Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.74K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.9%

Resolved

Trades

28,069

lifetime

Volume

$2.85M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-13 06:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

54% 67% +$4,589

Other

41% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$150

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 863 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	524	$278.0K	210,742	227,736	-16,994	open	—	08-12 18:16
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	391	$192.7K	156,821	147,650	+9,171	open	—	08-12 02:01
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	870	$105.6K	111,000	109,212	+1,788	open	—	08-12 03:23
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	672	$102.3K	67,789	58,966	+8,823	open	—	01-24 15:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	284	$88.6K	57,107	49,126	+7,981	open	—	01-30 18:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	202	$70.7K	67,065	64,797	+2,268	open	—	08-13 08:08
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	333	$66.5K	43,789	38,103	+5,686	open	—	01-23 14:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	571	$65.7K	45,687	41,569	+4,118	open	—	08-13 03:31
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	677	$60.1K	66,585	60,163	+6,422	open	—	01-30 22:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	233	$49.3K	55,812	47,441	+8,371	open	—	08-12 09:48
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	453	$42.9K	30,396	26,152	+4,244	open	—	01-24 19:06
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	522	$41.9K	39,767	36,745	+3,022	open	—	01-30 22:22
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	257	$40.2K	46,505	36,049	+10,456	open	—	01-23 13:19
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	173	$39.1K	23,846	17,233	+6,612	open	—	03-07 05:34
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	532	$37.2K	44,577	42,847	+1,730	open	—	08-12 07:55
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	268	$37.0K	28,860	29,867	-1,008	open	—	08-13 04:17
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	455	$36.2K	41,568	41,640	-71	open	—	07-30 22:05
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	565	$34.0K	45,132	45,550	-418	open	—	08-13 01:33
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	501	$33.9K	49,359	48,041	+1,318	open	—	08-12 12:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	444	$33.3K	38,024	36,488	+1,535	open	—	08-13 08:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	260	$32.9K	27,615	26,319	+1,296	open	—	02-28 23:16
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	223	$30.5K	31,022	19,536	+11,486	open	—	01-30 21:08
Fed rate hike in 2026?	53	$28.3K	28,278	25,089	+3,189	open	—	08-12 12:41
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	340	$28.2K	24,163	22,481	+1,682	open	—	07-24 23:43
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	190	$27.9K	26,799	19,097	+7,702	open	—	03-29 20:48
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	276	$25.8K	47,434	43,179	+4,255	open	—	08-07 22:22
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	252	$23.7K	33,584	23,218	+10,366	open	—	01-26 04:15
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	272	$23.4K	25,025	22,262	+2,763	open	—	07-27 21:37
another us government shutdown by february 14	298	$22.3K	28,675	9,071	+19,604	open	—	02-13 20:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	65	$22.0K	22,366	2,407	+19,960	open	—	04-01 05:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 08:12:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x9cd08e…
08-13 08:10:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x0ada84…
08-13 08:09:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	147	33¢	$49	0xf8b7bc…
08-13 08:09:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	104	33¢	$34	0x220f8f…
08-13 08:08:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	1,429	84¢	$1,200	0xa286fd…
08-13 08:08:12	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xd9647d…
08-13 08:03:40	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x5dd12b…
08-13 07:37:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	222	66¢	$146	0x308d5e…
08-13 06:44:57	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xfbee73…
08-13 06:36:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xbbd1e2…
08-13 06:03:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xab66d5…
08-13 06:02:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x4545f4…
08-13 05:46:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0e8efa…
08-13 05:02:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xea45ff…
08-13 05:00:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa28a3d…
08-13 04:53:00	Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x072465…
08-13 04:46:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xc59547…
08-13 04:46:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x300c6b…
08-13 04:29:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x492e2e…
08-13 04:22:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x31a4aa…
08-13 04:17:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x913f3c…
08-13 04:12:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3563a0…
08-13 04:08:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb9323c…
08-13 04:07:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5e54fc…
08-13 03:57:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0x43220a…
08-13 03:57:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x7c7cc5…
08-13 03:51:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x64ee4e…
08-13 03:31:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	18	94¢	$16	0xa8cbcc…
08-13 03:31:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x869f0a…
