Realized P&L
-$81
Unrealized P&L
+$93
Hit rate
52.7%
Resolved
5,053
Trades
16,834
lifetime
Volume
$62.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$360
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-24
last 10-27 09:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
58% 38% +$299
Crypto
38% 37% -$349
Politics
2% 24% -$11
Sports
1% 40% -$20
Tech
0% 25% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 757 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +29 $17 87¢ $25 +$8 10-15 05:36
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +20 $12 98¢ $20 +$8 10-15 17:32
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +20 $17 96¢ $19 +$3 10-06 12:36
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 10-19 14:01
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +22 $10 78¢ $17 +$7 10-16 18:15
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +16 $10 96¢ $15 +$5 10-12 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up +20 $8 76¢ $15 +$7 10-27 09:28
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs Inner Circle Esports +20 $13 74¢ $15 +$2 10-26 17:43
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +20 $14 72¢ $14 +$1 10-21 13:28
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +20 $9 55¢ $11 +$2 10-17 01:33
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +10 $6 98¢ $10 +$4 10-08 03:12
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 10-12 10:19
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 10-14 13:54
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026 No +10 $4 98¢ $10 +$6 09-29 18:08
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 10-04 21:13
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 10-14 16:33
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +10 $5 97¢ $10 +$5 09-28 14:32
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +20 $7 48¢ $10 +$3 10-26 12:30
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +10 $8 97¢ $10 +$1 09-29 18:27
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +10 $6 96¢ $10 +$4 10-06 13:59
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$2 10-16 22:53
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 10-05 14:25
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +10 $7 94¢ $9 +$3 10-16 15:28
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 10-08 16:17
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +10 $8 91¢ $9 +$1 10-11 13:36
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +20 $9 45¢ $9 +$0 10-20 04:35
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +10 $2 90¢ $9 +$7 10-07 18:50
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 10-08 16:19
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +20 $6 44¢ $9 +$2 10-12 16:57
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +10 $4 88¢ $9 +$5 10-10 17:11