(anonymous) 0x1cfc26…862111
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.74K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.42K
Hit rate
28.9%
Resolved
4
Trades
17,295
lifetime
Volume
$1.73M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$100
Open exposure
$18.5K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-24 00:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
57% 67% +$4,589
Other
36% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
3% 100% +$150
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 649 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -12,326 $-11,390 70¢ $-8567 +$2,824 07-23 20:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,451 $2,231 92¢ $2.2K +$12 07-20 03:05
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,721 $1,031 66¢ $1.1K +$96 07-22 03:00
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,331 $1,195 80¢ $1.1K $-130 07-23 06:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,887 $1,273 30¢ $881 $-393 07-23 12:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,516 $785 48¢ $735 $-49 07-23 23:36
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +654 $282 83¢ $543 +$261 07-21 00:05
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -813 $-597 62¢ $-508 +$88 07-24 03:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +500 $450 94¢ $472 +$22 06-27 07:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +752 $429 52¢ $387 $-41 07-24 00:50
New pandemic in 2026? No +396 $356 94¢ $370 +$14 06-21 15:38
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +2,495 $545 15¢ $362 $-184 07-19 20:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,034 $458 34¢ $347 $-112 07-24 01:28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -292 $-263 92¢ $-267 $-4 07-20 13:54
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -207 $-196 95¢ $-197 $-1 07-19 22:52
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -400 $-100 32¢ $-130 $-30 07-20 21:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +878 $38 11¢ $92 +$54 07-23 09:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -60 $-50 82¢ $-50 +$1 07-24 01:39
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $46 40¢ $40 $-6 07-19 14:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30 $-27 90¢ $-27 +$0 07-23 17:45
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -30 $-21 72¢ $-21 $-0 07-23 09:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $18 36¢ $18 $-0 07-24 00:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +28 $18 57¢ $16 $-2 07-19 14:23
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No -31 $-14 48¢ $-15 $-0 07-23 22:26
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No -10 $-10 97¢ $-10 +$0 07-20 04:33
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -10 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 07-20 21:07
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No -10 $-9 91¢ $-9 +$0 07-20 08:24
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-8 87¢ $-9 $-0 07-21 14:36