Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
45.5%
Resolved
300
Trades
5,689
lifetime
Volume
$1.67K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$7
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 10-26 22:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
52% 18% +$8
Politics
30% 20% +$6
Sports
13% 26% -$17
Crypto
3% 30% -$3
Tech
2% 38% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 683 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? Yes +150 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 10-18 13:17
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? Yes +50 $0 4¢ $2 +$2 10-07 19:37
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes +150 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 10-13 19:29
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +47 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 10-19 14:04
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +18 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-25 21:45
Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +150 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-12 01:29
Brex IPO before 2027? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-08 05:38
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +3 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-08 14:42
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-10 22:43