Realized P&L (24h)
+$37
Unrealized P&L
+$74
Hit rate
60.4%
Resolved (24h)
151
Trades (24h)
349
18,592 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.28K
$69.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$349
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-24
last 11-01 03:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Other
57% 39% +$519
Crypto
39% 38% -$318
Politics
2% 24% -$18
Sports
1% 40% -$20
Tech
0% 32% +$11
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 757 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +29 $17 90¢ $26 +$9 10-15 05:36
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +20 $12 97¢ $20 +$8 10-15 17:32
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +20 $17 95¢ $19 +$2 10-06 12:36
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 +$0 10-19 14:01
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +20 $14 86¢ $17 +$3 10-21 13:28
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +20 $14 78¢ $16 +$1 10-29 17:39
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $14 66¢ $13 $0 10-02 12:02
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +20 $9 55¢ $11 +$2 10-20 04:35
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +10 $1 100¢ $10 +$9 10-01 22:54
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 10-04 21:13
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +20 $6 50¢ $10 +$3 10-12 16:57
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +10 $6 99¢ $10 +$4 10-08 03:12
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 10-14 16:33
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026 No +10 $4 98¢ $10 +$6 09-29 18:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 10-29 06:13
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +10 $8 97¢ $10 +$1 09-29 18:27
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +10 $6 97¢ $10 +$4 10-06 13:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 10-29 17:50
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes +20 $10 48¢ $10 +$0 10-19 03:44
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 10-21 23:27
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$0 10-05 14:25
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +10 $8 95¢ $9 +$1 10-08 16:17
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$0 10-28 12:57
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$1 10-28 10:57
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 93¢ $9 +$1 10-08 16:19
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +10 $5 92¢ $9 +$5 10-21 03:35
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +10 $4 92¢ $9 +$5 10-10 17:11
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +10 $8 91¢ $9 +$1 10-11 13:36
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +20 $9 45¢ $9 +$0 10-17 01:33
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +10 $7 90¢ $9 +$2 10-02 09:35