(anonymous) 0x1cfc26…862111
whale cold 2W streak
3Unusual bets: 2 positions →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$89.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.2K
Hit rate
49.1%
Resolved
3,615
Trades
91,929
lifetime
Volume
$9.08M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$99
Open exposure
$413.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 09:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 199 days
Categories
Other
48% 40% -$48,074
Politics
41% 44% -$2,136
Sports
7% 51% -$44,105
Crypto
2% 45% +$6,998
Tech
1% 32% -$1,672
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$47
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 2227 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +244,450 $163,838 95¢ $232.2K +$68,389 10-27 19:01
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +31,821 $8,289 100¢ $31.8K +$23,531 10-27 18:21
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +24,196 $18,539 76¢ $18.5K -$41 09-14 20:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -19,716 -$16,804 82¢ $-16069 +$735 10-21 21:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +16,264 $8,828 80¢ $13.1K +$4,265 10-27 19:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +243,077 $90,978 5¢ $12.2K -$78,825 10-26 22:59
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +13,371 $9,862 74¢ $9.8K -$35 10-28 10:30
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -8,775 -$6,346 79¢ $-6906 -$560 10-15 01:43
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +24,842 $5,681 28¢ $6.8K +$1,151 09-24 11:08
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +8,755 $7,889 72¢ $6.3K -$1,586 10-26 18:40
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +9,228 $6,105 66¢ $6.1K +$31 10-28 00:32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +5,101 $4,680 92¢ $4.7K +$39 10-23 22:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9,800 $680 44¢ $4.4K +$3,681 10-28 10:03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +12,531 $4,336 34¢ $4.3K -$13 10-27 17:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +16,325 $7,403 24¢ $3.8K -$3,566 10-27 16:32
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -3,457 -$2,590 96¢ $-3317 -$727 08-28 15:16
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +5,200 $2,821 63¢ $3.3K +$454 10-28 05:45
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +8,958 $2,994 34¢ $3.0K +$7 10-27 23:56
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -2,847 -$2,705 100¢ $-2834 -$129 06-24 02:09
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2,906 $1,999 97¢ $2.8K +$822 10-28 02:42
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -2,897 -$2,062 96¢ $-2777 -$715 08-11 14:30
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9,002 $6,200 28¢ $2.6K -$3,639 10-28 10:37
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +2,448 $1,948 88¢ $2.2K +$213 10-28 09:43
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +2,423 $2,183 83¢ $2.0K -$171 10-25 16:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -2,100 -$1,942 94¢ $-1985 -$42 09-25 15:31
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? No +1,996 $1,958 99¢ $2.0K +$18 10-03 04:21
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +2,136 $2,472 90¢ $1.9K -$539 10-28 08:30
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +2,163 $1,914 88¢ $1.9K -$21 10-28 10:00
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +1,940 $1,525 97¢ $1.9K +$359 10-19 07:44
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2,721 $1,709 68¢ $1.8K +$128 10-27 22:05