Silver-Stool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.1%

Resolved

Trades

13,826

lifetime

Volume

$782.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 08-10 12:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

53% 62% +$2

Politics

34% 29% $-3

Sports

7% 57% $-26

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

1% 75% +$6

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	155	$30.0K	17,525	17,525	+0	open	—	03-23 18:34
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	163	$17.5K	9,489	9,489	+0	open	—	03-09 00:48
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	127	$13.6K	6,917	6,917	+0	No	+$6	04-25 15:00
us forces enter iran by march 7	152	$11.5K	6,359	6,359	+0	open	—	03-07 17:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	42	$9.2K	4,727	4,727	+0	open	—	04-02 23:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	32	$7.9K	4,075	4,075	+0	open	—	04-02 23:24
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	91	$7.9K	4,413	4,413	+0	open	—	04-27 05:23
trump out as president by march 31	142	$7.8K	4,007	3,987	+20	open	—	03-19 23:55
Trump out as President by April 30?	51	$7.6K	3,852	3,852	+0	open	—	04-12 02:29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	112	$7.5K	7,602	7,602	+0	open	—	03-08 21:51
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	61	$7.1K	3,637	3,637	+0	open	—	03-14 01:22
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	61	$6.5K	3,489	3,489	+0	open	—	04-21 21:00
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	97	$6.0K	3,103	3,103	+0	open	—	03-08 20:06
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	59	$5.5K	2,916	2,916	+0	Yes	+$2	04-25 15:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	33	$5.4K	3,600	3,600	+0	open	—	07-10 22:25
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	37	$5.2K	3,059	2,833	+226	open	—	02-27 22:21
will iran strike israel on march 4	70	$5.0K	2,854	2,854	+0	open	—	03-06 19:26
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	14	$5.0K	3,959	3,359	+600	open	—	06-12 15:35
will france strike iran by march 31	38	$5.0K	2,657	2,657	+0	open	—	03-19 17:19
netanyahu out by march 31 854	14	$4.7K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	03-21 04:08
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	30	$4.7K	2,494	2,494	+0	open	—	03-22 14:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	25	$4.7K	3,640	3,840	-200	open	—	08-09 15:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	24	$4.5K	3,147	3,147	+0	open	—	03-27 21:07
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	30	$4.4K	3,500	4,140	-640	open	—	08-09 15:50
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	68	$4.2K	2,172	2,172	+0	open	—	03-15 00:08
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	29	$4.1K	2,950	2,950	+0	open	—	03-09 21:05
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	44	$3.9K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	07-08 15:00
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	42	$3.9K	2,088	2,088	+0	open	—	03-14 17:49
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	45	$3.9K	2,068	2,068	+0	open	—	03-08 06:30
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	84	$3.9K	4,001	4,000	+1	open	—	03-23 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 13:09:03	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0xca947a…
08-10 12:16:04	Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	24	26¢	$6	0xc2e681…
08-10 06:26:37	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x2c7999…
08-10 06:22:34	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xfbad10…
08-10 06:17:45	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xdedc5e…
08-10 04:04:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x25b881…
08-10 04:03:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xb91276…
08-10 03:50:54	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x1efaa6…
08-10 03:50:49	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x199dbe…
08-10 03:50:48	NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xce32e8…
08-10 03:50:48	Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xabee93…
08-10 03:50:46	will super troopers 3 score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260804175312532	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0xd28561…
08-10 03:50:45	andrew tate released from custody by august 31 2026 20260728183326903	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x956cfd…
08-10 03:50:45	alexandra leclerc pregnant in 2026 20260724192735364	No	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0x84c276…
08-10 02:54:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xe06aea…
08-10 01:32:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x711fe7…
08-10 00:42:52	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xbd4b1d…
08-09 23:21:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xf35944…
08-09 22:30:31	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x7999f5…
08-09 20:47:58	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xb0d38b…
08-09 18:29:04	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x64ea53…
08-09 17:03:48	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	SELL	200	97¢	$193	0x5ed8de…
08-09 15:50:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xf8d304…
08-09 15:50:58	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x7393c4…
08-09 15:50:55	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe1f29a…
08-09 15:50:55	lecornu out as french pm by september 30 2026 20260728190335207	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe1bcbd…
08-09 15:50:45	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x842123…
08-09 15:50:45	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x73f14e…
08-09 15:50:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x2f856d…
08-09 15:23:06	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xafac6c…
08-09 13:49:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xebd55d…
08-09 13:03:25	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x2cb5b0…
08-09 11:05:15	will jalen brunson attend the us open finals 20260807052019164	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xe8a5af…
08-09 08:45:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x7e57db…
