544…
10-26 16:15:12	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0xc3766b…
10-26 16:15:11	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x627b46…
10-26 15:31:45	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	46¢	$19	0xe46c4d…
10-26 15:31:44	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x4121fc…
10-26 13:00:56	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x5c857e…
10-26 12:43:08	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x2f9dc5…
10-26 12:42:38	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x84bf9a…
10-26 01:37:15	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	59¢	$27	0xf687b8…
10-26 01:37:00	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x683e25…
10-26 01:31:00	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x459538…
10-25 23:22:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x9fc23d…
10-25 23:22:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x812da4…
10-25 21:49:41	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xa9afcc…
10-25 21:49:39	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x71b9fe…
10-25 21:47:05	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	SELL	51	70¢	$36	0x51e089…
10-25 21:32:48	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x59c1ff…
10-25 21:14:29	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x1cd075…
10-25 18:36:53	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	BUY	52	40¢	$21	0x0f239e…
10-25 18:36:50	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x4db35d…
10-25 16:40:44	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x098b74…
10-25 16:37:33	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xc09a2c…
10-25 15:53:42	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x83f21a…
10-25 15:53:42	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	BUY	51	80¢	$41	0x12fb96…
10-25 15:45:12	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xa005f6…
10-25 15:43:41	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	54	24¢	$13	0x09ff82…
10-25 15:43:39	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xbe05c2…
10-25 15:35:15	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	51	82¢	$42	0xd2afdb…
10-25 15:35:15	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x54496c…
10-25 15:00:06	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0x0955e2…
10-25 15:00:05	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x05b428…
10-25 14:26:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	54	25¢	$14	0xc262d6…
10-25 14:25:57	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x364b5b…
10-25 13:31:18	Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x6db000…
10-25 13:13:42	Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0x1b4d0c…
10-25 13:13:38	Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	43	53¢	$23	0x56f83a…
10-25 13:08:12	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	52	65¢	$34	0xb1dd45…
10-25 13:08:11	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x4993e8…
10-25 12:43:32	Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	41¢	$22	0xea6d13…
10-25 12:43:30	Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xa7d00b…
10-25 12:11:09	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x5e9baa…
10-25 12:11:09	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	52	60¢	$31	0x4492ee…
10-25 11:16:12	Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	47	36¢	$17	0x26ccc0…
10-25 11:13:48	Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xfd6cac…
10-25 11:04:35	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	53	48¢	$26	0xeef149…
10-25 11:04:35	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x0401a4…
10-25 11:02:14	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x28f6df…
10-25 11:02:14	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0x0eb9cc…
10-25 10:57:24	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x6c038e…
10-25 10:57:23	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x529323…
10-25 10:55:08	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	59¢	$30	0x9aaa4d…
10-25 10:55:06	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x2b31bc…
10-25 10:54:29	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	47	45¢	$21	0x786293…
10-25 10:54:27	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xfb1724…
10-25 10:53:39	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x45a518…
10-25 10:52:36	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x3c80d5…
10-25 10:34:59	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	52	43¢	$22	0xc0a738…
10-25 10:34:57	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	49	58¢	$29	0x85d17f…
10-25 10:34:57	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	58¢	$0	0x0375ca…
10-25 10:32:41	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x97f1a1…
10-25 10:32:41	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x7712e9…
10-25 10:32:41	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	52	65¢	$34	0x12b0dc…
10-25 10:32:38	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xf89e03…
10-25 10:32:38	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xba7fc9…
10-25 10:32:38	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	SELL	40	61¢	$24	0x6e8d94…
10-25 10:32:36	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xa65c79…
10-25 10:32:36	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x077067…
10-25 09:02:36	Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0xd364b8…
10-25 05:38:42	Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x5f76d4…
10-25 05:38:39	Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8f867e…
10-25 05:30:39	Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xbf1dfb…
10-25 05:30:36	Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x8f30e3…
10-25 04:57:57	Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xb68738…
10-25 04:56:41	Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x965398…
10-25 01:40:39	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x77b847…
10-25 01:40:36	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x877fdc…
10-25 01:39:27	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	55¢	$28	0x374466…
10-25 01:39:26	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x927b23…
10-25 00:17:53	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xee8097…
10-25 00:17:51	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x490484…
10-24 22:02:53	Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe31b9b…
10-24 22:02:53	Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	52	63¢	$32	0x9a8895…
10-24 22:01:45	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x8e460e…