Realized P&L
+$4.74K
Unrealized P&L
+$336
Hit rate
28.9%
Resolved
4
Trades
14,376
lifetime
Volume
$1.41M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$19.0K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-12 20:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
51% 67% +$4,589
Other
39%
Crypto
6%
Sports
3% 100% +$150
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -4,430 $-4,329 99¢ $-4402 $-73 06-01 04:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -4,023 $-3,354 84¢ $-3359 $-5 06-01 16:30
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +3,624 $3,311 88¢ $3.2K $-103 06-12 20:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +14,319 $3,232 20¢ $2.9K $-297 06-11 21:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,870 $1,130 65¢ $1.2K +$86 06-11 19:25
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +1,784 $306 50¢ $901 +$595 06-12 14:22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +2,595 $557 20¢ $506 $-51 06-03 04:34
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -500 $-494 99¢ $-496 $-3 06-06 11:28
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +501 $452 88¢ $443 $-9 06-02 04:26
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +387 $378 99¢ $385 +$7 06-04 03:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +1,805 $354 20¢ $361 +$7 06-11 23:45
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,225 $119 12¢ $257 +$138 06-12 16:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +597 $316 42¢ $254 $-63 05-31 12:08
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +454 $118 52¢ $236 +$118 05-31 13:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +650 $60 $42 $-18 06-12 18:29
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No -416 $-10 $-3 +$6 06-02 07:51