Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?
open
Total volume
$2,185
Trades
90
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$8
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-16
last 07-25 20:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $67 | $217 | $149 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $128 | $688 | $559 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $79 | $151 | $73 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $48 | $4 | +$44 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $38 | $95 | $57 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $6 | $9 | $3 |
| Median | 3 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| Below median | 8 | $86 | $88 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $23 | — | +$23 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $30 | $785 | $755 |
| unranked | 13 | $101 | $83 | +$18 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | +357 | $157 | $1,031 | 7 | 07-25 20:08 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +167 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 07-22 09:50 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +69 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 06-16 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b34…b202 | Yes | +66 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 07-22 10:01 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-25 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | +50 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-25 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 07-25 11:51 |
| Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 07-25 11:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc15…cca6 | Yes | +48 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 07-22 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +34 | $25 | $25 | 4 | 07-13 11:28 |
| Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | +32 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-22 09:50 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +30 | $17 | $42 | 3 | 07-25 15:51 |
| Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | +29 | $-3 | $88 | 12 | 07-20 17:57 |
| Colorless-Rite 0x45e7…d77c | Yes | +21 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-22 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-20 17:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-22 01:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +19 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-25 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-25 05:19 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-25 11:51 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $6 | 2 | 07-13 11:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 20:08:45 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 55 | 71¢ | $39 | 0xae577d… |
| 07-25 20:08:45 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 55 | 71¢ | $39 | 0xae577d… |
| 07-25 20:07:27 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 86 | 70¢ | $60 | 0x2c29fb… |
| 07-25 20:07:27 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 86 | 70¢ | $60 | 0x2c29fb… |
| 07-25 18:14:36 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 33¢ | $6 | 0xbefa6c… |
| 07-25 18:14:36 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 32¢ | $16 | 0xbefa6c… |
| 07-25 18:14:36 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 86 | 75¢ | $64 | 0xbefa6c… |
| 07-25 18:14:36 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 32¢ | $16 | 0xbefa6c… |
| 07-25 18:14:36 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 216 | 71¢ | $152 | 0xbefa6c… |
| 07-25 18:14:36 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 11 | 67¢ | $7 | 0xbefa6c… |
| 07-25 15:51:18 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0x334c97… |
| 07-25 15:51:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 12 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x334c97… |
| 07-25 15:51:18 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x334c97… |
| 07-25 15:51:18 | Superficial-Horror 0x905d…2c17 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x334c97… |
| 07-25 12:00:13 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 39 | 80¢ | $31 | 0x805cfe… |
| 07-25 12:00:13 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 39 | 20¢ | $8 | 0x805cfe… |
| 07-25 11:55:21 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0x1efcf5… |
| 07-25 11:55:21 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0x1efcf5… |
| 07-25 11:51:12 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | SELL | 476 | 84¢ | $400 | 0x492b57… |
| 07-25 11:51:12 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x492b57… |
| 07-25 11:51:12 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x492b57… |
| 07-25 11:51:12 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x492b57… |
| 07-25 11:51:12 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x492b57… |
| 07-25 11:51:12 | Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x492b57… |
| 07-25 11:51:12 | (anonymous) 0xf057…ab54 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x492b57… |
| 07-25 11:51:12 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x492b57… |
| 07-25 11:51:12 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 227 | 84¢ | $191 | 0x492b57… |
| 07-25 05:19:30 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xa088e3… |
| 07-25 05:19:30 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | SELL | 9 | 87¢ | $7 | 0xa088e3… |
| 07-25 05:19:30 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xa088e3… |
| 07-24 10:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xc9f467… |