08-09 07:25:10	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x107c15…
08-09 06:53:42	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xc32115…
08-09 06:31:48	reckless ben in jail by december 31 20260714181944088	No	SELL	45	66¢	$30	0x0a397b…
08-09 06:02:51	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x929b5e…
08-09 04:03:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0x91983b…
08-09 03:50:48	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x670fd8…
08-09 03:50:45	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	No	SELL	28	85¢	$24	0x010f19…
08-09 03:50:43	will dune part three be delayed 20260720163825706	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x6d012c…
08-09 03:50:42	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xca51aa…
08-09 03:50:42	nba will anthony davis be traded by next season	No	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0xa27b51…
08-09 03:50:40	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xe0fac0…
08-09 03:50:39	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	78¢	$33	0xc3ff6d…
08-09 03:50:36	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x8791d4…
08-09 03:50:36	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x6b7231…
08-09 03:50:31	fcc revokes a major network broadcast license by december 31 2026 20260717235625543	No	SELL	75	89¢	$67	0xfc93c3…
08-09 03:50:30	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xf2bceb…
08-09 03:50:28	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	183	96¢	$175	0xc69259…
08-09 03:50:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0xade775…
08-09 03:50:27	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$191	0x68caea…
08-09 02:18:55	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xf0035d…
08-09 00:46:54	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xd6379c…
08-08 23:51:25	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x80189d…
08-08 22:40:24	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8fced7…
08-08 22:40:24	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x8fced7…
08-08 21:45:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x6251c3…
08-08 21:00:21	colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers 20260717184712607	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x17ca8c…
08-08 20:31:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xeae477…
08-08 19:48:31	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x487b5c…
08-08 19:31:46	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0xc40269…
08-08 17:16:43	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x979e37…
08-08 16:47:46	colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers 20260717184712607	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x4ec5d1…
08-08 15:50:54	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xb1c1c5…
08-08 15:50:48	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	36	88¢	$32	0x823cda…
08-08 15:50:45	nba will anthony davis be traded by next season	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x2be625…
08-08 15:50:39	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xaf84f1…
08-08 15:48:54	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xb86468…
08-08 15:40:34	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x7b92c6…
08-08 14:54:31	will russia enter hannivka by december 31 2026 20260729205140184	No	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x3ec75e…
08-08 13:42:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x983096…
08-08 13:25:04	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xcff544…
08-08 12:00:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x9ff1ce…
08-08 12:00:04	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x184833…
08-08 11:42:28	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2027 20260714175933548	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x9944be…
08-08 11:41:00	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2027 20260714175933548	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x7656f9…
08-08 11:37:45	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	No	SELL	75	98¢	$73	0x95f368…
08-08 11:35:31	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x4bc0f2…
08-08 11:28:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x36346a…
08-08 11:22:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x335238…
08-08 11:10:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x4cd8a2…
08-08 10:39:28	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 250b hkd 20260727205430943	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x1ccaac…
08-08 08:42:10	will clavicular visit japan in 2026 20260714153003050	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0xd86453…
08-08 08:40:57	todd blanche nomination withdrawn by august 31 20260731141647591	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa5b873…
08-08 08:39:40	will clavicular visit japan in 2026 20260714153003050	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x2c2b7c…
08-08 08:34:52	todd blanche nomination withdrawn by august 31 20260731141647591	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5faa49…
08-08 08:21:51	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x0ad09e…
08-08 06:56:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x864980…
08-08 06:51:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xbe7f37…
08-08 06:46:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x62ed07…
08-08 06:46:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x62ed07…
08-08 06:41:00	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x2f5dba…
08-08 06:37:28	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 2026 20260706174556070	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xc0067a…
08-08 04:47:30	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x56c7a8…
08-08 04:00:01	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$39	0x5c8f51…
08-08 03:51:01	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xbba558…
08-08 03:51:01	idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion 20260729165257291	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xb882ce…
08-08 03:51:00	Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?	No	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0xd8296c…