Realized P&L (30d)
-$74
Unrealized P&L
+$100
Hit rate
52.9%
Resolved (30d)
4,825
Trades (30d)
15,588
17,758 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$58.1K
$66.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$423
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-24
last 10-29 16:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Other
58% 39% +$340
Crypto
38% 38% -$360
Politics
2% 24% -$12
Sports
1% 40% -$20
Tech
0% 25% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 757 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +82 $51 84¢ $69 +$18 10-29 16:14
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +29 $17 88¢ $26 +$8 10-15 05:36
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +20 $12 97¢ $20 +$8 10-15 17:32
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +20 $17 95¢ $19 +$2 10-06 12:36
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +20 $14 88¢ $18 +$4 10-21 13:28
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No +20 $18 83¢ $17 -$1 10-19 14:01
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $14 81¢ $16 +$3 10-02 12:02
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +16 $10 98¢ $16 +$6 10-12 19:17
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +90 $20 16¢ $15 -$5 10-29 16:25
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +20 $14 68¢ $14 -$1 10-29 17:39
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +20 $9 53¢ $11 +$2 10-20 04:35
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes +20 $10 52¢ $10 +$1 10-19 03:44
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 10-16 22:53
Will Solana reach $140 in October? No +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 10-07 15:37
will solana reach 130 in october 2026 No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 10-15 02:36
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +10 $8 99¢ $10 +$2 10-18 05:07
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +10 $6 99¢ $10 +$4 10-08 03:12
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 10-14 16:33
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026 No +10 $4 98¢ $10 +$6 09-29 18:08
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 10-04 21:13
will wti dip to 95 in october 2026 from october 15 No +10 $1 97¢ $10 +$9 10-16 05:58
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +10 $8 97¢ $10 +$1 09-29 18:27
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +10 $2 97¢ $10 +$7 10-07 18:50
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +10 $6 96¢ $10 +$4 10-06 13:59
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$0 10-05 14:25
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +10 $1 95¢ $10 +$8 10-01 22:54
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +10 $7 94¢ $9 +$3 10-16 15:28
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +20 $9 47¢ $9 +$1 10-17 01:33
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +10 $7 94¢ $9 +$2 10-02 09:35
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +10 $8 93¢ $9 +$1 10-11 13:36