Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.74K

Unrealized P&L

+$166

Hit rate

28.9%

Resolved

Trades

14,974

lifetime

Volume

$1.47M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

$11.2K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-03 15:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

52% 67% +$4,589

Other

39% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$150

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-9,106	$-7,761	88¢	$-7968	$-207	06-21 16:57
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+1,870	$1,130	66¢	$1.2K	+$114	06-11 19:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+500	$450	94¢	$468	+$18	06-27 07:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	+2,595	$557	15¢	$376	$-181	06-03 04:34
New pandemic in 2026?	No	+396	$356	92¢	$362	+$6	06-21 15:38
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	+454	$118	78¢	$352	+$234	05-31 13:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+597	$316	40¢	$239	$-78	05-31 12:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+103	$-172	100¢	$103	+$274	06-20 15:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+1,500	$120	6¢	$98	$-22	07-03 15:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+9,511	$16	0¢	$24	+$8	06-28 16:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	672	$102.3K	67,789	58,966	+8,823	open	—	01-24 15:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	284	$88.6K	57,107	49,126	+7,981	open	—	01-30 18:07
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	333	$66.5K	43,789	38,103	+5,686	open	—	01-23 14:52
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	677	$60.1K	66,585	60,163	+6,422	open	—	01-30 22:41
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	453	$42.9K	30,396	26,152	+4,244	open	—	01-24 19:06
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	522	$41.9K	39,767	36,745	+3,022	open	—	01-30 22:22
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	257	$40.2K	46,505	36,049	+10,456	open	—	01-23 13:19
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	173	$39.1K	23,846	17,233	+6,612	open	—	03-07 05:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	260	$32.9K	27,615	26,319	+1,296	open	—	02-28 23:16
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	223	$30.5K	31,022	19,536	+11,486	open	—	01-30 21:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	190	$27.9K	26,799	19,097	+7,702	open	—	03-29 20:48
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	252	$23.7K	33,584	23,218	+10,366	open	—	01-26 04:15
another us government shutdown by february 14	298	$22.3K	28,675	9,071	+19,604	open	—	02-13 20:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	65	$22.0K	22,366	2,407	+19,960	open	—	04-01 05:27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	330	$21.0K	38,645	25,515	+13,131	open	—	01-18 05:33
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	133	$20.7K	17,601	12,007	+5,594	open	—	02-28 22:58
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	253	$20.7K	44,631	45,136	-505	open	—	06-14 23:40
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	132	$18.7K	15,700	10,313	+5,387	open	—	01-30 08:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	409	$17.2K	52,085	40,472	+11,614	open	—	06-28 16:14
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	104	$15.5K	13,745	9,476	+4,269	open	—	01-28 18:49
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	82	$15.3K	8,420	8,729	-309	open	—	02-03 09:53
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	62	$14.8K	12,445	3,503	+8,942	open	—	03-22 16:32
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	171	$14.6K	16,680	11,325	+5,355	open	—	03-07 02:02
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	68	$14.5K	9,649	5,381	+4,268	open	—	01-24 03:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	186	$14.4K	18,486	16,470	+2,016	open	—	06-22 09:42
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	146	$13.2K	13,404	8,494	+4,910	open	—	02-25 01:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	113	$12.8K	13,707	11,429	+2,278	open	—	02-07 09:50
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	269	$12.8K	31,237	17,436	+13,801	open	—	01-18 03:48
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	29	$12.6K	7,625	5,671	+1,954	open	—	01-24 04:51
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	168	$10.2K	15,127	3,189	+11,938	open	—	01-26 03:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 15:03:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0xc9dacc…
07-03 09:32:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0xa3398b…
07-02 15:54:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0xe9424e…
06-28 16:14:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x78e086…
06-28 15:41:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	501	1¢	$4	0xc175a3…
06-28 15:05:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5bd66d…
06-28 13:57:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x30fb2d…
06-28 13:34:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0x6e240c…
06-28 12:52:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x00035c…
06-28 12:12:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x6eaf78…
06-28 11:58:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0x722bcd…
06-28 11:57:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	501	1¢	$7	0x9488fa…
06-28 11:50:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	501	2¢	$8	0x7dcd04…
06-28 09:08:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0xde865a…
06-28 08:13:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x303d8e…
06-28 07:22:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	199	1¢	$2	0xfdf904…
06-28 07:16:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x53ffb7…
06-28 06:56:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x21ad31…
06-28 06:51:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	485	1¢	$5	0x273276…
06-28 06:34:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	501	1¢	$5	0x22deeb…
06-28 05:48:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	501	1¢	$6	0xc69ebe…
