Silver-Stool 0xb92449…af0803
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$69
Hit rate
81.1%
Resolved
31
Trades
10,500
lifetime
Volume
$625.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$1.24K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-10 00:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
53% 62% +$2
Politics
36% 29% $-3
Tech
5% — —
Sports
5% 57% $-26
Crypto
2% 75% +$6
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 274 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -600 $-562 95¢ $-567 $-5 05-29 22:58
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -150 $-108 98¢ $-146 $-38 05-28 00:32
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? No +100 $90 89¢ $89 $-1 06-09 19:58
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? No +50 $48 99¢ $50 +$2 06-08 09:23
Will Alberta join the US? No -50 $-48 96¢ $-48 $-0 05-29 00:00
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No +50 $48 95¢ $48 $-0 06-08 19:26
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +60 $41 70¢ $42 +$1 06-09 20:34
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? No -40 $-35 93¢ $-37 $-2 05-29 00:00
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +40 $33 81¢ $32 $-1 06-08 06:10
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +60 $55 48¢ $29 $-26 06-01 22:37
Will Leo Zacky advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No -27 $-27 100¢ $-27 $-0 05-29 00:02
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +26 $24 93¢ $25 +$1 06-09 14:05
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? No +22 $21 95¢ $21 $-0 06-08 14:52
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +22 $19 90¢ $20 +$1 06-01 00:08
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +22 $20 88¢ $19 $-0 06-10 00:00
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam? No -21 $-19 85¢ $-18 +$2 06-01 12:01
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? No -12 $-8 70¢ $-8 $-0 06-07 00:00
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +55 $6 8¢ $4 $-1 06-09 13:53
Will Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +55 $3 4¢ $2 $-1 06-04 00:00
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027? No +19 $2 12¢ $2 +$0 06-10 00:00
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +40 $2 5¢ $2 +$0 06-09 21:14
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -40 $-1 3¢ $-1 +$0 06-05 00:00
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +1 $0 83¢ $1 +$1 05-28 13:09
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? Yes -20 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-27 22:18