| 07-24 10:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xc9f467… |
| 07-23 13:30:46 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | SELL | 34 | 87¢ | $29 | 0x637c58… |
| 07-23 13:30:46 | (anonymous) 0x5b6e…45d4 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x637c58… |
| 07-22 10:01:15 | (anonymous) 0x2b34…b202 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xc7ee8c… |
| 07-22 10:01:15 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xc7ee8c… |
| 07-22 09:59:48 | (anonymous) 0x2b34…b202 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xca25dc… |
| 07-22 09:59:48 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xca25dc… |
| 07-22 09:51:01 | (anonymous) 0x2b34…b202 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xe1e02b… |
| 07-22 09:51:01 | (anonymous) 0x0479…8177 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xe1e02b… |
| 07-22 09:50:48 | (anonymous) 0xf057…ab54 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 32¢ | $8 | 0x4bff83… |
| 07-22 09:50:48 | Superficial-Horror 0x905d…2c17 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x4bff83… |
| 07-22 09:50:48 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x4bff83… |
| 07-22 09:50:48 | Motionless-Closet 0x02d5…2fec | Yes | SELL | 40 | 32¢ | $13 | 0x4bff83… |
| 07-22 09:50:46 | (anonymous) 0x3c18…32c3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x07a661… |
| 07-22 09:50:46 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 29 | 33¢ | $10 | 0xe7a39b… |
| 07-22 09:50:46 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xe7a39b… |
| 07-22 09:50:46 | Superficial-Horror 0x905d…2c17 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x07a661… |
| 07-22 09:50:46 | Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | Yes | BUY | 9 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xe7a39b… |
| 07-22 09:50:46 | Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | Yes | BUY | 11 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x07a661… |
| 07-22 09:50:43 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 34¢ | $11 | 0x77ad54… |
| 07-22 09:50:43 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 518 | 66¢ | $342 | 0x77ad54… |
| 07-22 09:50:43 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 167 | 34¢ | $57 | 0x77ad54… |
| 07-22 09:50:43 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x77ad54… |
| 07-22 09:50:43 | (anonymous) 0x0479…8177 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x77ad54… |
| 07-22 09:50:43 | (anonymous) 0x5b6e…45d4 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 34¢ | $11 | 0x77ad54… |
| 07-22 09:50:43 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 87 | 34¢ | $30 | 0x77ad54… |
| 07-22 09:50:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 29 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x77ad54… |
| 07-22 09:50:43 | (anonymous) 0x3c18…32c3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x77ad54… |
| 07-22 09:50:43 | (anonymous) 0xdc15…cca6 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 34¢ | $8 | 0x77ad54… |
| 07-22 09:50:43 | Motionless-Closet 0x02d5…2fec | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x77ad54… |
| 07-22 09:50:43 | Colorless-Rite 0x45e7…d77c | Yes | BUY | 21 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x77ad54… |
| 07-22 01:10:31 | (anonymous) 0x0479…8177 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0xc2e235… |
| 07-22 01:10:31 | (anonymous) 0x2b34…b202 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0xc2e235… |
| 07-22 01:10:28 | (anonymous) 0x0479…8177 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x446b4f… |
| 07-22 01:10:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x446b4f… |
| 07-20 17:57:19 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x8e3db6… |
| 07-20 17:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x8e3db6… |
| 07-13 11:28:55 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xb7517a… |
| 07-13 11:28:55 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xb7517a… |
| 07-13 11:28:49 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x7aba0d… |
| 07-13 11:28:49 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x7aba0d… |
| 07-13 11:28:41 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0xb8137b… |
| 07-13 11:28:41 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0xb8137b… |
| 07-13 11:28:34 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xde8b12… |
| 07-13 11:28:34 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xde8b12… |
| 07-13 11:28:31 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 15 | 74¢ | $11 | 0x33e0ba… |
| 07-13 11:28:31 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 15 | 74¢ | $11 | 0x33e0ba… |
| 06-16 09:55:34 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x4a379b… |
| 06-16 09:55:34 | (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x4a379b… |
| 06-16 09:55:31 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0xe58884… |
| 06-16 09:55:31 | (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xe58884… |
| 06-16 09:55:27 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 29 | 48¢ | $14 | 0xdcc44e… |
| 06-16 09:55:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 52¢ | $15 | 0xdcc44e… |
| 06-16 09:55:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x1c31b2… |
| 06-16 09:55:24 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0x1c31b2… |
| 06-16 09:55:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 52¢ | $18 | 0xb8a5b4… |
| 06-16 09:55:21 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 35 | 48¢ | $17 | 0xb8a5b4… |
| 06-16 09:55:18 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 53¢ | $4 | 0xa4bd69… |
| 06-16 09:55:18 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 8 | 47¢ | $4 | 0xa4bd69… |