Realized P&L
-$58
Unrealized P&L
+$85
Hit rate
52.9%
Resolved
5,250
Trades
17,286
lifetime
Volume
$64.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$351
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-24
last 10-28 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
58% 39% +$339
Crypto
39% 38% -$366
Politics
2% 24% -$11
Sports
1% 40% -$20
Tech
0% 25% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 757 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +29 $17 89¢ $26 +$9 10-15 05:36
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +20 $12 98¢ $20 +$8 10-15 17:32
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$2 10-06 12:36
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$1 10-19 14:01
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +22 $10 76¢ $17 +$7 10-16 18:15
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +16 $10 98¢ $16 +$6 10-12 19:17
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +20 $14 77¢ $15 +$2 10-21 13:28
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +20 $9 52¢ $10 +$1 10-20 04:35
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 10-12 10:19
Will Solana reach $140 in October? No +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 10-07 15:37
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 10-18 05:07
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +10 $8 99¢ $10 +$2 10-16 22:53
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +10 $6 99¢ $10 +$4 10-08 03:12
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 10-14 16:33
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 10-04 21:13
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026 No +10 $4 98¢ $10 +$6 09-29 18:08
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +10 $8 97¢ $10 +$1 09-29 18:27
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +10 $6 96¢ $10 +$4 10-06 13:59
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +10 $7 96¢ $10 +$3 10-16 15:28
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +20 $9 48¢ $10 +$1 10-17 01:33
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 10-05 14:25
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +20 $6 47¢ $9 +$3 10-12 16:57
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 10-11 13:36
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +10 $8 93¢ $9 +$1 10-08 16:17
will wti dip to 95 in october 2026 from october 15 No +10 $1 93¢ $9 +$9 10-16 05:58
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $0 10-28 12:57
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 10-28 10:57
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +20 $7 45¢ $9 +$2 10-26 12:30
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 10-08 16:19
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +10 $5 89¢ $9 +$4 10-21 03:35