Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved
34
Trades
639
lifetime
Volume
$1.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$48
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 00:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
54% 67% +$2
Politics
39% 50% +$17
Tech
5% — —
Crypto
3% 14% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +10 $5 52¢ $5 +$1 10-26 22:17
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +10 $3 52¢ $5 +$3 10-27 00:07
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +8 $5 69¢ $5 +$0 10-25 20:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 10-26 00:02
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +7 $5 68¢ $5 $0 10-21 15:19
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15 Yes +10 $4 49¢ $5 +$1 10-26 21:26
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +13 $3 30¢ $4 +$0 10-28 00:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +10 $4 29¢ $3 -$1 10-26 22:17
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +7 $3 36¢ $3 $0 10-21 15:18
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $2 16¢ $2 $0 10-27 22:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +6 $2 24¢ $1 $0 10-26 00:02
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +7 $4 20¢ $1 -$2 10-20 12:48
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 10-27 00:07
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +8 $1 14¢ $1 $0 10-25 20:42
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 No +10 $1 6¢ $1 -$1 10-26 21:26
russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026 Yes +7 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 10-20 12:47
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat? Yes +4 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-15 19:48
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-26 17:41
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +0 -$1 80¢ $0 +$1 10-24 01:32
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +0 $1 87¢ $0 -$1 10-17 12:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $1 52¢ $0 -$1 10-21 15:08
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +0 $0 26¢ $0 $0 10-08 07:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +0 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 10-25 08:08