Silver-Stool 0xb92449…af0803
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$14.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$417
Hit rate
67.0%
Resolved
8,589
Trades
51,558
lifetime
Volume
$1.75M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$77
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 10-27 20:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 269 days
Categories
Other
58% 61% -$10,160
Politics
30% 39% -$2,688
Sports
6% 48% -$312
Tech
4% 43% -$915
Crypto
1% 58% -$82
Pop-Culture
1% 40% -$71
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1207 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +80 $75 96¢ $77 +$1 10-27 12:06
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? No +0 -$2 96¢ $0 +$2 09-27 07:25
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$2 94¢ $0 +$2 07-13 15:00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +0 $16 80¢ $0 -$16 10-24 18:37
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +0 $0 79¢ $0 $0 09-30 03:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +0 $6 40¢ $0 -$6 10-20 05:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +0 $16 66¢ $0 -$16 10-23 23:28
russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026 No +0 $29 97¢ $0 -$29 10-20 17:03
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +0 $9 89¢ $0 -$9 10-22 13:06
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $10 85¢ $0 -$10 10-25 18:10
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $13 80¢ $0 -$12 10-27 08:25
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? No +0 $9 80¢ $0 -$9 10-26 08:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +0 $1 78¢ $0 -$1 10-24 19:36
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +0 $14 90¢ $0 -$14 09-28 16:33
No one announced as next James Bond? No +0 $28 75¢ $0 -$28 10-25 16:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +0 $48 75¢ $0 -$48 10-27 10:36
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +0 $8 54¢ $0 -$8 10-21 13:48
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 $18 64¢ $0 -$18 10-23 15:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $6 62¢ $0 -$6 09-30 10:36
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +0 $35 79¢ $0 -$35 10-19 11:30
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +0 $10 36¢ $0 -$10 10-21 19:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +0 $10 40¢ $0 -$10 10-22 05:15
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +0 $3 76¢ $0 -$3 10-13 15:42
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +0 $20 36¢ $0 -$20 10-23 21:12
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +0 $11 36¢ $0 -$11 10-17 10:09
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 $17 53¢ $0 -$17 10-26 05:40
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +0 $16 64¢ $0 -$16 10-17 05:29
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +0 $58 46¢ $0 -$58 10-26 13:35
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +0 $11 21¢ $0 -$11 10-21 11:23
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +0 $2 56¢ $0 -$2 10-26 01:00