Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$144
Hit rate
81.1%
Resolved
31
Trades
12,647
lifetime
Volume
$739.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$2.23K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 07-20 16:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
53% 62% +$2
Politics
33% 29% $-3
Sports
7% 57% $-26
Tech
5%
Crypto
1% 75% +$6
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +800 $744 95¢ $760 +$15 07-19 21:49
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -400 $-369 96¢ $-386 $-17 07-19 23:05
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +600 $349 44¢ $267 $-82 06-18 13:41
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? No +112 $106 84¢ $94 $-12 07-07 09:58
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +125 $85 68¢ $84 $-1 07-19 23:03
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? No +75 $74 98¢ $74 $-0 07-09 20:28
Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +75 $74 95¢ $71 $-2 07-05 01:19
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? No +64 $57 98¢ $62 +$5 07-18 15:50
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -60 $-57 96¢ $-58 $-1 07-05 15:01
Will Alberta join the US? No -50 $-48 97¢ $-49 $-1 05-29 00:00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? No +50 $48 96¢ $48 +$0 07-10 17:12
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +50 $38 76¢ $38 $-0 07-17 16:12
Decibel FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +50 $51 74¢ $37 $-14 06-24 12:00
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +50 $38 68¢ $34 $-4 07-15 21:06
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +100 $58 30¢ $30 $-28 07-19 11:50
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +22 $19 91¢ $20 +$1 06-01 00:08
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -20 $-14 92¢ $-18 $-4 06-17 00:00
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? No -22 $-20 84¢ $-18 +$2 06-22 00:00
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -20 $-18 91¢ $-18 +$0 06-27 12:00
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +22 $17 82¢ $18 +$1 07-20 15:50
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch? No -20 $-16 84¢ $-17 $-0 06-17 12:00
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -10 $-9 95¢ $-9 $-1 06-24 12:00
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $7 18¢ $7 +$0 07-19 23:59
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? No -12 $-8 54¢ $-6 +$2 06-07 00:00
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -40 $-1 $-1 $-1 06-20 00:00
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +60 $5 $1 $-4 07-16 11:48
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +1 $0 85¢ $1 +$1 05-28 13:09
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? Yes +44 $2 $1 $-1 07-14 16:49
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1 $-1 86¢ $1 +$2 07-06 21:31
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 $-1 $-1 +$0 07-15 03:00