06-28 05:37:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x1dad65…
06-27 14:32:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$16	0x84aa5d…
06-27 14:16:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x41793d…
06-27 14:03:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$18	0x7149c8…
06-27 13:30:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$18	0x7b8896…
06-27 12:01:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$20	0xde4370…
06-27 11:39:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	501	4¢	$20	0x498876…
06-27 10:29:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x75bf47…
06-27 09:48:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x6e162a…
06-27 09:46:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x9eb8f5…
06-27 09:44:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xb7de30…
06-27 09:43:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xc45561…
06-27 09:43:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0x15d788…
06-27 09:43:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x241b68…
06-27 09:40:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x8a5061…
06-27 09:38:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x15611e…
06-27 09:38:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xf5a017…
06-27 09:37:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x11dc8b…
06-27 09:33:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x6a21f8…
06-27 09:33:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x332e2d…
06-27 09:26:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xd0cd55…
06-27 09:24:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xe306ef…
06-27 09:23:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x18ea57…
06-27 09:23:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x491dcb…
06-27 09:23:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x15668f…
06-27 07:09:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x56d66a…
06-26 22:23:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xc7d3ff…
06-26 22:04:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x17d12e…
06-26 21:52:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	155	6¢	$9	0x590024…
06-26 21:49:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	112	6¢	$6	0xfe25aa…
06-26 21:47:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	89	6¢	$5	0x6dd2ca…
06-26 21:44:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x3535f6…
06-26 21:41:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	106	5¢	$5	0x9bd7af…
06-26 19:36:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$36	0x51c8d0…
06-26 19:28:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xb10e34…
06-26 18:36:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x543eba…
06-26 17:34:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$36	0xe5b307…
06-26 17:07:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$36	0x9ceb8e…
06-26 17:05:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$36	0x202f09…
06-26 16:09:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$36	0x76e335…
06-26 14:49:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	9¢	$45	0xf45cca…
06-26 13:33:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	11¢	$54	0x121583…
06-26 13:12:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xfa3325…
06-26 11:48:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	497	10¢	$51	0xe1ebf2…
06-26 09:29:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	13¢	$64	0x3ecb9b…
06-26 08:46:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	14¢	$70	0xb811ff…
06-26 07:28:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	14¢	$71	0x5512e1…
06-26 07:22:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	168	13¢	$22	0xbcf64a…
06-26 06:35:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	10¢	$51	0x5b1b3e…
06-26 05:31:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	11¢	$54	0x3a7f59…
06-26 02:29:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$24	0xa55cb0…
06-26 00:16:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x09df42…
06-26 00:15:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x915fed…
06-26 00:14:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4b5446…
06-25 19:36:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	328	5¢	$15	0x1e9342…
06-25 19:34:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	31	5¢	$1	0xf8d1e1…
06-25 19:34:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x850fab…
06-25 19:33:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x4735d9…
06-25 19:32:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x8a1e0c…
06-25 19:32:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xd75753…
06-25 19:29:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x0edad2…
06-25 19:28:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xe2a8c3…
06-25 19:12:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0x6edf53…
06-25 19:11:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x0ff101…
06-25 19:10:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xd52680…
06-25 19:09:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xa83445…
06-25 18:00:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$20	0xfac92a…
06-25 17:56:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	59	7¢	$4	0x44a48b…
06-25 17:11:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	81	7¢	$6	0xc95cea…
06-25 04:50:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	202	4¢	$9	0xde4785…
06-25 04:50:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0xc42be3…
06-25 04:50:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x44561c…
06-25 04:50:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0x3abe3c…
06-25 04:49:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xa76ee1…
06-25 04:48:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x119e73…
06-25 04:47:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x81345f…
06-25 04:46:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe54ee1…
06-25 04:43:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$9	0x9a6dbf…
06-25 04:43:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x2a6bd8…