Silver-Stool 0xb92449…af0803
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
—
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
13
13 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$604
$604 lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$631
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 00:02
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
74% — —
Other
24% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No -200 $-120 60¢ $-121 $-1 05-11 00:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? No -118 $-111 94¢ $-111 $-1 05-10 12:00
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No -100 $-96 96¢ $-96 +$0 05-10 00:00
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -100 $-90 90¢ $-90 $-0 05-11 00:02
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No -50 $-48 96¢ $-48 $-0 05-10 00:00
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? No -40 $-39 97¢ $-39 +$0 05-10 12:00
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam? Yes -100 $-11 36¢ $-36 $-26 05-10 00:00
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? No -30 $-28 94¢ $-28 $-0 05-11 00:02
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? No -30 $-26 86¢ $-26 $-0 05-11 00:02
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? No -18 $-18 95¢ $-18 +$0 05-10 12:00
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? No -9 $-9 94¢ $-9 +$0 05-10 12:00
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No -16 $-8 52¢ $-8 $-0 05-10 00:00
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes -20 $-1 4¢ $-1 +$0 05-10 00:00