Realized P&L
+$25.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.40K
Hit rate
90.8%
Resolved
45,832
Trades
260,385
lifetime
Volume
$6.32M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$94.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 02:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 299 days
Categories
Other
73% 80% +$30,287
Politics
14% 83% +$2,353
Sports
8% 83% +$2,182
Crypto
3% 77% +$1,266
Tech
2% 71% -$10,782
Pop-Culture
1% 80% +$156
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 4663 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,550 $6,529 100¢ $6.5K +$14 09-11 23:30
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,550 $6,314 100¢ $6.5K +$226 09-11 23:30
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,550 $6,518 100¢ $6.5K +$22 09-14 14:06
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +6,550 $5,758 99¢ $6.5K +$700 09-11 23:30
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,420 $6,339 100¢ $6.4K +$65 09-11 23:30
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,400 $6,379 100¢ $6.4K +$11 09-06 19:08
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,370 $6,355 100¢ $6.4K +$5 09-05 02:50
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +3,928 $3,866 100¢ $3.9K +$45 10-18 21:12
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +3,680 $3,309 99¢ $3.7K +$351 10-18 09:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,823 $2,735 99¢ $2.8K +$70 10-19 14:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,823 $2,806 99¢ $2.8K -$9 10-19 14:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,743 $2,686 97¢ $2.7K -$15 10-16 20:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,577 $2,565 100¢ $2.6K +$3 10-27 02:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,578 $2,071 94¢ $2.4K +$340 10-27 02:11
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +3,818 $3,111 61¢ $2.3K -$782 10-18 21:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,903 $1,916 78¢ $2.3K +$363 10-19 14:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,117 $2,086 100¢ $2.1K +$29 10-26 17:13
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,069 $2,047 100¢ $2.1K +$19 10-19 11:33
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,076 $2,061 99¢ $2.1K +$3 10-19 11:33
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,076 $2,059 97¢ $2.0K -$51 10-19 11:33
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2,131 $1,852 92¢ $2.0K +$105 10-21 09:23
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +3,738 $695 45¢ $1.7K +$1,006 10-18 21:12
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,582 $1,580 100¢ $1.6K -$1 09-21 22:52
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,582 $1,575 100¢ $1.6K +$3 09-21 22:52
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,531 $1,518 100¢ $1.5K +$6 09-22 16:44
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,520 $1,518 100¢ $1.5K -$1 09-21 18:51
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,467 $1,463 100¢ $1.5K +$1 09-21 18:51
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,857 $1,567 76¢ $1.4K -$154 10-19 11:30
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,384 $1,377 100¢ $1.4K +$2 10-15 19:32
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,380 $1,344 100¢ $1.4K +$29 10-15 19:32