Realized P&L
-$3.27K
Unrealized P&L
-$105
Hit rate
55.8%
Resolved
6,816
Trades
16,590
lifetime
Volume
$157.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$4.66K
24 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 10-20 00:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 174 days
Categories
Other
85% 56% -$3,305
Crypto
10% 50% -$127
Politics
3% 48% +$112
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% 19% -$98
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$151
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 400 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,200 $1,146 96¢ $1.2K +$4 09-18 05:25
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? No +705 $627 99¢ $700 +$73 08-17 12:18
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? No +703 $610 99¢ $698 +$87 08-24 12:28
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? No +673 $534 99¢ $665 +$131 09-20 08:31
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +555 $543 69¢ $384 -$159 08-18 09:56
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +200 $188 96¢ $192 +$4 09-27 22:16
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +200 $162 91¢ $183 +$20 08-18 18:52
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +555 $38 31¢ $171 +$133 08-16 08:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +125 $106 100¢ $125 +$19 10-20 00:45
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +100 $84 86¢ $86 +$2 08-11 10:03
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? No +100 $99 69¢ $69 -$30 07-30 14:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +1,200 $54 4¢ $50 -$4 09-18 12:54
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? No +50 $42 99¢ $50 +$7 08-14 13:04
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $43 83¢ $42 -$2 08-11 07:06
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +100 $25 31¢ $31 +$6 07-30 13:03
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $44 9¢ $17 -$27 08-20 09:39
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $18 14¢ $14 -$4 08-11 10:03
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $16 4¢ $8 -$8 10-14 02:04
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes +673 $157 1¢ $8 -$149 09-04 13:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +50 $9 17¢ $8 $0 08-11 07:06
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes +703 $98 1¢ $6 -$93 08-24 12:24
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? Yes +705 $99 1¢ $4 -$94 08-19 22:24
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? Yes +50 $8 1¢ $0 -$8 08-14 13:04
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +0 $13 4¢ $0 -$13 08-12 05:45