08-13 03:21:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x586c83…
08-13 03:13:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	552	65¢	$359	0xdb40ba…
08-13 03:13:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	111	94¢	$104	0xcfb05b…
08-13 03:12:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	231	94¢	$217	0x7a26bf…
08-13 03:12:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xdfc9a8…
08-13 02:58:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	27	94¢	$26	0xc3418a…
08-13 02:54:33	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	18¢	$360	0x1e3be2…
08-13 02:25:00	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x1cae6d…
08-13 02:04:12	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	1	82¢	$0	0x5fdd5f…
08-13 02:04:07	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0xd5ca2b…
08-13 02:03:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	722	64¢	$462	0xb55998…
08-13 01:33:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	259	9¢	$23	0x332f95…
08-13 01:07:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	2,000	15¢	$300	0x17d155…
08-13 00:14:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	430	64¢	$275	0xad7846…
08-12 23:33:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	260	65¢	$169	0xc32442…
08-12 23:18:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	721	9¢	$65	0x913801…
08-12 23:18:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	212	9¢	$19	0x3d3913…
08-12 22:36:24	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x4303bc…
08-12 22:27:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	1,665	66¢	$1,099	0x1c5eb4…
08-12 22:00:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x71c125…
08-12 21:50:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0xd7f977…
08-12 21:50:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xcfdcf6…
08-12 21:31:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	292	66¢	$193	0x882f3a…
08-12 21:28:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	335	9¢	$30	0x2c546e…
08-12 21:27:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	800	33¢	$264	0x9adffa…
08-12 21:23:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	405	30¢	$121	0x785e3d…
08-12 21:23:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	1,071	94¢	$1,006	0xbcb20c…
08-12 21:08:01	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xc139e3…
08-12 20:27:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	657	30¢	$197	0x857b68…
08-12 20:23:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	244	95¢	$232	0x622a62…
08-12 20:20:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc337dd…
08-12 20:17:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	736	95¢	$699	0xb25391…
08-12 20:16:04	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	61	13¢	$8	0x225a71…
08-12 20:16:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x3c777e…
08-12 20:15:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x2ef409…
08-12 20:14:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x6ccd35…
08-12 20:14:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	99	14¢	$14	0x461763…
08-12 19:47:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	708	95¢	$673	0x54d049…
08-12 19:43:01	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x7eaecd…
08-12 19:41:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x6d6b61…
08-12 19:40:52	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xf91222…
08-12 19:27:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x95aab5…
08-12 19:21:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	157	30¢	$47	0xf6a0c2…
08-12 19:20:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0xd74679…
08-12 19:20:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xf3f678…
08-12 19:20:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xf62c61…
08-12 19:20:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xd36972…
08-12 19:20:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xcc4afe…
08-12 19:20:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xc9da89…
08-12 19:20:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x0a8988…
08-12 19:20:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xc5645f…
08-12 19:20:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x465c02…
08-12 19:20:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x0aafac…
08-12 19:20:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x335c7e…
08-12 19:20:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xeece65…
08-12 19:20:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xe0d270…
08-12 19:20:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xb9a27a…
08-12 19:20:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$3	0xa0fd97…
08-12 18:59:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	225	30¢	$68	0x3c804c…
08-12 18:57:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	1,505	94¢	$1,415	0xecade8…
08-12 18:54:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	193	30¢	$58	0xf492fb…
08-12 18:16:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	82¢	$1,640	0x156860…
08-12 18:05:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	749	10¢	$75	0xc10826…
08-12 18:05:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x54853e…
08-12 17:51:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x0af45d…
08-12 17:47:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xc3749c…
08-12 17:36:04	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x39f6f7…
08-12 17:30:31	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x422961…
08-12 17:21:13	eth updown 15m 1786554900	Down	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0x7ff38c…
08-12 17:21:13	eth updown 15m 1786554900	Down	BUY	29	88¢	$26	0x5cb8c3…
08-12 17:19:31	hype updown 4h 1786550400	Down	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xd409a6…